1112
Princeton Win Probability: 1.0%
Team Pages
Time Team Play PRIN Win Prob.
PRIN: 11PENN: 12
PRIN: 11PENN: 12
Q4 0:01 Unassisted Goal 1.0%
Q4 0:01 Unassisted Goal 1.0%
Q4 0:32 Faceoff Win 46.2%
Q4 0:32 Faceoff Win 46.2%
PRIN: 11PENN: 11
PRIN: 11PENN: 11
Q4 0:32 Assisted Goal 52.8%
Q4 0:32 Assisted Goal 52.8%
Q4 0:56 Good Clear 1.3%
Q4 0:56 Good Clear 1.3%
Q4 1:07 Missed Shot 9.0%
Q4 1:07 Missed Shot 9.0%
Q4 1:46 Good Clear 8.3%
Q4 1:46 Good Clear 8.3%
Q4 2:00 Ground Ball 9.8%
Q4 2:00 Ground Ball 9.8%
Q4 2:07 Saved Shot 18.1%
Q4 2:07 Saved Shot 18.1%
Q4 2:36 Faceoff Win 15.6%
Q4 2:36 Faceoff Win 15.6%
PRIN: 10PENN: 11
PRIN: 10PENN: 11
Q4 2:36 Unassisted Goal 13.4%
Q4 2:36 Unassisted Goal 13.4%
Q4 2:49 Missed Shot 43.3%
Q4 2:49 Missed Shot 43.3%
Q4 3:27 Good Clear 48.5%
Q4 3:27 Good Clear 48.5%
Q4 3:33 Saved Shot 53.5%
Q4 3:33 Saved Shot 53.5%
Q4 4:00 Faceoff Win 55.5%
Q4 4:00 Faceoff Win 55.5%
PRIN: 10PENN: 10
PRIN: 10PENN: 10
Q4 4:00 Unassisted Goal 51.8%
Q4 4:00 Unassisted Goal 51.8%
Q4 4:28 Faceoff Win 69.6%
Q4 4:28 Faceoff Win 69.6%
PRIN: 10PENN: 9
PRIN: 10PENN: 9
Q4 4:28 Assisted Goal 73.3%
Q4 4:28 Assisted Goal 73.3%
Q4 5:07 Faceoff Win 79.2%
Q4 5:07 Faceoff Win 79.2%
PRIN: 10PENN: 8
PRIN: 10PENN: 8
Q4 5:07 Unassisted Goal 81.9%
Q4 5:07 Unassisted Goal 81.9%
Q4 5:37 Good Clear 62.5%
Q4 5:37 Good Clear 62.5%
Q4 5:57 Missed Shot 60.7%
Q4 5:57 Missed Shot 60.7%
Q4 6:35 Good Clear 67.2%
Q4 6:35 Good Clear 67.2%
Q4 6:39 Forced Turnover 70.8%
Q4 6:39 Forced Turnover 70.8%
Q4 7:56 Good Clear 71.3%
Q4 7:56 Good Clear 71.3%
Show All Plays

Summary Stats
PENN
PRIN
Goals
12
11
Possessions
51
45
Shots
32
37
Shots-on-Goal
21
28
Off. Efficiency
23.5%
24.4%
Assist Rate
42%
36%
Save Pct
60.7%
42.9%
Shooting Percentage
37.5%
29.7%
Shot-on-goal Rate
65.6%
75.7%
Faceoff Win Rate
61.5%
38.5%
Turnovers
20
14
Failed Clears
1
3
Groundballs
7
13
Time of Possession
54.5%
45.5%
Avg. Possession Length
36.8
34.9
Time to First Shot
33.3
26.1
Shots per Possession
0.63
0.82
Number of Contributors
23
17
By Quarter: Penn
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
3
0
3
6
Possessions
16
12
12
11
Shots
7
7
8
10
Shots-on-Goal
5
2
7
7
Off. Efficiency
19%
0%
25%
55%
Save Pct
50%
33%
90%
50%
Shooting Percentage
43%
0%
38%
60%
Shot-on-goal Rate
71%
29%
88%
70%
Faceoff Win Rate
62%
60%
60%
62%
Groundball Win Rate
29%
40%
29%
100%
Turnover Rate
44%
58%
33%
18%
Time of Possession
56%
61%
53%
49%
Avg. Possession Length
30.9
40.5
38.2
40.0
Time to First Shot
30.5
29.6
34.9
35.9
Shots per Possession
0.44
0.58
0.67
0.91
Assist Rate
33%
0%
67%
33%
By Quarter: Princeton
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
4
4
1
2
Possessions
15
12
10
8
Shots
13
9
11
4
Shots-on-Goal
8
6
10
4
Off. Efficiency
27%
33%
10%
25%
Save Pct
40%
100%
57%
14%
Shooting Percentage
31%
44%
9%
50%
Shot-on-goal Rate
62%
67%
91%
100%
Faceoff Win Rate
38%
40%
40%
38%
Groundball Win Rate
71%
60%
71%
0%
Turnover Rate
20%
33%
30%
50%
Time of Possession
44%
39%
47%
51%
Avg. Possession Length
25.4
26.1
41.0
58.2
Time to First Shot
24.4
23.7
27.2
31.0
Shots per Possession
0.87
0.75
1.10
0.50
Assist Rate
25%
50%
0%
50%
Summary Stats
PENN
PRIN
Goals
12
11
Poss.
51
45
Shots
32
37
Shots-on-Goal
21
28
Off. Eff%
23.5%
24.4%
Assist %
42%
36%
Save Pct
60.7%
42.9%
Shooting %
37.5%
29.7%
SOG %
65.6%
75.7%
FO Win %
61.5%
38.5%
Turnovers
20
14
Failed Clears
1
3
Groundballs
7
13
T.O.P.
54.5%
45.5%
Avg Poss Length
36.8
34.9
Time to 1st Shot
33.3
26.1
Shots / Poss
0.63
0.82
# of Contributors
23
17
By Quarter: Penn
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
3
0
3
6
Poss.
16
12
12
11
Shots
7
7
8
10
SOG
5
2
7
7
Off. Eff%
19%
0%
25%
55%
Save Pct
50%
33%
90%
50%
Shooting %
43%
0%
38%
60%
SOG %
71%
29%
88%
70%
FO Win %
62%
60%
60%
62%
GB Win %
29%
40%
29%
100%
Turnover %
44%
58%
33%
18%
T.O.P.
56%
61%
53%
49%
Poss Len.
30.9
40.5
38.2
40.0
Time to 1st
30.5
29.6
34.9
35.9
Shots / Poss
0.44
0.58
0.67
0.91
Assist %
33%
0%
67%
33%
By Quarter: Princeton
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
4
4
1
2
Poss.
15
12
10
8
Shots
13
9
11
4
SOG
8
6
10
4
Off. Eff%
27%
33%
10%
25%
Save Pct
40%
100%
57%
14%
Shooting %
31%
44%
9%
50%
SOG %
62%
67%
91%
100%
FO Win %
38%
40%
40%
38%
GB Win %
71%
60%
71%
0%
Turnover %
20%
33%
30%
50%
T.O.P.
44%
39%
47%
51%
Poss Len.
25.4
26.1
41.0
58.2
Time to 1st
24.4
23.7
27.2
31.0
Shots / Poss
0.87
0.75
1.10
0.50
Assist %
25%
50%
0%
50%
Penn Princeton
Player EGA Player EGA
Penn Princeton
Player EGA Player EGA
Dylan Gergar 5.47 Michael Sowers 6.15
Dylan Gergar 5.47 Michael Sowers 6.15
Kyle Gallagher 3.02 Connor Mccarthy 2.52
Kyle Gallagher 3.02 Connor Mccarthy 2.52
Sean Lulley 2.49 Chris Brown 1.72
Sean Lulley 2.49 Chris Brown 1.72


According to #LaxWP, @PennMensLax currently has a 99.0% win probability against @TigerLacrosse

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LacrosseReference Preview: Penn vs Princeton

Tale of the Tape

Stat Category
Penn
Princeton
Strength of Record
30th
3rd
Lax-ELO Ranking
20th
12th
Adjusted Shooting %
48th
3rd
Adjusted Efficiency
53rd
3rd
Time of Possession
18th
7th
Roster Depth
19th
16th
Pace
25th
4th

Team Pages

Style Comparison

Penn Offense
vs.
Princeton Defense
PENN Off: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Pct of Poss.
20.2%
33.3%
46.5%
Pct of Goals
18.0%
31.1%
50.8%
Efficiency
25.6%
26.8%
31.3%
Ranking
50th
45th
35th
PRIN Def: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Efficiency
28.9%
15.0%
29.3%
Ranking
40th
1st
31st
Penn Defense
vs.
Princeton Offense
PRIN Off: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Pct of Poss.
24.6%
36.6%
38.7%
Pct of Goals
32.9%
27.8%
39.2%
Efficiency
55.3%
31.4%
41.9%
Ranking
1st
23rd
9th
PENN Def: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Efficiency
34.3%
32.9%
38.0%
Ranking
59th
58th
65th

Quarter Breakdowns

Penn: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Offensive Efficiency
35.9%
25.4%
29.3%
26.4%
Scoring Margin
+7
-3
+3
-7
Shooting %
35%
22%
31%
24%
Turnover Rate
34.4%
30.5%
37.9%
39.6%
Shots-on-Goal %
61%
57%
73%
58%
Time-of-Possession
58%
48%
54%
50%
Faceoff Win Rate
76%
72%
59%
55%
Time/Possession
40.1s
36.1s
42.7s
43.9s
Time to First Shot
29.0s
26.8s
31.8s
27.9s
Shots per Possession
1.05
1.13
0.96
1.14
Defensive Efficiency
32.0%
34.0%
31.1%
39.6%
Save Pct
46.7%
41.9%
51.7%
40.0%
Princeton: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Offensive Efficiency
44.9%
40.8%
44.9%
34.0%
Scoring Margin
+7
+7
+19
+3
Shooting %
34%
36%
48%
39%
Turnover Rate
32.7%
32.7%
30.4%
38.0%
Shots-on-Goal %
56%
70%
75%
66%
Time-of-Possession
49%
55%
62%
57%
Faceoff Win Rate
39%
50%
50%
60%
Time/Possession
45.8s
51.5s
42.7s
47.3s
Time to First Shot
32.1s
37.4s
33.8s
42.3s
Shots per Possession
1.32
1.18
0.94
0.91
Defensive Efficiency
30.6%
26.5%
24.5%
27.5%
Save Pct
50.0%
56.7%
45.5%
56.2%

EGA Leaders

Penn
Princeton
Offensive Leaders
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Sean Lulley
33
11
Dylan Gergar
50
84
Adam Goldner
134
158
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Michael Sowers
1
Connor McCarthy
136
32
Chris Brown
162
8
Defensive Leaders
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
BJ Farrare
47
45
Mark Evanchick
474
214
Peter Blake
500
188
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
George Baughan
226
30
Ben Finlay
232
95
Luca Lazzerreto
342
39
Faceoff Leaders
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Kyle Gallagher
1
17
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Tyler Sandoval
61
22
Jack-Henry Vara
77
7
Nat'l Rank refers to the player's ranking nationally within the offensive/defensive/faceoff category. Change indicates how that ranking has changed in the past week. Check out all the leaders here.

Trending Up or Down

Penn
Princeton
Stat
Season
Last 3 games
Season
Last 3 games
Record
2 - 3
1 - 2
5 - 0
3 - 0
Save Pct
45%
49%
53%
55%
Offensive Efficiency
29%
29%
41%
42%
Shooting Pct
28%
27%
39%
39%
Defensive Efficiency
34%
37%
27%
29%
Face-off Win%
65%
73%
50%
47%
Turnover Rate
36%
36%
33%
37%
Time-of-Possession
52%
55%
56%
56%
Avg Possession Length
39.5s
42.2s
44.8s
50.0s
Since we want to wait for sufficient games to have been played, we have compared each team's full season stats with a subset consisting of the last 3 games.

Penn vs Princeton

Tale of the Tape

Stat
Penn
Princeton
Strength of Rec.
30th
3rd
Lax-ELO Rank
20th
12th
Adj Shooting %
48th
3rd
Adj Efficiency
53rd
3rd
T.O.P.
18th
7th
Roster Depth
19th
16th
Pace
25th
4th

Team Pages

Quarter Breakdowns

Penn: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Off Eff %
35.9%
25.4%
29.3%
26.4%
Scoring Margin
+7
-3
+3
-7
Shooting %
35%
22%
31%
24%
Turnover %
34.4%
30.5%
37.9%
39.6%
SOG %
61%
57%
73%
58%
TOP %
58%
48%
54%
50%
FO Win %
76%
72%
59%
55%
Time/Poss
40.1s
36.1s
42.7s
43.9s
Time to 1st
29.0s
26.8s
31.8s
27.9s
Shots/Poss
1.05
1.13
0.96
1.14
Def. Eff %
32.0%
34.0%
31.1%
39.6%
Save %
46.7%
41.9%
51.7%
40.0%
Princeton: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Off Eff %
44.9%
40.8%
44.9%
34.0%
Scoring Margin
+7
+7
+19
+3
Shooting %
34%
36%
48%
39%
Turnover %
32.7%
32.7%
30.4%
38.0%
SOG %
56%
70%
75%
66%
TOP %
49%
55%
62%
57%
FO Win %
39%
50%
50%
60%
Time/Poss
45.8s
51.5s
42.7s
47.3s
Time to 1st
32.1s
37.4s
33.8s
42.3s
Shots/Poss
1.32
1.18
0.94
0.91
Def. Eff %
30.6%
26.5%
24.5%
27.5%
Save %
50.0%
56.7%
45.5%
56.2%

EGA Leaders

Penn
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Sean Lulley
33
11
Dylan Gergar
50
84
Adam Goldner
134
158
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
BJ Farrare
47
45
Mark Evanchick
474
214
Peter Blake
500
188
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Kyle Gallagher
1
17
Princeton
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Michael Sowers
1
Connor McCarthy
136
32
Chris Brown
162
8
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
George Baughan
226
30
Ben Finlay
232
95
Luca Lazzerreto
342
39
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Tyler Sandoval
61
22
Jack-Henry Vara
77
7
Nat'l Rank refers to the player's ranking nationally within the offensive/defensive/faceoff category. Change indicates how that ranking has changed in the past week. Check out all the leaders here.
Win probability is an estimate based on the win percentage of every team that has been in a comparable time and score situation. We start with the basic time and score, then add or subtract win probability from each team depending on the recent sequence of plays and what that tells us about the likelihood that each team will score. Please, please, please do not treat this as a prediction. 90% win probability does not mean that the team has a 90% chance to win; it means that teams in the current situation have won 90% of the time. Win probabilities at the opening face-off are based on our current ELO ratings.

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Team Pages