Win probability is an estimate based on the win percentage of every team that has been in a comparable time and score situation. We start with the basic time and score, then add or subtract win probability from each team depending on the recent sequence of plays and what that tells us about the likelihood that each team will score. Please, please, please do not treat this as a prediction. 90% win probability does not mean that the team has a 90% chance to win; it means that teams in the current situation have won 90% of the time. Win probabilities at the opening face-off are based on our current ELO ratings.

Penn State Win Probability: 0.0%
Recent Plays
Game State Team Play Elapsed PSU Win Odds
COR +2 Unassisted Goal 0s -3.9%
COR +1 Penalty - 1 min 23s -2.9%
COR +1 Good Clear 1s -5.0%
COR +1 Unforced Turnover 13s -9.3%
COR +1 Timeout 3s +2.3%
COR +1 Ground Ball 56s -0.2%
COR +1 Faceoff Win 0s +4.1%
COR +1 Assisted Goal 1m 2s -16.8%
Tied Ground Ball 4s -4.5%
Tied Saved Shot 27s +3.5%
Tied Saved Shot 0s -1.2%
Tied Penalty - 30 sec 54s -5.0%
Tied Faceoff Win 0s -3.7%
Tied Assisted Goal 39s -16.9%
PSU +1 Good Clear 2s -2.8%
PSU +1 Ground Ball 3s -2.6%
PSU +1 Saved Shot 8s +0.7%
PSU +1 Faceoff Win 0s +2.4%
PSU +1 Assisted Goal 35s +7.7%
Tied Penalty - 30 sec 44s +3.2%