Win probability is an estimate based on the win percentage of every team that has been in a comparable time and score situation. We start with the basic time and score, then add or subtract win probability from each team depending on the recent sequence of plays and what that tells us about the likelihood that each team will score. Please, please, please do not treat this as a prediction. 90% win probability does not mean that the team has a 90% chance to win; it means that teams in the current situation have won 90% of the time. Win probabilities at the opening face-off are based on our current ELO ratings.

North Carolina Win Probability: 0.0%
Recent Plays
Game State Team Play Elapsed NC Win Odds
UR +1 Timeout 0s --
UR +1 Timeout 0s --
UR +1 Failed Clear 4s --
UR +1 Ground Ball 3s --
UR +1 Forced Turnover 4s --
UR +1 Ground Ball 36s --
UR +1 Forced Turnover 13s -1.0%
UR +1 Saved Shot 24s -12.1%
UR +1 Timeout 2s -2.3%
UR +1 Missed Shot 5s +5.4%
UR +1 Missed Shot 18s -4.7%
UR +1 Saved Shot 14s -5.1%
UR +1 Missed Shot 12s +4.9%
UR +1 Missed Shot 16s +6.1%
UR +1 Saved Shot 54s -11.8%
UR +1 Good Clear 4s +4.5%
UR +1 Ground Ball 4s +3.5%
UR +1 Saved Shot 39s +3.8%
UR +1 Missed Shot 16s -2.5%
UR +1 Missed Shot 55s +0.4%