1210
Michigan Win Probability: 99.0%
MICH
Q4 0:02
Good Clear
Clear attempt by MICH good.
Time Team Play MICH Win Prob.
Q4 0:01 Good Clear 99.0%
Q4 0:01 Good Clear 99.0%
Q4 0:15 Forced Turnover 98.9%
Q4 0:15 Forced Turnover 98.9%
Q4 0:45 Good Clear 95.0%
Q4 0:45 Good Clear 95.0%
Q4 1:04 Ground Ball 94.0%
Q4 1:04 Ground Ball 94.0%
Q4 1:10 Saved Shot 96.2%
Q4 1:10 Saved Shot 96.2%
Q4 1:51 Faceoff Win 94.4%
Q4 1:51 Faceoff Win 94.4%
MICH: 12DEL: 10
MICH: 12DEL: 10
Q4 1:51 Assisted Goal 91.6%
Q4 1:51 Assisted Goal 91.6%
Q4 2:03 Missed Shot 97.1%
Q4 2:03 Missed Shot 97.1%
Q4 2:48 Good Clear 97.9%
Q4 2:48 Good Clear 97.9%
Q4 2:49 Missed Shot 97.9%
Q4 2:49 Missed Shot 97.9%
Q4 3:32 Faceoff Win 95.8%
Q4 3:32 Faceoff Win 95.8%
MICH: 12DEL: 9
MICH: 12DEL: 9
Q4 3:32 Assisted Goal 95.5%
Q4 3:32 Assisted Goal 95.5%
Q4 4:10 Good Clear 97.1%
Q4 4:10 Good Clear 97.1%
Q4 4:12 Forced Turnover 97.2%
Q4 4:12 Forced Turnover 97.2%
Q4 5:20 Good Clear 96.9%
Q4 5:20 Good Clear 96.9%
Q4 5:38 Unforced Turnover 96.8%
Q4 5:38 Unforced Turnover 96.8%
Q4 5:53 Faceoff Win 96.7%
Q4 5:53 Faceoff Win 96.7%
MICH: 12DEL: 8
MICH: 12DEL: 8
Q4 5:53 Assisted Goal 96.7%
Q4 5:53 Assisted Goal 96.7%
Q4 6:07 Missed Shot 94.3%
Q4 6:07 Missed Shot 94.3%
Q4 6:37 Penalty - 1 min 92.3%
Q4 6:37 Penalty - 1 min 92.3%
Q4 6:37 Saved Shot 90.2%
Q4 6:37 Saved Shot 90.2%
Q4 7:08 Good Clear 92.9%
Q4 7:08 Good Clear 92.9%
Q4 7:14 Saved Shot 89.0%
Q4 7:14 Saved Shot 89.0%
Q4 7:26 Missed Shot 87.9%
Q4 7:26 Missed Shot 87.9%
Q4 8:12 Good Clear 94.6%
Q4 8:12 Good Clear 94.6%
Q4 8:26 Forced Turnover 94.7%
Q4 8:26 Forced Turnover 94.7%
Q4 8:31 Ground Ball 94.9%
Q4 8:31 Ground Ball 94.9%
Show All Plays

Summary Stats
DEL
MICH
Goals
10
12
Possessions
45
45
Shots
30
45
Shots-on-Goal
21
27
Off. Efficiency
22.2%
26.7%
Assist Rate
80%
58%
Save Pct
55.6%
52.4%
Shooting Percentage
33.3%
26.7%
Shot-on-goal Rate
70.0%
60.0%
Faceoff Win Rate
50.0%
50.0%
Turnovers
20
15
Failed Clears
1
2
Groundballs
6
10
Time of Possession
50.4%
49.6%
Avg. Possession Length
38.9
38.4
Time to First Shot
40.0
32.5
Shots per Possession
0.67
1.00
Number of Contributors
20
25
By Quarter: Delaware
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
3
1
3
3
Possessions
16
7
12
10
Shots
5
8
10
7
Shots-on-Goal
4
5
7
5
Off. Efficiency
19%
14%
25%
30%
Save Pct
80%
50%
38%
67%
Shooting Percentage
60%
12%
30%
43%
Shot-on-goal Rate
80%
62%
70%
71%
Faceoff Win Rate
50%
40%
67%
33%
Groundball Win Rate
20%
50%
0%
67%
Turnover Rate
56%
29%
42%
40%
Time of Possession
50%
45%
57%
48%
Avg. Possession Length
25.8
56.3
42.7
43.3
Time to First Shot
45.0
36.4
43.8
35.4
Shots per Possession
0.31
1.14
0.83
0.70
Assist Rate
67%
100%
100%
67%
By Quarter: Michigan
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
1
4
5
2
Possessions
14
10
10
11
Shots
7
14
12
12
Shots-on-Goal
5
8
8
6
Off. Efficiency
7%
40%
50%
18%
Save Pct
25%
80%
57%
40%
Shooting Percentage
14%
29%
42%
17%
Shot-on-goal Rate
71%
57%
67%
50%
Faceoff Win Rate
50%
60%
33%
67%
Groundball Win Rate
80%
50%
100%
33%
Turnover Rate
50%
20%
30%
27%
Time of Possession
50%
55%
43%
52%
Avg. Possession Length
29.1
47.7
38.2
41.9
Time to First Shot
27.8
31.7
32.6
37.2
Shots per Possession
0.50
1.40
1.20
1.09
Assist Rate
0%
50%
60%
100%
Summary Stats
DEL
MICH
Goals
10
12
Poss.
45
45
Shots
30
45
Shots-on-Goal
21
27
Off. Eff%
22.2%
26.7%
Assist %
80%
58%
Save Pct
55.6%
52.4%
Shooting %
33.3%
26.7%
SOG %
70.0%
60.0%
FO Win %
50.0%
50.0%
Turnovers
20
15
Failed Clears
1
2
Groundballs
6
10
T.O.P.
50.4%
49.6%
Avg Poss Length
38.9
38.4
Time to 1st Shot
40.0
32.5
Shots / Poss
0.67
1.00
# of Contributors
20
25
By Quarter: Delaware
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
3
1
3
3
Poss.
16
7
12
10
Shots
5
8
10
7
SOG
4
5
7
5
Off. Eff%
19%
14%
25%
30%
Save Pct
80%
50%
38%
67%
Shooting %
60%
12%
30%
43%
SOG %
80%
62%
70%
71%
FO Win %
50%
40%
67%
33%
GB Win %
20%
50%
0%
67%
Turnover %
56%
29%
42%
40%
T.O.P.
50%
45%
57%
48%
Poss Len.
25.8
56.3
42.7
43.3
Time to 1st
45.0
36.4
43.8
35.4
Shots / Poss
0.31
1.14
0.83
0.70
Assist %
67%
100%
100%
67%
By Quarter: Michigan
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
1
4
5
2
Poss.
14
10
10
11
Shots
7
14
12
12
SOG
5
8
8
6
Off. Eff%
7%
40%
50%
18%
Save Pct
25%
80%
57%
40%
Shooting %
14%
29%
42%
17%
SOG %
71%
57%
67%
50%
FO Win %
50%
60%
33%
67%
GB Win %
80%
50%
100%
33%
Turnover %
50%
20%
30%
27%
T.O.P.
50%
55%
43%
52%
Poss Len.
29.1
47.7
38.2
41.9
Time to 1st
27.8
31.7
32.6
37.2
Shots / Poss
0.50
1.40
1.20
1.09
Assist %
0%
50%
60%
100%
Delaware Michigan
Player EGA Player EGA
Delaware Michigan
Player EGA Player EGA
Charlie Kitchen 3.10 Josh Zawada 5.26
Charlie Kitchen 3.10 Josh Zawada 5.26
Mike Robinson 3.06 Bryce Clay 3.06
Mike Robinson 3.06 Bryce Clay 3.06
Tye Kurtz 2.15 Rocco Sutherland 2.74
Tye Kurtz 2.15 Rocco Sutherland 2.74

[easy-tweet tweet="According to #LaxWP, @UMichLacrosse currently has a 99.0% win probability against @DelawareMLAX" user="laxreference" url="https://lacrossereference.com/game-win-probabilities/michigan_delaware_20200321/?utm_source=Social" template="light"]

LacrosseReference Preview: Michigan vs Delaware

Tale of the Tape

Stat Category
Michigan
Delaware
Strength of Record
41st
32nd
Lax-ELO Ranking
46th
25th
Adjusted Shooting %
32nd
57th
Adjusted Efficiency
36th
10th
Time of Possession
34th
50th
Roster Depth
34th
57th
Pace
51st
69th

Team Pages

Style Comparison

Michigan Offense
vs.
Delaware Defense
MICH Off: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Pct of Poss.
26.4%
39.2%
34.4%
Pct of Goals
27.9%
35.3%
36.8%
Efficiency
33.9%
28.9%
34.2%
Ranking
19th
37th
25th
DEL Def: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Efficiency
25.4%
18.8%
27.4%
Ranking
26th
7th
24th
Michigan Defense
vs.
Delaware Offense
DEL Off: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Pct of Poss.
24.1%
47.8%
28.1%
Pct of Goals
23.1%
44.6%
32.3%
Efficiency
30.6%
29.9%
36.8%
Ranking
33rd
31st
18th
MICH Def: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Efficiency
24.6%
27.0%
35.2%
Ranking
20th
28th
52nd

Quarter Breakdowns

Michigan: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Offensive Efficiency
36.2%
45.7%
32.2%
19.4%
Scoring Margin
+10
+13
-5
-8
Shooting %
35%
31%
30%
25%
Turnover Rate
30.0%
17.1%
33.9%
47.8%
Shots-on-Goal %
58%
49%
65%
53%
Time-of-Possession
54%
56%
47%
49%
Faceoff Win Rate
55%
57%
41%
52%
Time/Possession
42.0s
50.3s
50.8s
46.0s
Time to First Shot
33.4s
37.5s
40.0s
37.8s
Shots per Possession
1.03
1.52
1.13
0.78
Defensive Efficiency
29.7%
32.2%
34.8%
30.9%
Save Pct
51.3%
47.2%
48.9%
50.0%
Delaware: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Offensive Efficiency
19.6%
38.5%
31.6%
33.3%
Scoring Margin
-6
+11
+8
+3
Shooting %
22%
30%
25%
27%
Turnover Rate
43.1%
27.7%
33.3%
35.2%
Shots-on-Goal %
70%
60%
58%
55%
Time-of-Possession
45%
53%
47%
45%
Faceoff Win Rate
47%
55%
31%
36%
Time/Possession
48.3s
44.8s
45.0s
43.4s
Time to First Shot
36.2s
34.2s
26.3s
34.2s
Shots per Possession
0.90
1.27
1.27
1.24
Defensive Efficiency
26.7%
26.9%
16.9%
25.4%
Save Pct
52.9%
48.1%
66.7%
54.5%

EGA Leaders

Michigan
Delaware
Offensive Leaders
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Josh Zawada
15
4
Alex Buckanavage
54
90
Bryce Clay
66
13
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Charlie Kitchen
11
1
Mike Robinson
75
17
Tye Kurtz
85
1
Defensive Leaders
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Andrew Darby
110
102
Drake Schaffner
191
264
Dylan Gardner
340
40
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Tate Wasson
242
61
Owen Grant
264
98
Reed Kurtz
329
49
Faceoff Leaders
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Nick Rowlett
28
7
Matt Dellacroce
84
6
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Jake Hervada
71
14
Roland Hockenbery
100
5
Nat'l Rank refers to the player's ranking nationally within the offensive/defensive/faceoff category. Change indicates how that ranking has changed in the past week. Check out all the leaders here.

Trending Up or Down

Michigan
Delaware
Stat
Previous 3 games
Last 3 games
Previous 3 games
Last 3 games
Record
1 - 2
2 - 1
2 - 1
2 - 1
Save Pct
49%
47%
67%
45%
Offensive Efficiency
33%
33%
30%
32%
Shooting Pct
30%
31%
26%
27%
Defensive Efficiency
31%
34%
19%
29%
Face-off Win%
53%
43%
42%
38%
Turnover Rate
34%
27%
33%
36%
Time-of-Possession
49%
54%
47%
48%
Avg Possession Length
46.2s
46.5s
41.9s
46.2s

Michigan vs Delaware

Tale of the Tape

Stat
Michigan
Delaware
Strength of Rec.
41st
32nd
Lax-ELO Rank
46th
25th
Adj Shooting %
32nd
57th
Adj Efficiency
36th
10th
T.O.P.
34th
50th
Roster Depth
34th
57th
Pace
51st
69th

Team Pages

Quarter Breakdowns

Michigan: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Off Eff %
36.2%
45.7%
32.2%
19.4%
Scoring Margin
+10
+13
-5
-8
Shooting %
35%
31%
30%
25%
Turnover %
30.0%
17.1%
33.9%
47.8%
SOG %
58%
49%
65%
53%
TOP %
54%
56%
47%
49%
FO Win %
55%
57%
41%
52%
Time/Poss
42.0s
50.3s
50.8s
46.0s
Time to 1st
33.4s
37.5s
40.0s
37.8s
Shots/Poss
1.03
1.52
1.13
0.78
Def. Eff %
29.7%
32.2%
34.8%
30.9%
Save %
51.3%
47.2%
48.9%
50.0%
Delaware: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Off Eff %
19.6%
38.5%
31.6%
33.3%
Scoring Margin
-6
+11
+8
+3
Shooting %
22%
30%
25%
27%
Turnover %
43.1%
27.7%
33.3%
35.2%
SOG %
70%
60%
58%
55%
TOP %
45%
53%
47%
45%
FO Win %
47%
55%
31%
36%
Time/Poss
48.3s
44.8s
45.0s
43.4s
Time to 1st
36.2s
34.2s
26.3s
34.2s
Shots/Poss
0.90
1.27
1.27
1.24
Def. Eff %
26.7%
26.9%
16.9%
25.4%
Save %
52.9%
48.1%
66.7%
54.5%

EGA Leaders

Michigan
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Josh Zawada
15
4
Alex Buckanavage
54
90
Bryce Clay
66
13
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Andrew Darby
110
102
Drake Schaffner
191
264
Dylan Gardner
340
40
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Nick Rowlett
28
7
Matt Dellacroce
84
6
Delaware
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Charlie Kitchen
11
1
Mike Robinson
75
17
Tye Kurtz
85
1
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Tate Wasson
242
61
Owen Grant
264
98
Reed Kurtz
329
49
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Jake Hervada
71
14
Roland Hockenbery
100
5
Nat'l Rank refers to the player's ranking nationally within the offensive/defensive/faceoff category. Change indicates how that ranking has changed in the past week. Check out all the leaders here.
Win probability is an estimate based on the win percentage of every team that has been in a comparable time and score situation. We start with the basic time and score, then add or subtract win probability from each team depending on the recent sequence of plays and what that tells us about the likelihood that each team will score. Please, please, please do not treat this as a prediction. 90% win probability does not mean that the team has a 90% chance to win; it means that teams in the current situation have won 90% of the time. Win probabilities at the opening face-off are based on our current ELO ratings.

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Team Pages