179
Virginia Win Probability: 99.0%
Team Pages
Time Team Play UVA Win Prob.
UVA: 17ND: 9
UVA: 17ND: 9
Q4 0:01 Assisted Goal 99.0%
Q4 0:01 Assisted Goal 99.0%
Q4 0:36 Good Clear 98.8%
Q4 0:36 Good Clear 98.8%
Q4 0:45 Forced Turnover 98.8%
Q4 0:45 Forced Turnover 98.8%
Q4 0:52 Unforced Turnover 98.8%
Q4 0:52 Unforced Turnover 98.8%
Q4 1:01 Ground Ball 98.7%
Q4 1:01 Ground Ball 98.7%
Q4 1:10 Good Clear 98.7%
Q4 1:10 Good Clear 98.7%
Q4 1:26 Saved Shot 98.6%
Q4 1:26 Saved Shot 98.6%
Q4 2:00 Faceoff Win 98.4%
Q4 2:00 Faceoff Win 98.4%
UVA: 17ND: 8
UVA: 17ND: 8
Q4 2:00 Unassisted Goal 98.4%
Q4 2:00 Unassisted Goal 98.4%
Q4 2:27 Good Clear 98.3%
Q4 2:27 Good Clear 98.3%
Q4 2:30 Saved Shot 98.3%
Q4 2:30 Saved Shot 98.3%
Q4 2:46 Missed Shot 98.2%
Q4 2:46 Missed Shot 98.2%
Q4 3:19 Faceoff Win 98.1%
Q4 3:19 Faceoff Win 98.1%
UVA: 16ND: 8
UVA: 16ND: 8
Q4 3:19 Assisted Goal 98.1%
Q4 3:19 Assisted Goal 98.1%
Q4 3:29 Missed Shot 98.0%
Q4 3:29 Missed Shot 98.0%
Q4 3:56 Faceoff Win 97.9%
Q4 3:56 Faceoff Win 97.9%
UVA: 15ND: 8
UVA: 15ND: 8
Q4 3:56 Unassisted Goal 97.9%
Q4 3:56 Unassisted Goal 97.9%
Q4 4:12 Missed Shot 97.8%
Q4 4:12 Missed Shot 97.8%
Q4 4:23 Missed Shot 97.7%
Q4 4:23 Missed Shot 97.7%
Q4 4:39 Missed Shot 97.7%
Q4 4:39 Missed Shot 97.7%
Q4 5:12 Unforced Turnover 97.5%
Q4 5:12 Unforced Turnover 97.5%
Q4 5:12 Unforced Turnover 97.5%
Q4 5:12 Unforced Turnover 97.5%
Q4 5:16 Ground Ball 97.5%
Q4 5:16 Ground Ball 97.5%
Q4 5:20 Ground Ball 97.5%
Q4 5:20 Ground Ball 97.5%
Q4 5:28 Good Clear 97.4%
Q4 5:28 Good Clear 97.4%
Q4 5:36 Forced Turnover 97.4%
Q4 5:36 Forced Turnover 97.4%
Show All Plays

Summary Stats
ND
UVA
Goals
9
17
Possessions
43
47
Shots
30
39
Shots-on-Goal
18
25
Off. Efficiency
20.9%
36.2%
Assist Rate
56%
65%
Save Pct
32.0%
50.0%
Shooting Percentage
30.0%
43.6%
Shot-on-goal Rate
60.0%
64.1%
Faceoff Win Rate
46.4%
53.6%
Turnovers
16
17
Failed Clears
3
3
Groundballs
7
12
Time of Possession
46.3%
53.7%
Avg. Possession Length
37.8
40.2
Time to First Shot
38.5
28.5
Shots per Possession
0.70
0.83
Number of Contributors
20
21
By Quarter: Notre Dame
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
1
1
2
5
Possessions
8
11
9
15
Shots
4
8
6
12
Shots-on-Goal
4
3
4
7
Off. Efficiency
12%
9%
22%
33%
Save Pct
33%
29%
29%
40%
Shooting Percentage
25%
12%
33%
42%
Shot-on-goal Rate
100%
38%
67%
58%
Faceoff Win Rate
50%
71%
25%
43%
Groundball Win Rate
33%
50%
0%
33%
Turnover Rate
50%
27%
44%
33%
Time of Possession
36%
46%
51%
52%
Avg. Possession Length
39.1
35.0
51.9
30.8
Time to First Shot
41.8
34.1
44.6
36.6
Shots per Possession
0.50
0.73
0.67
0.80
Assist Rate
0%
100%
50%
60%
By Quarter: Virginia
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
4
5
5
3
Possessions
12
10
12
13
Shots
10
10
11
8
Shots-on-Goal
6
7
7
5
Off. Efficiency
33%
50%
42%
23%
Save Pct
75%
67%
50%
29%
Shooting Percentage
40%
50%
45%
38%
Shot-on-goal Rate
60%
70%
64%
62%
Faceoff Win Rate
50%
29%
75%
57%
Groundball Win Rate
67%
50%
100%
67%
Turnover Rate
50%
20%
33%
38%
Time of Possession
64%
54%
49%
48%
Avg. Possession Length
47.2
44.7
37.1
33.1
Time to First Shot
27.3
32.2
27.4
27.2
Shots per Possession
0.83
1.00
0.92
0.62
Assist Rate
50%
80%
80%
33%
Summary Stats
ND
UVA
Goals
9
17
Poss.
43
47
Shots
30
39
Shots-on-Goal
18
25
Off. Eff%
20.9%
36.2%
Assist %
56%
65%
Save Pct
32.0%
50.0%
Shooting %
30.0%
43.6%
SOG %
60.0%
64.1%
FO Win %
46.4%
53.6%
Turnovers
16
17
Failed Clears
3
3
Groundballs
7
12
T.O.P.
46.3%
53.7%
Avg Poss Length
37.8
40.2
Time to 1st Shot
38.5
28.5
Shots / Poss
0.70
0.83
# of Contributors
20
21
By Quarter: Notre Dame
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
1
1
2
5
Poss.
8
11
9
15
Shots
4
8
6
12
SOG
4
3
4
7
Off. Eff%
12%
9%
22%
33%
Save Pct
33%
29%
29%
40%
Shooting %
25%
12%
33%
42%
SOG %
100%
38%
67%
58%
FO Win %
50%
71%
25%
43%
GB Win %
33%
50%
0%
33%
Turnover %
50%
27%
44%
33%
T.O.P.
36%
46%
51%
52%
Poss Len.
39.1
35.0
51.9
30.8
Time to 1st
41.8
34.1
44.6
36.6
Shots / Poss
0.50
0.73
0.67
0.80
Assist %
0%
100%
50%
60%
By Quarter: Virginia
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
4
5
5
3
Poss.
12
10
12
13
Shots
10
10
11
8
SOG
6
7
7
5
Off. Eff%
33%
50%
42%
23%
Save Pct
75%
67%
50%
29%
Shooting %
40%
50%
45%
38%
SOG %
60%
70%
64%
62%
FO Win %
50%
29%
75%
57%
GB Win %
67%
50%
100%
67%
Turnover %
50%
20%
33%
38%
T.O.P.
64%
54%
49%
48%
Poss Len.
47.2
44.7
37.1
33.1
Time to 1st
27.3
32.2
27.4
27.2
Shots / Poss
0.83
1.00
0.92
0.62
Assist %
50%
80%
80%
33%
Notre Dame Virginia
Player EGA Player EGA
Notre Dame Virginia
Player EGA Player EGA
Griffin Westlin 4.13 Matt Moore 5.14
Griffin Westlin 4.13 Matt Moore 5.14
Pat Kavanagh 3.93 Michael Kraus 4.31
Pat Kavanagh 3.93 Michael Kraus 4.31
Charles Leonard 2.21 Dox Aitken 4.06
Charles Leonard 2.21 Dox Aitken 4.06


According to #LaxWP, @UVAMensLacrosse currently has a 99.0% win probability against @NDlacrosse

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LacrosseReference Preview: Virginia vs Notre Dame

Tale of the Tape

Stat Category
Virginia
Notre Dame
Strength of Record
17th
38th
Lax-ELO Ranking
15th
28th
Adjusted Shooting %
45th
40th
Adjusted Efficiency
32nd
20th
Time of Possession
32nd
67th
Roster Depth
2nd
36th
Pace
14th
73rd

Team Pages

Style Comparison

Virginia Offense
vs.
Notre Dame Defense
UVA Off: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Pct of Poss.
25.5%
39.3%
35.2%
Pct of Goals
24.3%
40.0%
35.7%
Efficiency
27.0%
28.9%
28.7%
Ranking
42nd
38th
43rd
ND Def: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Efficiency
11.8%
28.3%
32.9%
Ranking
1st
36th
46th
Virginia Defense
vs.
Notre Dame Offense
ND Off: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Pct of Poss.
25.9%
39.9%
34.2%
Pct of Goals
29.6%
42.6%
27.8%
Efficiency
39.0%
36.5%
27.8%
Ranking
8th
11th
47th
UVA Def: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Efficiency
30.6%
25.6%
26.1%
Ranking
49th
21st
18th

Quarter Breakdowns

Virginia: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Offensive Efficiency
35.1%
32.4%
23.5%
25.4%
Scoring Margin
+15
+5
-7
+2
Shooting %
32%
31%
28%
22%
Turnover Rate
26.0%
29.4%
52.9%
28.4%
Shots-on-Goal %
61%
56%
65%
53%
Time-of-Possession
48%
55%
49%
53%
Faceoff Win Rate
50%
53%
60%
53%
Time/Possession
35.6s
42.5s
40.3s
38.0s
Time to First Shot
25.2s
35.1s
29.6s
29.8s
Shots per Possession
1.16
1.04
0.87
1.19
Defensive Efficiency
18.2%
27.9%
34.8%
28.3%
Save Pct
68.4%
58.5%
43.9%
44.4%
Notre Dame: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Offensive Efficiency
22.6%
38.6%
36.2%
23.2%
Scoring Margin
+1
+7
+2
-7
Shooting %
25%
28%
40%
25%
Turnover Rate
35.5%
22.8%
34.5%
50.0%
Shots-on-Goal %
59%
57%
70%
62%
Time-of-Possession
48%
45%
36%
44%
Faceoff Win Rate
57%
40%
38%
42%
Time/Possession
40.6s
42.0s
33.1s
41.9s
Time to First Shot
36.0s
32.9s
28.3s
25.1s
Shots per Possession
0.93
1.41
0.90
0.95
Defensive Efficiency
20.3%
26.8%
29.7%
30.3%
Save Pct
45.8%
58.3%
54.8%
44.4%

EGA Leaders

Virginia
Notre Dame
Offensive Leaders
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Matt Moore
13
10
Michael Kraus
42
9
Payton Cormier
137
47
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Bryan Costabile
121
80
Pat Kavanagh
174
26
Griffin Westlin
237
92
Defensive Leaders
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Jared Conners
38
14
Kyle Kology
79
27
Scott Bower
173
39
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Jack Kielty
108
8
Arden Cohen
136
326
Daniel Cassidy
217
294
Faceoff Leaders
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Petey LaSalla
28
4
Justin Schwenk
96
10
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Charles Leonard
46
8
John Hallenbeck
443
38
Nat'l Rank refers to the player's ranking nationally within the offensive/defensive/faceoff category. Change indicates how that ranking has changed in the past week. Check out all the leaders here.

Trending Up or Down

Virginia
Notre Dame
Stat
Previous 3 games
Last 3 games
Previous 3 games
Last 3 games
Record
2 - 1
2 - 1
2 - 1
0 - 3
Save Pct
57%
51%
59%
45%
Offensive Efficiency
26%
32%
31%
29%
Shooting Pct
26%
30%
29%
30%
Defensive Efficiency
26%
29%
21%
33%
Face-off Win%
49%
61%
50%
32%
Turnover Rate
30%
38%
35%
36%
Time-of-Possession
45%
56%
47%
39%
Avg Possession Length
35.0s
41.0s
38.6s
39.0s

Virginia vs Notre Dame

Tale of the Tape

Stat
Virginia
Notre Dame
Strength of Rec.
17th
38th
Lax-ELO Rank
15th
28th
Adj Shooting %
45th
40th
Adj Efficiency
32nd
20th
T.O.P.
32nd
67th
Roster Depth
2nd
36th
Pace
14th
73rd

Team Pages

Quarter Breakdowns

Virginia: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Off Eff %
35.1%
32.4%
23.5%
25.4%
Scoring Margin
+15
+5
-7
+2
Shooting %
32%
31%
28%
22%
Turnover %
26.0%
29.4%
52.9%
28.4%
SOG %
61%
56%
65%
53%
TOP %
48%
55%
49%
53%
FO Win %
50%
53%
60%
53%
Time/Poss
35.6s
42.5s
40.3s
38.0s
Time to 1st
25.2s
35.1s
29.6s
29.8s
Shots/Poss
1.16
1.04
0.87
1.19
Def. Eff %
18.2%
27.9%
34.8%
28.3%
Save %
68.4%
58.5%
43.9%
44.4%
Notre Dame: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Off Eff %
22.6%
38.6%
36.2%
23.2%
Scoring Margin
+1
+7
+2
-7
Shooting %
25%
28%
40%
25%
Turnover %
35.5%
22.8%
34.5%
50.0%
SOG %
59%
57%
70%
62%
TOP %
48%
45%
36%
44%
FO Win %
57%
40%
38%
42%
Time/Poss
40.6s
42.0s
33.1s
41.9s
Time to 1st
36.0s
32.9s
28.3s
25.1s
Shots/Poss
0.93
1.41
0.90
0.95
Def. Eff %
20.3%
26.8%
29.7%
30.3%
Save %
45.8%
58.3%
54.8%
44.4%

EGA Leaders

Virginia
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Matt Moore
13
10
Michael Kraus
42
9
Payton Cormier
137
47
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Jared Conners
38
14
Kyle Kology
79
27
Scott Bower
173
39
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Petey LaSalla
28
4
Justin Schwenk
96
10
Notre Dame
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Bryan Costabile
121
80
Pat Kavanagh
174
26
Griffin Westlin
237
92
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Jack Kielty
108
8
Arden Cohen
136
326
Daniel Cassidy
217
294
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Charles Leonard
46
8
John Hallenbeck
443
38
Nat'l Rank refers to the player's ranking nationally within the offensive/defensive/faceoff category. Change indicates how that ranking has changed in the past week. Check out all the leaders here.
Win probability is an estimate based on the win percentage of every team that has been in a comparable time and score situation. We start with the basic time and score, then add or subtract win probability from each team depending on the recent sequence of plays and what that tells us about the likelihood that each team will score. Please, please, please do not treat this as a prediction. 90% win probability does not mean that the team has a 90% chance to win; it means that teams in the current situation have won 90% of the time. Win probabilities at the opening face-off are based on our current ELO ratings.

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Team Pages