1314
Fairfield Win Probability: 14.2%
Team Pages
Time Team Play FFL Win Prob.
Q4 0:01 Good Clear 14.2%
Q4 0:01 Good Clear 14.2%
Q4 0:08 Saved Shot 1.0%
Q4 0:08 Saved Shot 1.0%
Q4 0:40 Ground Ball 1.2%
Q4 0:40 Ground Ball 1.2%
Q4 0:48 Missed Shot 1.2%
Q4 0:48 Missed Shot 1.2%
Q4 1:29 Good Clear 7.8%
Q4 1:29 Good Clear 7.8%
Q4 1:31 Ground Ball 8.9%
Q4 1:31 Ground Ball 8.9%
Q4 1:32 Saved Shot 10.0%
Q4 1:32 Saved Shot 10.0%
Q4 2:06 Faceoff Win 14.6%
Q4 2:06 Faceoff Win 14.6%
FFL: 13PC: 14
FFL: 13PC: 14
Q4 2:06 Assisted Goal 17.3%
Q4 2:06 Assisted Goal 17.3%
Q4 2:39 Faceoff Win 4.4%
Q4 2:39 Faceoff Win 4.4%
FFL: 12PC: 14
FFL: 12PC: 14
Q4 2:39 Assisted Goal 1.6%
Q4 2:39 Assisted Goal 1.6%
Q4 3:10 Good Clear 16.8%
Q4 3:10 Good Clear 16.8%
Q4 3:22 Unforced Turnover 20.0%
Q4 3:22 Unforced Turnover 20.0%
Q4 4:33 Failed Clear 28.9%
Q4 4:33 Failed Clear 28.9%
Q4 4:38 Saved Shot 23.6%
Q4 4:38 Saved Shot 23.6%
Q4 5:13 Good Clear 30.1%
Q4 5:13 Good Clear 30.1%
Q4 5:32 Unforced Turnover 24.5%
Q4 5:32 Unforced Turnover 24.5%
Q4 6:39 Good Clear 41.3%
Q4 6:39 Good Clear 41.3%
Q4 6:45 Saved Shot 45.3%
Q4 6:45 Saved Shot 45.3%
Q4 6:55 Missed Shot 49.0%
Q4 6:55 Missed Shot 49.0%
Q4 7:04 Missed Shot 41.6%
Q4 7:04 Missed Shot 41.6%
Q4 7:38 Faceoff Win 41.3%
Q4 7:38 Faceoff Win 41.3%
FFL: 12PC: 13
FFL: 12PC: 13
Q4 7:38 Assisted Goal 39.9%
Q4 7:38 Assisted Goal 39.9%
Q4 7:48 Missed Shot 22.4%
Q4 7:48 Missed Shot 22.4%
Q4 8:19 Faceoff Win 23.6%
Q4 8:19 Faceoff Win 23.6%
FFL: 11PC: 13
FFL: 11PC: 13
Q4 8:19 Assisted Goal 21.8%
Q4 8:19 Assisted Goal 21.8%
Show All Plays

Summary Stats
PC
FFL
Goals
14
13
Possessions
40
42
Shots
43
42
Shots-on-Goal
26
25
Off. Efficiency
35.0%
31.0%
Assist Rate
29%
69%
Save Pct
48.0%
46.2%
Shooting Percentage
32.6%
31.0%
Shot-on-goal Rate
60.5%
59.5%
Faceoff Win Rate
42.9%
57.1%
Turnovers
11
10
Failed Clears
5
3
Groundballs
12
6
Time of Possession
60.8%
39.2%
Avg. Possession Length
49.5
30.4
Time to First Shot
31.0
26.8
Shots per Possession
1.07
1.00
Number of Contributors
18
16
By Quarter: Providence
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
3
4
5
2
Possessions
11
10
11
8
Shots
7
12
14
10
Shots-on-Goal
5
7
8
6
Off. Efficiency
27%
40%
45%
25%
Save Pct
57%
60%
33%
43%
Shooting Percentage
43%
33%
36%
20%
Shot-on-goal Rate
71%
58%
57%
60%
Faceoff Win Rate
33%
33%
56%
43%
Groundball Win Rate
25%
86%
50%
100%
Turnover Rate
36%
30%
18%
25%
Time of Possession
50%
65%
68%
62%
Avg. Possession Length
41.2
52.7
50.8
54.9
Time to First Shot
38.7
27.5
33.6
23.2
Shots per Possession
0.64
1.20
1.27
1.25
Assist Rate
0%
25%
40%
50%
By Quarter: Fairfield
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
3
2
4
4
Possessions
12
11
9
10
Shots
11
11
10
10
Shots-on-Goal
7
5
6
7
Off. Efficiency
25%
18%
44%
40%
Save Pct
40%
43%
38%
67%
Shooting Percentage
27%
18%
40%
40%
Shot-on-goal Rate
64%
45%
60%
70%
Faceoff Win Rate
67%
67%
44%
57%
Groundball Win Rate
75%
14%
50%
0%
Turnover Rate
17%
36%
22%
20%
Time of Possession
50%
35%
32%
38%
Avg. Possession Length
37.2
26.3
29.9
27.3
Time to First Shot
33.0
20.0
22.2
28.6
Shots per Possession
0.92
1.00
1.11
1.00
Assist Rate
33%
50%
100%
75%
Summary Stats
PC
FFL
Goals
14
13
Poss.
40
42
Shots
43
42
Shots-on-Goal
26
25
Off. Eff%
35.0%
31.0%
Assist %
29%
69%
Save Pct
48.0%
46.2%
Shooting %
32.6%
31.0%
SOG %
60.5%
59.5%
FO Win %
42.9%
57.1%
Turnovers
11
10
Failed Clears
5
3
Groundballs
12
6
T.O.P.
60.8%
39.2%
Avg Poss Length
49.5
30.4
Time to 1st Shot
31.0
26.8
Shots / Poss
1.07
1.00
# of Contributors
18
16
By Quarter: Providence
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
3
4
5
2
Poss.
11
10
11
8
Shots
7
12
14
10
SOG
5
7
8
6
Off. Eff%
27%
40%
45%
25%
Save Pct
57%
60%
33%
43%
Shooting %
43%
33%
36%
20%
SOG %
71%
58%
57%
60%
FO Win %
33%
33%
56%
43%
GB Win %
25%
86%
50%
100%
Turnover %
36%
30%
18%
25%
T.O.P.
50%
65%
68%
62%
Poss Len.
41.2
52.7
50.8
54.9
Time to 1st
38.7
27.5
33.6
23.2
Shots / Poss
0.64
1.20
1.27
1.25
Assist %
0%
25%
40%
50%
By Quarter: Fairfield
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
3
2
4
4
Poss.
12
11
9
10
Shots
11
11
10
10
SOG
7
5
6
7
Off. Eff%
25%
18%
44%
40%
Save Pct
40%
43%
38%
67%
Shooting %
27%
18%
40%
40%
SOG %
64%
45%
60%
70%
FO Win %
67%
67%
44%
57%
GB Win %
75%
14%
50%
0%
Turnover %
17%
36%
22%
20%
T.O.P.
50%
35%
32%
38%
Poss Len.
37.2
26.3
29.9
27.3
Time to 1st
33.0
20.0
22.2
28.6
Shots / Poss
0.92
1.00
1.11
1.00
Assist %
33%
50%
100%
75%
Providence Fairfield
Player EGA Player EGA
Providence Fairfield
Player EGA Player EGA
Sean Leahey 5.52 Dylan Beckwith 4.06
Sean Leahey 5.52 Dylan Beckwith 4.06
Tim Hinrichs 3.88 Frankie Labetti 3.36
Tim Hinrichs 3.88 Frankie Labetti 3.36
Matt Grillo 3.22 Bryce Ford 2.89
Matt Grillo 3.22 Bryce Ford 2.89


According to #LaxWP, @PCFriarsLax currently has a 85.8% win probability against @StagsMensLax

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LacrosseReference Preview: Providence vs Fairfield

Tale of the Tape

Stat Category
Providence
Fairfield
Strength of Record
8th
27th
Lax-ELO Ranking
18th
47th
Adjusted Shooting %
46th
10th
Adjusted Efficiency
6th
35th
Time of Possession
30th
42nd
Roster Depth
44th
25th
Pace
48th
7th

Team Pages

Style Comparison

Providence Offense
vs.
Fairfield Defense
PC Off: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Pct of Poss.
31.6%
43.9%
24.5%
Pct of Goals
32.2%
40.7%
27.1%
Efficiency
30.6%
27.9%
33.3%
Ranking
32nd
41st
27th
FFL Def: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Efficiency
33.3%
41.3%
35.1%
Ranking
56th
71st
51st
Providence Defense
vs.
Fairfield Offense
FFL Off: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Pct of Poss.
18.9%
37.7%
43.4%
Pct of Goals
22.4%
33.7%
43.9%
Efficiency
44.0%
33.0%
37.4%
Ranking
2nd
16th
16th
PC Def: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Efficiency
26.3%
18.1%
17.9%
Ranking
31st
5th
2nd

Quarter Breakdowns

Providence: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Offensive Efficiency
35.3%
40.3%
25.9%
20.4%
Scoring Margin
+8
+14
+3
-5
Shooting %
34%
36%
25%
17%
Turnover Rate
37.3%
35.5%
29.6%
51.9%
Shots-on-Goal %
60%
59%
62%
50%
Time-of-Possession
46%
56%
51%
54%
Faceoff Win Rate
36%
36%
29%
42%
Time/Possession
48.1s
49.8s
51.4s
49.5s
Time to First Shot
38.9s
32.6s
38.7s
39.8s
Shots per Possession
1.09
1.17
1.08
1.22
Defensive Efficiency
17.2%
20.4%
20.0%
23.2%
Save Pct
63.0%
63.3%
66.7%
59.0%
Fairfield: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Offensive Efficiency
39.1%
27.8%
45.2%
42.7%
Scoring Margin
-4
-13
+11
+12
Shooting %
32%
27%
40%
42%
Turnover Rate
48.4%
45.8%
29.8%
33.3%
Shots-on-Goal %
67%
56%
71%
74%
Time-of-Possession
47%
44%
54%
50%
Faceoff Win Rate
43%
51%
54%
50%
Time/Possession
45.4s
39.0s
42.4s
39.0s
Time to First Shot
27.9s
26.4s
32.3s
32.0s
Shots per Possession
1.24
1.05
1.13
1.00
Defensive Efficiency
36.2%
43.4%
39.7%
29.0%
Save Pct
43.1%
45.9%
43.8%
56.5%

EGA Leaders

Providence
Fairfield
Offensive Leaders
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Matt Grillo
44
4
Sean Leahey
57
7
Dan Axelson
195
46
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Dylan Beckwith
4
Bryce Ford
27
22
Taylor Strough
35
37
Defensive Leaders
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Emmett Jennings
10
6
Mike Ogrady
116
35
Nick Shaw
177
15
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Brian Cosgrove
51
11
George Elmquist
585
40
Jon Wheat
963
96
Faceoff Leaders
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
RJ Romeo
41
5
Dante Pasqualoni
555
74
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Frankie Labetti
7
16
Jake Tymon
107
3
Nat'l Rank refers to the player's ranking nationally within the offensive/defensive/faceoff category. Change indicates how that ranking has changed in the past week. Check out all the leaders here.

Trending Up or Down

Providence
Fairfield
Stat
Previous 3 games
Last 3 games
Previous 3 games
Last 3 games
Record
3 - 0
2 - 1
2 - 1
2 - 1
Save Pct
68%
59%
44%
52%
Offensive Efficiency
30%
32%
38%
36%
Shooting Pct
27%
29%
36%
33%
Defensive Efficiency
16%
24%
37%
36%
Face-off Win%
41%
36%
38%
61%
Turnover Rate
43%
33%
42%
38%
Time-of-Possession
51%
52%
45%
53%
Avg Possession Length
46.4s
50.0s
40.2s
38.6s

Providence vs Fairfield

Tale of the Tape

Stat
Providence
Fairfield
Strength of Rec.
8th
27th
Lax-ELO Rank
18th
47th
Adj Shooting %
46th
10th
Adj Efficiency
6th
35th
T.O.P.
30th
42nd
Roster Depth
44th
25th
Pace
48th
7th

Team Pages

Quarter Breakdowns

Providence: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Off Eff %
35.3%
40.3%
25.9%
20.4%
Scoring Margin
+8
+14
+3
-5
Shooting %
34%
36%
25%
17%
Turnover %
37.3%
35.5%
29.6%
51.9%
SOG %
60%
59%
62%
50%
TOP %
46%
56%
51%
54%
FO Win %
36%
36%
29%
42%
Time/Poss
48.1s
49.8s
51.4s
49.5s
Time to 1st
38.9s
32.6s
38.7s
39.8s
Shots/Poss
1.09
1.17
1.08
1.22
Def. Eff %
17.2%
20.4%
20.0%
23.2%
Save %
63.0%
63.3%
66.7%
59.0%
Fairfield: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Off Eff %
39.1%
27.8%
45.2%
42.7%
Scoring Margin
-4
-13
+11
+12
Shooting %
32%
27%
40%
42%
Turnover %
48.4%
45.8%
29.8%
33.3%
SOG %
67%
56%
71%
74%
TOP %
47%
44%
54%
50%
FO Win %
43%
51%
54%
50%
Time/Poss
45.4s
39.0s
42.4s
39.0s
Time to 1st
27.9s
26.4s
32.3s
32.0s
Shots/Poss
1.24
1.05
1.13
1.00
Def. Eff %
36.2%
43.4%
39.7%
29.0%
Save %
43.1%
45.9%
43.8%
56.5%

EGA Leaders

Providence
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Matt Grillo
44
4
Sean Leahey
57
7
Dan Axelson
195
46
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Emmett Jennings
10
6
Mike Ogrady
116
35
Nick Shaw
177
15
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
RJ Romeo
41
5
Dante Pasqualoni
555
74
Fairfield
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Dylan Beckwith
4
Bryce Ford
27
22
Taylor Strough
35
37
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Brian Cosgrove
51
11
George Elmquist
585
40
Jon Wheat
963
96
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Frankie Labetti
7
16
Jake Tymon
107
3
Nat'l Rank refers to the player's ranking nationally within the offensive/defensive/faceoff category. Change indicates how that ranking has changed in the past week. Check out all the leaders here.
Win probability is an estimate based on the win percentage of every team that has been in a comparable time and score situation. We start with the basic time and score, then add or subtract win probability from each team depending on the recent sequence of plays and what that tells us about the likelihood that each team will score. Please, please, please do not treat this as a prediction. 90% win probability does not mean that the team has a 90% chance to win; it means that teams in the current situation have won 90% of the time. Win probabilities at the opening face-off are based on our current ELO ratings.

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Team Pages