98
DUKE
Q4 0:02
Unassisted Goal
GOAL by DUKE Jp Basile.
Duke Win Prob: 90.8%DUKE WP: 90.8%
Time Team Play DUKE Win Prob.
DUKE: 9UNC: 8
DUKE: 9UNC: 8
Q4 0:01 Unassisted Goal 90.8%
Q4 0:01 Unassisted Goal 90.8%
Q4 0:09 Missed Shot 59.4%
Q4 0:09 Missed Shot 59.4%
Q4 0:40 Good Clear 63.3%
Q4 0:40 Good Clear 63.3%
Q4 0:41 Forced Turnover 56.7%
Q4 0:41 Forced Turnover 56.7%
Q4 1:23 Good Clear 35.3%
Q4 1:23 Good Clear 35.3%
Q4 1:31 Forced Turnover 41.9%
Q4 1:31 Forced Turnover 41.9%
Q4 2:28 Faceoff Win 63.1%
Q4 2:28 Faceoff Win 63.1%
DUKE: 8UNC: 8
DUKE: 8UNC: 8
Q4 2:28 Unassisted Goal 58.0%
Q4 2:28 Unassisted Goal 58.0%
Q4 2:39 Missed Shot 23.6%
Q4 2:39 Missed Shot 23.6%
Q4 3:13 Good Clear 31.3%
Q4 3:13 Good Clear 31.3%
Q4 3:19 Ground Ball 25.9%
Q4 3:19 Ground Ball 25.9%
Q4 3:27 Saved Shot 21.4%
Q4 3:27 Saved Shot 21.4%
Q4 4:08 Faceoff Win 20.0%
Q4 4:08 Faceoff Win 20.0%
DUKE: 7UNC: 8
DUKE: 7UNC: 8
Q4 4:08 Unassisted Goal 22.1%
Q4 4:08 Unassisted Goal 22.1%
Q4 4:53 Penalty - 1 min 33.2%
Q4 4:53 Penalty - 1 min 33.2%
Q4 4:53 Saved Shot 43.2%
Q4 4:53 Saved Shot 43.2%
Q4 5:03 Missed Shot 38.8%
Q4 5:03 Missed Shot 38.8%
Q4 5:15 Missed Shot 45.6%
Q4 5:15 Missed Shot 45.6%
Q4 5:46 Failed Clear 50.7%
Q4 5:46 Failed Clear 50.7%
Q4 5:52 Forced Turnover 53.7%
Q4 5:52 Forced Turnover 53.7%
Q4 7:06 Good Clear 44.2%
Q4 7:06 Good Clear 44.2%
Q4 7:20 Unforced Turnover 61.6%
Q4 7:20 Unforced Turnover 61.6%
Q4 7:42 Faceoff Win 64.7%
Q4 7:42 Faceoff Win 64.7%
DUKE: 7UNC: 7
DUKE: 7UNC: 7
Q4 7:42 Unassisted Goal 60.6%
Q4 7:42 Unassisted Goal 60.6%
Q4 8:16 Penalty - 1 min 50.4%
Q4 8:16 Penalty - 1 min 50.4%
Q4 8:16 Missed Shot 40.3%
Q4 8:16 Missed Shot 40.3%
Show All Plays

Summary Stats
UNC
DUKE
Goals
8
9
Possessions
43
42
Shots
36
31
Shots-on-Goal
18
21
Off. Efficiency
18.6%
21.4%
Assist Rate
62%
33%
Save Pct
57.1%
55.6%
Shooting Percentage
22.2%
29.0%
Shot-on-goal Rate
50.0%
67.7%
Faceoff Win Rate
35.0%
65.0%
Turnovers
19
19
Failed Clears
0
5
Groundballs
9
8
Time of Possession
48.8%
51.2%
Avg. Possession Length
39.7
42.7
Time to First Shot
35.9
30.9
Shots per Possession
0.84
0.74
Number of Contributors
27
24
By Quarter: North Carolina
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
1
2
3
2
Possessions
12
14
10
7
Shots
2
12
10
12
Shots-on-Goal
1
4
6
7
Off. Efficiency
8%
14%
30%
29%
Save Pct
71%
67%
57%
25%
Shooting Percentage
50%
17%
30%
17%
Shot-on-goal Rate
50%
33%
60%
58%
Faceoff Win Rate
25%
50%
29%
40%
Groundball Win Rate
50%
25%
67%
67%
Turnover Rate
83%
29%
30%
29%
Time of Possession
41%
51%
48%
56%
Avg. Possession Length
29.3
32.9
41.8
68.4
Time to First Shot
27.0
33.4
43.2
34.0
Shots per Possession
0.17
0.86
1.00
1.71
Assist Rate
100%
100%
67%
0%
By Quarter: Duke
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
2
1
3
3
Possessions
12
13
10
7
Shots
12
3
9
7
Shots-on-Goal
7
3
7
4
Off. Efficiency
17%
8%
30%
43%
Save Pct
0%
50%
50%
71%
Shooting Percentage
17%
33%
33%
43%
Shot-on-goal Rate
58%
100%
78%
57%
Faceoff Win Rate
75%
50%
71%
60%
Groundball Win Rate
50%
75%
33%
33%
Turnover Rate
42%
54%
40%
43%
Time of Possession
59%
49%
52%
44%
Avg. Possession Length
42.7
34.2
45.9
54.1
Time to First Shot
28.6
26.3
31.2
37.8
Shots per Possession
1.00
0.23
0.90
1.00
Assist Rate
100%
0%
33%
0%
Summary Stats
UNC
DUKE
Goals
8
9
Poss.
43
42
Shots
36
31
Shots-on-Goal
18
21
Off. Eff%
18.6%
21.4%
Assist %
62%
33%
Save Pct
57.1%
55.6%
Shooting %
22.2%
29.0%
SOG %
50.0%
67.7%
FO Win %
35.0%
65.0%
Turnovers
19
19
Failed Clears
0
5
Groundballs
9
8
T.O.P.
48.8%
51.2%
Avg Poss Length
39.7
42.7
Time to 1st Shot
35.9
30.9
Shots / Poss
0.84
0.74
# of Contributors
27
24
By Quarter: North Carolina
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
1
2
3
2
Poss.
12
14
10
7
Shots
2
12
10
12
SOG
1
4
6
7
Off. Eff%
8%
14%
30%
29%
Save Pct
71%
67%
57%
25%
Shooting %
50%
17%
30%
17%
SOG %
50%
33%
60%
58%
FO Win %
25%
50%
29%
40%
GB Win %
50%
25%
67%
67%
Turnover %
83%
29%
30%
29%
T.O.P.
41%
51%
48%
56%
Poss Len.
29.3
32.9
41.8
68.4
Time to 1st
27.0
33.4
43.2
34.0
Shots / Poss
0.17
0.86
1.00
1.71
Assist %
100%
100%
67%
0%
By Quarter: Duke
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
2
1
3
3
Poss.
12
13
10
7
Shots
12
3
9
7
SOG
7
3
7
4
Off. Eff%
17%
8%
30%
43%
Save Pct
0%
50%
50%
71%
Shooting %
17%
33%
33%
43%
SOG %
58%
100%
78%
57%
FO Win %
75%
50%
71%
60%
GB Win %
50%
75%
33%
33%
Turnover %
42%
54%
40%
43%
T.O.P.
59%
49%
52%
44%
Poss Len.
42.7
34.2
45.9
54.1
Time to 1st
28.6
26.3
31.2
37.8
Shots / Poss
1.00
0.23
0.90
1.00
Assist %
100%
0%
33%
0%

[easy-tweet tweet="According to #LaxWP, @DukeMLAX currently has a 90.8% win probability against @UNCMensLacrosse" user="laxreference" url="https://lacrossereference.com/game-win-probabilities/north_carolina_duke_20200424/?utm_source=Social" template="light"]

LacrosseReference Preview: North Carolina vs Duke

3:30 PM

Tale of the Tape

Stat Category
North Carolina
Duke
Strength of Record
2nd
10th
Lax-ELO Ranking
1st
11th
Adjusted Shooting %
4th
5th
Adjusted Efficiency
5th
14th
Time of Possession
10th
11th
Roster Depth
8th
6th
Pace
62nd
33rd

Win Probability

North Carolina
Duke
68.0%
32.0%

Team Pages

Style Comparison

North Carolina Offense
vs.
Duke Defense
UNC Off: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Pct of Poss.
15.7%
38.7%
45.6%
Pct of Goals
11.5%
41.6%
46.9%
Efficiency
30.2%
44.3%
42.4%
Ranking
34th
2nd
6th
DUKE Def: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Efficiency
25.0%
35.5%
28.4%
Ranking
21st
67th
27th
North Carolina Defense
vs.
Duke Offense
DUKE Off: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Pct of Poss.
22.2%
35.1%
42.7%
Pct of Goals
25.2%
37.4%
37.4%
Efficiency
40.3%
37.7%
31.0%
Ranking
5th
8th
37th
UNC Def: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Efficiency
29.6%
29.9%
29.3%
Ranking
44th
44th
32nd

Quarter Breakdowns

North Carolina: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Offensive Efficiency
39.5%
36.2%
35.7%
35.3%
Scoring Margin
+36
+19
+21
+4
Shooting %
39%
40%
35%
37%
Turnover Rate
27.2%
31.9%
32.9%
32.4%
Shots-on-Goal %
64%
64%
66%
65%
Time-of-Possession
52%
50%
53%
52%
Faceoff Win Rate
51%
54%
55%
47%
Time/Possession
41.2s
41.7s
43.8s
47.2s
Time to First Shot
30.4s
33.8s
34.2s
40.3s
Shots per Possession
0.99
0.94
1.03
1.04
Defensive Efficiency
18.8%
25.6%
24.6%
30.8%
Save Pct
58.5%
50.0%
53.2%
42.9%
Duke: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Offensive Efficiency
29.3%
32.9%
32.5%
31.7%
Scoring Margin
EVEN
+10
+14
+3
Shooting %
33%
33%
32%
42%
Turnover Rate
38.6%
33.6%
32.5%
44.4%
Shots-on-Goal %
60%
56%
57%
71%
Time-of-Possession
53%
53%
53%
48%
Faceoff Win Rate
60%
56%
55%
50%
Time/Possession
44.0s
45.4s
40.0s
40.4s
Time to First Shot
32.5s
36.4s
30.1s
33.5s
Shots per Possession
0.92
1.04
1.02
0.76
Defensive Efficiency
32.5%
29.3%
26.9%
28.4%
Save Pct
40.6%
44.6%
47.8%
48.1%

EGA Leaders

North Carolina
Duke
Offensive Leaders
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Chris Gray
2
7
Tanner Cook
31
75
Nicky Solomon
34
2
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Dyson Williams
53
4
Owen Caputo
96
51
Joey Manown
104
10
Defensive Leaders
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Cam Macri
64
27
Will Bowen
68
4
Patrick Lyons
93
4
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
JT Giles-Harris
16
1
Tyler Carpenter
69
37
Kenny Brower
294
248
Faceoff Leaders
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Zac Tucci
3
23
Andrew Tyeryar
104
7
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Jordan Ginder
9
2
Joe Stein
83
6
Nat'l Rank refers to the player's ranking nationally within the offensive/defensive/faceoff category. Change indicates how that ranking has changed in the past week. Check out all the leaders here.

Trending Up or Down

North Carolina
Duke
Stat
Previous 3 games
Last 3 games
Previous 3 games
Last 3 games
Record
2 - 1
3 - 0
2 - 1
2 - 1
Save Pct
53%
54%
51%
41%
Offensive Efficiency
28%
33%
28%
27%
Shooting Pct
36%
36%
36%
28%
Defensive Efficiency
21%
22%
25%
31%
Face-off Win%
41%
53%
59%
52%
Turnover Rate
34%
28%
37%
34%
Time-of-Possession
47%
53%
52%
48%
Avg Possession Length
37.8s
40.1s
35.6s
38.5s

North Carolina vs Duke

Tale of the Tape

Stat
North Carolina
Duke
Strength of Rec.
2nd
10th
Lax-ELO Rank
1st
11th
Adj Shooting %
4th
5th
Adj Efficiency
5th
14th
T.O.P.
10th
11th
Roster Depth
8th
6th
Pace
62nd
33rd

Win Probability

North Carolina
Duke
68.0%
32.0%

Team Pages

Quarter Breakdowns

North Carolina: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Off Eff %
39.5%
36.2%
35.7%
35.3%
Scoring Margin
+36
+19
+21
+4
Shooting %
39%
40%
35%
37%
Turnover %
27.2%
31.9%
32.9%
32.4%
SOG %
64%
64%
66%
65%
TOP %
52%
50%
53%
52%
FO Win %
51%
54%
55%
47%
Time/Poss
41.2s
41.7s
43.8s
47.2s
Time to 1st
30.4s
33.8s
34.2s
40.3s
Shots/Poss
0.99
0.94
1.03
1.04
Def. Eff %
18.8%
25.6%
24.6%
30.8%
Save %
58.5%
50.0%
53.2%
42.9%
Duke: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Off Eff %
29.3%
32.9%
32.5%
31.7%
Scoring Margin
EVEN
+10
+14
+3
Shooting %
33%
33%
32%
42%
Turnover %
38.6%
33.6%
32.5%
44.4%
SOG %
60%
56%
57%
71%
TOP %
53%
53%
53%
48%
FO Win %
60%
56%
55%
50%
Time/Poss
44.0s
45.4s
40.0s
40.4s
Time to 1st
32.5s
36.4s
30.1s
33.5s
Shots/Poss
0.92
1.04
1.02
0.76
Def. Eff %
32.5%
29.3%
26.9%
28.4%
Save %
40.6%
44.6%
47.8%
48.1%

EGA Leaders

North Carolina
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Chris Gray
2
7
Tanner Cook
31
75
Nicky Solomon
34
2
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Cam Macri
64
27
Will Bowen
68
4
Patrick Lyons
93
4
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Zac Tucci
3
23
Andrew Tyeryar
104
7
Duke
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Dyson Williams
53
4
Owen Caputo
96
51
Joey Manown
104
10
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
JT Giles-Harris
16
1
Tyler Carpenter
69
37
Kenny Brower
294
248
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Jordan Ginder
9
2
Joe Stein
83
6
Nat'l Rank refers to the player's ranking nationally within the offensive/defensive/faceoff category. Change indicates how that ranking has changed in the past week. Check out all the leaders here.
Win probability is an estimate based on the win percentage of every team that has been in a comparable time and score situation. We start with the basic time and score, then add or subtract win probability from each team depending on the recent sequence of plays and what that tells us about the likelihood that each team will score. Please, please, please do not treat this as a prediction. 90% win probability does not mean that the team has a 90% chance to win; it means that teams in the current situation have won 90% of the time. Win probabilities at the opening face-off are based on our current ELO ratings.

Either the game hasn't started yet or the streaming site is not sending data. Either way, we'll update this page once the stats start rolling in.

Team Pages
Duke
Player
GoalsG
AssistsA
ShotsSh
TOsTO
GBsGB
FOsFO
EGA
Dyson Williams
3
1
7
4
3
0
3.10
Owen Caputo
2
1
4
3
0
0
2.23
Jordan Ginder
0
0
0
0
0
13
2.04
Nakeie Montgomery
1
1
5
1
1
0
1.91
Jp Basile
1
0
3
0
0
0
1.28
Cameron Badour
1
0
2
0
0
0
1.07
Sean Lowrie
1
0
1
2
0
0
0.78
Jt GilesHarris
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.48
Blake Leischow
0
0
0
0
1
0
0.45
Reilly Walsh
0
0
2
0
0
0
0.43
Brian Smyth
0
0
0
0
1
0
0.31
Walker Scaglione
0
0
0
0
1
0
0.31
Kenny Brower
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.28
Kevin Quigley
0
0
2
0
0
0
0.26
Terry Lindsay
0
0
0
0
1
0
0.17
Joey Manown
0
0
2
2
2
0
0.16
Andrew Bonafede
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.14
Ryan Hastings
0
0
1
0
0
0
0.04
North Carolina
Player
GoalsG
AssistsA
ShotsSh
TOsTO
GBsGB
FOsFO
EGA
Tanner Cook
4
0
8
3
0
0
2.91
Chris Gray
0
2
9
5
4
0
2.27
Nicky Solomon
1
1
6
1
1
0
1.81
Justin Anderson
1
1
4
4
0
0
1.47
Zac Tucci
0
0
0
0
1
7
1.27
Jacob Kelly
1
0
1
1
1
0
1.05
William Perry
1
0
3
1
0
0
0.67
Quintin Oconnell
0
1
0
0
0
0
0.50
Henry Schertzinger
0
0
2
0
0
0
0.43
Will Bowen
0
0
0
0
1
0
0.31
Parker Alexander
0
0
0
0
1
0
0.31
Patrick Lyons
0
0
0
0
1
0
0.31
Matt Gavin
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.28
Harry Schertzinger
0
0
1
0
0
0
0.21
Sean Morris
0
0
1
0
0
0
0.21
Cam Macri
0
0
0
0
1
0
0.17
Connor Maher
0
0
0
0
1
0
0.17
Matt Wright
0
0
0
0
1
0
0.17
Will Robbins
0
0
0
0
1
0
0.17
Chris Nicholas
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.14
Ryan Oconnell
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.14
Brian Cameron
0
0
0
1
1
0
0.03