Win probability is an estimate based on the win percentage of every team that has been in a comparable time and score situation. We start with the basic time and score, then add or subtract win probability from each team depending on the recent sequence of plays and what that tells us about the likelihood that each team will score. Please, please, please do not treat this as a prediction. 90% win probability does not mean that the team has a 90% chance to win; it means that teams in the current situation have won 90% of the time. Win probabilities at the opening face-off are based on our current ELO ratings.

North Carolina Win Probability: 6.6%
Recent Plays
Game State Team Play Elapsed NC Win Odds
HU +6 Blocked Shot 13s -0.2%
HU +6 Timeout 1s -0.0%
HU +6 Missed Shot 13s -0.2%
HU +6 Faceoff Win 0s 0.0%
HU +6 Unassisted Goal 4s -0.1%
HU +7 Good Clear 1s -0.0%
HU +7 Ground Ball 3s -0.1%
HU +7 Forced Turnover 17s -0.3%
HU +7 Failed Clear 3s -0.1%
HU +7 Ground Ball 4s -0.1%
HU +7 Saved Shot 3s -0.1%
HU +7 Good Clear 1s -0.0%
HU +7 Ground Ball 4s -0.1%
HU +7 Forced Turnover 55s -0.9%
HU +7 Faceoff Win 0s 0.0%
HU +7 Assisted Goal 37s -0.6%
HU +8 Unforced Turnover 3s -0.1%
HU +8 Ground Ball 14s -0.2%
HU +8 Faceoff Win 0s 0.0%
HU +8 Assisted Goal 4s -0.1%