Our game control metric accounts for the percentage of the game that a team is “in-control” which is defined as a win-probability greater than 75%. The numbers in the table represent the percentage of time that each team meets this threshold, so 1.000 means “in control for entire period” and 0.000 means that their win percentage was never greater than 75%. We have split it out by quarter to increase the granularity with which you can analyze each team. For more detail on the methodology, check out the post we published with the first release of the table.
Last Updated: Mar 11, 2020 20:03 CT
Team Games Played Win% Q1 Avg Control Q2 Avg Control Q3 Avg Control Q4 Avg Control Post Q1 Avg.
Georgetown 6 1.000 0.044 0.468 0.849 1.000 0.772
North Carolina 7 1.000 0.042 0.447 0.777 0.984 0.736
Cornell 5 1.000 0.036 0.449 0.813 0.826 0.696
Army 8 0.750 0.057 0.484 0.754 0.706 0.648
Providence 6 0.833 0.018 0.312 0.769 0.773 0.618
Syracuse 5 1.000 0.022 0.354 0.615 0.877 0.615
Princeton 5 1.000 0.000 0.138 0.704 0.901 0.581
Hobart and William 5 0.800 0.006 0.315 0.633 0.794 0.581
Bucknell 6 0.833 0.027 0.322 0.633 0.783 0.579
Duke 8 0.750 0.009 0.313 0.607 0.696 0.539
Penn State 7 0.714 0.015 0.446 0.553 0.606 0.535
Mercer 5 0.857 0.000 0.282 0.587 0.694 0.521
UMBC 5 0.800 0.000 0.195 0.478 0.792 0.488
Virginia 6 0.667 0.020 0.329 0.515 0.527 0.457
Michigan 7 0.500 0.025 0.373 0.477 0.474 0.441
Delaware 6 0.667 0.000 0.135 0.458 0.627 0.407
Ohio State 7 0.714 0.000 0.197 0.412 0.591 0.400
Navy 5 0.600 0.027 0.257 0.405 0.500 0.387
Richmond 7 0.571 0.000 0.144 0.381 0.627 0.384
Hofstra 7 0.571 0.000 0.141 0.436 0.574 0.384
Denver 6 0.667 0.019 0.118 0.335 0.629 0.361
Loyola MD 6 0.667 0.000 0.113 0.366 0.567 0.349
Marist 6 0.500 0.000 0.073 0.427 0.523 0.341
Maryland 6 0.833 0.002 0.095 0.333 0.574 0.334
Notre Dame 5 0.400 0.014 0.183 0.355 0.459 0.332
Lehigh 6 0.833 0.000 0.010 0.273 0.710 0.331
Massachusetts 7 0.714 0.000 0.155 0.310 0.508 0.324
Vermont 4 0.750 0.000 0.188 0.333 0.414 0.312
Jacksonville 5 0.500 0.029 0.269 0.236 0.428 0.311
Rutgers 6 0.333 0.009 0.201 0.373 0.348 0.307
Brown 5 0.600 0.006 0.154 0.332 0.416 0.301
Yale 4 0.750 0.000 0.032 0.261 0.598 0.297
Hartford 6 0.500 0.000 0.107 0.258 0.514 0.293
Bryant 7 0.429 0.000 0.084 0.348 0.401 0.278
Boston U 6 0.500 0.006 0.166 0.311 0.334 0.270
Siena 6 0.333 0.000 0.122 0.350 0.334 0.269
Saint Joseph’s 7 0.714 0.000 0.039 0.243 0.520 0.267
Holy Cross 7 0.571 0.000 0.066 0.316 0.403 0.262
Dartmouth 4 0.750 0.000 0.009 0.264 0.500 0.258
Harvard 4 0.500 0.021 0.178 0.293 0.296 0.256
Marquette 7 0.500 0.036 0.151 0.286 0.315 0.250
Robert Morris 6 0.667 0.000 0.044 0.247 0.457 0.249
Utah 6 0.500 0.000 0.059 0.256 0.423 0.246
Villanova 7 0.571 0.000 0.056 0.215 0.443 0.238
Fairfield 7 0.714 0.008 0.000 0.152 0.539 0.230
Drexel 6 0.500 0.000 0.223 0.175 0.285 0.228
Manhattan 6 0.500 0.012 0.054 0.294 0.327 0.225
Monmouth 6 0.333 0.000 0.029 0.246 0.340 0.205
St. John’s 7 0.429 0.000 0.063 0.212 0.321 0.199
Air Force 7 0.571 0.000 0.008 0.162 0.383 0.184
LIU 7 0.143 0.002 0.067 0.164 0.162 0.131
Bellarmine 7 0.250 0.000 0.110 0.147 0.118 0.125
Stony Brook 7 0.714 0.004 0.000 0.054 0.308 0.121
Penn 5 0.400 0.000 0.000 0.182 0.160 0.114
High Point 8 0.250 0.032 0.102 0.117 0.117 0.112
VMI 4 0.000 0.000 0.037 0.085 0.207 0.110
Mount St Marys 8 0.375 0.000 0.000 0.079 0.232 0.104
Cleveland State 7 0.286 0.000 0.005 0.139 0.115 0.086
Detroit 5 0.400 0.037 0.042 0.000 0.216 0.086
Johns Hopkins 6 0.333 0.008 0.009 0.085 0.151 0.082
Quinnipiac 6 0.000 0.008 0.056 0.129 0.011 0.065
Colgate 6 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.147 0.013 0.053
Massachusetts-Lowell 7 0.429 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.150 0.050
Merrimack 6 0.167 0.000 0.000 0.003 0.133 0.045
Wagner 6 0.167 0.000 0.000 0.065 0.051 0.038
Sacred Heart 6 0.167 0.000 0.007 0.005 0.083 0.032
Binghamton 6 0.167 0.003 0.000 0.048 0.014 0.021
NJIT 6 0.143 0.000 0.000 0.037 0.000 0.012
Lafayette 6 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.003 0.001
Furman 6 0.143 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Towson 6 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
St. Bonaventure 6 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Canisius 5 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000