Win probability is an estimate based on the win percentage of every team that has been in a comparable time and score situation. We start with the basic time and score, then add or subtract win probability from each team depending on the recent sequence of plays and what that tells us about the likelihood that each team will score. Please, please, please do not treat this as a prediction. 90% win probability does not mean that the team has a 90% chance to win; it means that teams in the current situation have won 90% of the time. Win probabilities at the opening face-off are based on our current ELO ratings.

UMBC Win Probability: 0.0%
Recent Plays
Game State Team Play Elapsed UMBC Win Odds
TOWSON +2 Blocked Shot 0s 0.0%
TOWSON +2 Good Clear 1s -0.0%
TOWSON +2 Ground Ball 2s -0.0%
TOWSON +2 Unforced Turnover 2s -0.0%
TOWSON +2 Failed Clear 24s -0.3%
TOWSON +2 Ground Ball 6s -0.1%
TOWSON +2 Missed Shot 6s -0.1%
TOWSON +2 Missed Shot 10s -0.8%
TOWSON +2 Good Clear 22s -2.2%
TOWSON +2 Forced Turnover 6s -0.1%
TOWSON +2 Timeout 23s +0.1%
TOWSON +2 Ground Ball 0s +0.4%
TOWSON +2 Good Clear 19s +1.0%
TOWSON +2 Unforced Turnover 4s +0.0%
TOWSON +2 Good Clear 3s -0.4%
TOWSON +2 Ground Ball 4s -2.6%
TOWSON +2 Forced Turnover 52s +0.5%
TOWSON +2 Missed Shot 8s +0.4%
TOWSON +2 Faceoff Win 0s +0.4%
TOWSON +2 Unassisted Goal 21s +1.0%