Our game control metric accounts for the percentage of the game that a team is “in-control” which is defined as a win-probability greater than 75%. The numbers in the table represent the percentage of time that each team meets this threshold, so 1.000 means “in control for entire period” and 0.000 means that their win percentage was never greater than 75%. We have split it out by quarter to increase the granularity with which you can analyze each team. For more detail on the methodology, check out the post we published with the first release of the table.
Last Updated: May 28, 2019 13:50 CT
Team Games Played Win% Q1 Avg Control Q2 Avg Control Q3 Avg Control Q4 Avg Control Post Q1 Avg.
Penn State 18 0.889 0.040 0.466 0.636 0.740 0.614
Air Force 15 0.667 0.016 0.367 0.595 0.695 0.553
Yale 19 0.789 0.037 0.239 0.492 0.718 0.483
Loyola MD 17 0.706 0.031 0.298 0.506 0.636 0.480
Massachusetts 15 0.667 0.007 0.267 0.487 0.580 0.445
Hobart and William 16 0.688 0.004 0.160 0.537 0.634 0.444
Penn 16 0.750 0.014 0.251 0.484 0.594 0.443
Boston U 17 0.647 0.008 0.230 0.452 0.629 0.437
Maryland 17 0.706 0.007 0.184 0.382 0.582 0.383
Delaware 15 0.667 0.000 0.111 0.414 0.619 0.381
Towson 16 0.688 0.002 0.094 0.390 0.621 0.368
Notre Dame 16 0.562 0.020 0.151 0.452 0.489 0.364
Cornell 15 0.667 0.010 0.120 0.402 0.567 0.363
Ohio State 12 0.667 0.009 0.147 0.383 0.534 0.355
Denver 15 0.667 0.018 0.131 0.393 0.533 0.353
Princeton 14 0.500 0.011 0.149 0.410 0.494 0.351
High Point 16 0.812 0.005 0.194 0.368 0.486 0.349
North Carolina 15 0.533 0.021 0.191 0.391 0.464 0.349
Georgetown 18 0.722 0.005 0.147 0.331 0.558 0.345
Virginia 20 0.850 0.023 0.218 0.353 0.454 0.341
Vermont 15 0.533 0.026 0.231 0.390 0.402 0.341
Richmond 17 0.588 0.026 0.201 0.340 0.480 0.340
Duke 18 0.722 0.017 0.071 0.353 0.589 0.338
Syracuse 14 0.643 0.000 0.082 0.372 0.507 0.321
Quinnipiac 16 0.562 0.015 0.235 0.309 0.396 0.313
Sacred Heart 15 0.600 0.011 0.149 0.333 0.455 0.312
Cleveland State 15 0.533 0.023 0.141 0.380 0.411 0.311
Army 18 0.722 0.007 0.105 0.291 0.502 0.299
Navy 13 0.462 0.001 0.133 0.310 0.454 0.299
Marquette 14 0.429 0.019 0.135 0.301 0.445 0.294
Lehigh 17 0.529 0.013 0.136 0.310 0.421 0.289
Saint Joseph’s 14 0.500 0.005 0.112 0.346 0.362 0.273
UMBC 16 0.438 0.013 0.190 0.280 0.348 0.273
Stony Brook 15 0.600 0.004 0.144 0.293 0.370 0.269
Detroit 15 0.533 0.000 0.093 0.273 0.437 0.268
Canisius 16 0.500 0.013 0.128 0.248 0.424 0.267
Siena 13 0.462 0.030 0.131 0.303 0.354 0.263
Rutgers 15 0.467 0.000 0.137 0.259 0.392 0.262
Holy Cross 14 0.500 0.002 0.134 0.260 0.349 0.248
Robert Morris 17 0.529 0.003 0.074 0.253 0.405 0.244
Johns Hopkins 16 0.500 0.005 0.091 0.228 0.393 0.237
Villanova 15 0.533 0.005 0.093 0.212 0.386 0.230
Drexel 15 0.467 0.006 0.088 0.241 0.356 0.228
Furman 13 0.286 0.014 0.138 0.295 0.228 0.221
Massachusetts-Lowell 14 0.357 0.011 0.078 0.260 0.322 0.220
Providence 16 0.438 0.007 0.085 0.236 0.327 0.216
Marist 17 0.588 0.000 0.022 0.177 0.432 0.211
Brown 16 0.438 0.003 0.047 0.199 0.376 0.207
Harvard 13 0.385 0.000 0.101 0.217 0.291 0.203
Jacksonville 15 0.400 0.008 0.049 0.206 0.340 0.199
Michigan 13 0.308 0.007 0.083 0.175 0.270 0.176
Fairfield 14 0.357 0.015 0.131 0.186 0.184 0.167
Bucknell 15 0.400 0.003 0.013 0.171 0.308 0.164
Mount St Marys 16 0.562 0.002 0.057 0.161 0.269 0.163
Colgate 13 0.308 0.000 0.015 0.152 0.286 0.151
Lafayette 15 0.267 0.000 0.057 0.154 0.241 0.151
Utah 15 0.333 0.006 0.086 0.115 0.208 0.136
Manhattan 14 0.429 0.000 0.047 0.140 0.213 0.133
Monmouth 12 0.333 0.000 0.026 0.142 0.231 0.133
St. John’s 14 0.286 0.005 0.032 0.101 0.220 0.118
Dartmouth 13 0.154 0.000 0.064 0.115 0.168 0.116
VMI 12 0.308 0.000 0.017 0.133 0.158 0.103
Bellarmine 13 0.231 0.000 0.030 0.133 0.141 0.101
Hartford 15 0.267 0.000 0.006 0.085 0.167 0.086
Bryant 14 0.214 0.000 0.007 0.076 0.161 0.081
Hofstra 14 0.357 0.000 0.000 0.063 0.162 0.075
Binghamton 13 0.154 0.000 0.020 0.066 0.121 0.069
Mercer 13 0.077 0.000 0.010 0.061 0.091 0.054
NJIT 14 0.133 0.000 0.000 0.057 0.076 0.044
Wagner 14 0.143 0.000 0.000 0.045 0.059 0.035
St. Bonaventure 13 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000