Our game control metric accounts for the percentage of the game that a team is “in-control” which is defined as a win-probability greater than 75%. The numbers in the table represent the percentage of time that each team meets this threshold, so 1.000 means “in control for entire period” and 0.000 means that their win percentage was never greater than 75%. We have split it out by quarter to increase the granularity with which you can analyze each team. For more detail on the methodology, check out the post we published with the first release of the table.
Last Updated: Apr 21, 2019 06:10 CT
Team Games Played Win% Q1 Avg Control Q2 Avg Control Q3 Avg Control Q4 Avg Control Post Q1 Avg.
Penn State 11 0.909 0.061 0.544 0.659 0.807 0.670
Loyola MD 12 0.750 0.044 0.433 0.639 0.699 0.590
Air Force 12 0.692 0.019 0.421 0.601 0.683 0.569
Maryland 12 0.833 0.010 0.249 0.516 0.719 0.495
Delaware 12 0.833 0.000 0.138 0.504 0.783 0.475
Massachusetts 12 0.667 0.009 0.245 0.512 0.626 0.461
Hobart and William 13 0.750 0.005 0.191 0.525 0.657 0.457
Boston U 13 0.692 0.011 0.271 0.431 0.665 0.456
Yale 11 0.800 0.003 0.133 0.429 0.757 0.440
Penn 10 0.700 0.019 0.241 0.464 0.589 0.431
Ohio State 10 0.800 0.011 0.176 0.457 0.632 0.422
Cornell 12 0.667 0.012 0.121 0.440 0.642 0.401
North Carolina 12 0.583 0.026 0.229 0.445 0.527 0.400
Duke 13 0.786 0.024 0.094 0.376 0.687 0.386
High Point 12 0.833 0.006 0.233 0.400 0.519 0.384
Lehigh 13 0.615 0.016 0.179 0.381 0.528 0.363
Vermont 11 0.583 0.016 0.227 0.397 0.456 0.360
Denver 11 0.636 0.021 0.121 0.393 0.550 0.355
Notre Dame 11 0.545 0.012 0.127 0.451 0.459 0.346
Princeton 12 0.500 0.013 0.159 0.391 0.475 0.342
Marquette 12 0.462 0.018 0.158 0.350 0.513 0.340
Richmond 12 0.583 0.016 0.197 0.345 0.472 0.338
Towson 11 0.636 0.003 0.097 0.328 0.582 0.336
Georgetown 13 0.692 0.005 0.132 0.308 0.566 0.335
Syracuse 11 0.727 0.000 0.099 0.361 0.527 0.329
Detroit 11 0.636 0.000 0.130 0.359 0.495 0.328
Navy 11 0.455 0.002 0.159 0.348 0.448 0.318
Siena 11 0.545 0.036 0.156 0.350 0.429 0.312
Rutgers 12 0.500 0.000 0.168 0.313 0.443 0.308
Robert Morris 13 0.417 0.004 0.096 0.330 0.475 0.300
Canisius 14 0.615 0.015 0.146 0.282 0.472 0.300
Sacred Heart 13 0.615 0.013 0.131 0.299 0.439 0.290
UMBC 10 0.273 0.020 0.234 0.326 0.297 0.286
Johns Hopkins 11 0.545 0.007 0.131 0.279 0.440 0.283
Army 12 0.750 0.000 0.057 0.292 0.475 0.275
Stony Brook 12 0.615 0.000 0.121 0.298 0.400 0.273
Virginia 13 0.769 0.035 0.183 0.247 0.369 0.266
Holy Cross 11 0.545 0.003 0.167 0.258 0.371 0.265
Saint Joseph’s 12 0.500 0.005 0.092 0.341 0.343 0.258
Cleveland State 13 0.462 0.024 0.133 0.314 0.315 0.254
Providence 13 0.462 0.008 0.104 0.286 0.366 0.252
Quinnipiac 11 0.545 0.001 0.172 0.263 0.315 0.250
Massachusetts-Lowell 12 0.385 0.013 0.091 0.301 0.357 0.250
Harvard 11 0.455 0.000 0.123 0.263 0.351 0.246
Marist 12 0.583 0.000 0.031 0.224 0.480 0.245
Drexel 11 0.455 0.000 0.088 0.258 0.365 0.237
Brown 12 0.417 0.004 0.042 0.199 0.359 0.200
Fairfield 12 0.417 0.017 0.156 0.214 0.218 0.196
Villanova 12 0.583 0.000 0.040 0.185 0.355 0.194
Lafayette 13 0.308 0.000 0.066 0.178 0.282 0.175
Furman 11 0.250 0.000 0.105 0.243 0.156 0.168
Bucknell 12 0.333 0.000 0.017 0.176 0.295 0.163
Mount St Marys 14 0.615 0.002 0.065 0.152 0.267 0.161
Jacksonville 12 0.333 0.000 0.014 0.141 0.305 0.153
Michigan 11 0.273 0.008 0.079 0.135 0.239 0.151
Manhattan 13 0.417 0.000 0.050 0.148 0.230 0.143
St. John’s 12 0.333 0.006 0.037 0.122 0.256 0.138
Dartmouth 11 0.182 0.000 0.076 0.133 0.201 0.137
VMI 10 0.364 0.000 0.020 0.162 0.195 0.126
Utah 13 0.308 0.006 0.082 0.100 0.160 0.114
Bellarmine 11 0.273 0.000 0.035 0.133 0.165 0.111
Colgate 11 0.273 0.000 0.000 0.097 0.231 0.109
Hartford 13 0.308 0.000 0.006 0.099 0.193 0.100
Bryant 13 0.250 0.000 0.007 0.082 0.174 0.088
Monmouth 10 0.300 0.000 0.000 0.080 0.171 0.084
Hofstra 12 0.333 0.000 0.000 0.039 0.172 0.071
Mercer 11 0.091 0.000 0.011 0.072 0.111 0.065
NJIT 12 0.154 0.000 0.000 0.066 0.086 0.050
Wagner 12 0.167 0.000 0.000 0.053 0.070 0.041
Binghamton 11 0.000 0.000 0.024 0.003 0.000 0.009
St. Bonaventure 13 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000