Warning: Invalid argument supplied for foreach() in /home/lacross9/public_html/wp-content/plugins/wp-d3/wp-d3.php on line 64

Win probability is an estimate based on the win percentage of every team that has been in a comparable time and score situation. We start with the basic time and score, then add or subtract win probability from each team depending on the recent sequence of plays and what that tells us about the likelihood that each team will score. Please, please, please do not treat this as a prediction. 90% win probability does not mean that the team has a 90% chance to win; it means that teams in the current situation have won 90% of the time. Win probabilities at the opening face-off are based on our current ELO ratings.

Mount St Marys Win Probability: 5.3%
Recent Plays
Game State Team Play Elapsed MSM Win Odds
GU +10 Good Clear 3s -0.1%
GU +10 Good Clear 1s -0.0%
GU +10 Ground Ball 4s -0.1%
GU +10 Forced Turnover 18s -0.3%
GU +10 Forced Turnover 4s -0.1%
GU +10 Good Clear 29s -0.5%
GU +10 Missed Shot 3s -0.0%
GU +10 Ground Ball 3s -0.0%
GU +10 Saved Shot 13s -0.2%
GU +10 Missed Shot 44s -0.7%
GU +9 Faceoff Win 21s -0.3%
GU +9 Goalie Change 0s 0.0%
GU +10 Assisted Goal 0s 0.0%
GU +8 Faceoff Win 6s -0.1%
GU +9 Unassisted Goal 0s 0.0%
GU +8 Missed Shot 27s -0.4%
GU +8 Missed Shot 30s -0.5%
GU +8 Penalty – 30 sec 4s -0.1%
GU +8 Goalie Change 44s -0.7%
GU +9 Faceoff Win 18s -0.3%