Our game control metric accounts for the percentage of the game that a team is “in-control” which is defined as a win-probability greater than 75%. The numbers in the table represent the percentage of time that each team meets this threshold, so 1.000 means “in control for entire period” and 0.000 means that their win percentage was never greater than 75%. We have split it out by quarter to increase the granularity with which you can analyze each team. For more detail on the methodology, check out the post we published with the first release of the table.
Last Updated: Feb 20, 2019 11:35 CT
Team Games Played Win% Q1 Avg Control Q2 Avg Control Q3 Avg Control Q4 Avg Control Post Q1 Avg.
Princeton 1 1.000 0.136 0.985 1.000 1.000 0.995
Penn State 3 1.000 0.031 0.760 1.000 1.000 0.920
Hobart and William 2 1.000 0.036 0.697 1.000 1.000 0.899
Saint Joseph’s 2 1.000 0.031 0.489 1.000 1.000 0.830
Brown 1 1.000 0.000 0.395 1.000 1.000 0.798
Towson 2 1.000 0.000 0.271 1.000 1.000 0.757
Marquette 2 1.000 0.071 0.670 0.600 1.000 0.757
North Carolina 3 1.000 0.063 0.442 0.824 0.942 0.736
Loyola MD 2 1.000 0.065 0.241 0.942 1.000 0.728
Notre Dame 1 1.000 0.000 0.133 0.955 1.000 0.696
Ohio State 3 1.000 0.036 0.329 0.672 1.000 0.667
Navy 2 1.000 0.000 0.132 0.705 0.986 0.608
Maryland 4 1.000 0.000 0.296 0.732 0.793 0.607
Delaware 2 1.000 0.000 0.000 0.610 1.000 0.537
Boston U 4 0.750 0.037 0.493 0.473 0.626 0.530
Vermont 3 0.667 0.000 0.318 0.580 0.608 0.502
Denver 2 0.500 0.118 0.289 0.667 0.550 0.502
Michigan 2 0.500 0.015 0.422 0.391 0.664 0.492
Air Force 2 0.500 0.000 0.423 0.452 0.496 0.457
Lafayette 4 0.750 0.000 0.218 0.430 0.700 0.450
Syracuse 2 0.500 0.000 0.313 0.512 0.485 0.437
St. John’s 2 0.500 0.032 0.089 0.396 0.610 0.365
Holy Cross 3 0.333 0.012 0.287 0.364 0.395 0.349
Rutgers 3 0.667 0.000 0.191 0.392 0.430 0.338
Sacred Heart 3 0.333 0.051 0.310 0.340 0.304 0.318
Army 3 1.000 0.000 0.060 0.274 0.599 0.311
High Point 4 1.000 0.012 0.218 0.241 0.467 0.309
Massachusetts-Lowell 2 0.500 0.000 0.087 0.462 0.374 0.307
Lehigh 3 0.333 0.005 0.184 0.330 0.398 0.304
Colgate 3 0.667 0.000 0.000 0.327 0.582 0.303
Georgetown 2 1.000 0.000 0.000 0.211 0.661 0.291
Duke 4 0.750 0.000 0.015 0.231 0.481 0.242
Cleveland State 3 0.333 0.000 0.028 0.309 0.335 0.224
Hofstra 2 1.000 0.000 0.000 0.115 0.547 0.221
Bryant 2 0.500 0.000 0.000 0.235 0.407 0.214
Providence 3 0.333 0.000 0.000 0.209 0.385 0.198
Detroit 2 0.500 0.000 0.000 0.093 0.495 0.196
Bucknell 3 0.333 0.000 0.000 0.126 0.352 0.159
Furman 4 0.250 0.000 0.000 0.150 0.242 0.131
Utah 3 0.333 0.000 0.082 0.105 0.196 0.127
Villanova 2 0.500 0.000 0.000 0.024 0.311 0.112
Manhattan 3 0.333 0.000 0.000 0.186 0.138 0.108
Richmond 2 0.667 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.220 0.073
Virginia 3 0.333 0.000 0.000 0.006 0.163 0.056
Drexel 2 0.500 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.168 0.056
Canisius 3 0.333 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.131 0.044
Massachusetts 2 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.075 0.034 0.036
VMI 1 1.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.091 0.030
Yale 1 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.067 0.022
Penn 1 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.055 0.018
Mercer 3 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.031 0.000 0.010
St. Bonaventure 2 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Jacksonville 3 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
NJIT 3 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Wagner 3 0.333 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Bellarmine 3 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Robert Morris 2 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Mount St Marys 2 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Quinnipiac 2 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Johns Hopkins 2 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
UMBC 1 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Stony Brook 1 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Harvard 1 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Fairfield 1 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Monmouth 1 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Hartford 1 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Marist 2 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Dartmouth 1 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Siena 1 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Binghamton 1 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000