117
Merrimack Win Probability: 99.0%
Team Pages
Time Team Play MRMK Win Prob.
Q4 0:01 Missed Shot 99.0%
Q4 0:01 Missed Shot 99.0%
Q4 0:37 Good Clear 98.9%
Q4 0:37 Good Clear 98.9%
Q4 0:55 Forced Turnover 98.8%
Q4 0:55 Forced Turnover 98.8%
Q4 0:57 Failed Clear 98.8%
Q4 0:57 Failed Clear 98.8%
Q4 1:12 Unforced Turnover 98.8%
Q4 1:12 Unforced Turnover 98.8%
Q4 1:45 Failed Clear 98.7%
Q4 1:45 Failed Clear 98.7%
Q4 2:05 Forced Turnover 98.6%
Q4 2:05 Forced Turnover 98.6%
Q4 2:59 Failed Clear 98.4%
Q4 2:59 Failed Clear 98.4%
Q4 3:07 Unforced Turnover 98.1%
Q4 3:07 Unforced Turnover 98.1%
Q4 3:50 Faceoff Win 98.2%
Q4 3:50 Faceoff Win 98.2%
MRMK: 11WAG: 7
MRMK: 11WAG: 7
Q4 3:50 Assisted Goal 98.2%
Q4 3:50 Assisted Goal 98.2%
Q4 4:32 Unforced Turnover 97.2%
Q4 4:32 Unforced Turnover 97.2%
Q4 4:33 Ground Ball 97.1%
Q4 4:33 Ground Ball 97.1%
Q4 4:33 Faceoff Win 95.0%
Q4 4:33 Faceoff Win 95.0%
MRMK: 10WAG: 7
MRMK: 10WAG: 7
Q4 4:33 Unassisted Goal 97.1%
Q4 4:33 Unassisted Goal 97.1%
Q4 5:07 Penalty - 1 min 86.6%
Q4 5:07 Penalty - 1 min 86.6%
MRMK: 9WAG: 7
MRMK: 9WAG: 7
Q4 5:07 Assisted Goal 82.5%
Q4 5:07 Assisted Goal 82.5%
Q4 5:51 Good Clear 69.4%
Q4 5:51 Good Clear 69.4%
Q4 6:03 Forced Turnover 76.1%
Q4 6:03 Forced Turnover 76.1%
Q4 7:10 Failed Clear 60.9%
Q4 7:10 Failed Clear 60.9%
Q4 7:23 Unforced Turnover 60.4%
Q4 7:23 Unforced Turnover 60.4%
Q4 8:04 Ground Ball 61.6%
Q4 8:04 Ground Ball 61.6%
Q4 8:07 Missed Shot 62.5%
Q4 8:07 Missed Shot 62.5%
Q4 8:21 Missed Shot 64.0%
Q4 8:21 Missed Shot 64.0%
Q4 9:03 Good Clear 59.3%
Q4 9:03 Good Clear 59.3%
Q4 9:16 Saved Shot 62.4%
Q4 9:16 Saved Shot 62.4%
Q4 9:50 Good Clear 58.4%
Q4 9:50 Good Clear 58.4%
Show All Plays

Summary Stats
WAG
MRMK
Goals
7
11
Possessions
40
46
Shots
35
22
Shots-on-Goal
16
16
Off. Efficiency
17.5%
23.9%
Assist Rate
29%
55%
Save Pct
31.2%
56.2%
Shooting Percentage
20.0%
50.0%
Shot-on-goal Rate
45.7%
72.7%
Faceoff Win Rate
36.8%
63.2%
Turnovers
18
20
Failed Clears
5
3
Groundballs
11
6
Time of Possession
50.3%
49.7%
Avg. Possession Length
41.4
35.6
Time to First Shot
34.9
32.1
Shots per Possession
0.88
0.48
Number of Contributors
16
17
By Quarter: Wagner
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
2
3
1
1
Possessions
11
10
10
9
Shots
8
9
9
9
Shots-on-Goal
4
5
4
3
Off. Efficiency
18%
30%
10%
11%
Save Pct
50%
20%
50%
20%
Shooting Percentage
25%
33%
11%
11%
Shot-on-goal Rate
50%
56%
44%
33%
Faceoff Win Rate
40%
33%
33%
40%
Groundball Win Rate
67%
83%
60%
33%
Turnover Rate
45%
60%
30%
44%
Time of Possession
50%
54%
38%
61%
Avg. Possession Length
37.1
45.1
33.7
50.9
Time to First Shot
29.8
30.0
37.8
42.0
Shots per Possession
0.73
0.90
0.90
1.00
Assist Rate
50%
0%
100%
0%
By Quarter: Merrimack
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
2
4
1
4
Possessions
12
11
10
13
Shots
8
7
2
5
Shots-on-Goal
4
5
2
5
Off. Efficiency
17%
36%
10%
31%
Save Pct
50%
40%
75%
67%
Shooting Percentage
25%
57%
50%
80%
Shot-on-goal Rate
50%
71%
100%
100%
Faceoff Win Rate
60%
67%
67%
60%
Groundball Win Rate
33%
17%
40%
67%
Turnover Rate
33%
27%
70%
46%
Time of Possession
50%
46%
62%
39%
Avg. Possession Length
33.8
34.4
56.0
22.5
Time to First Shot
25.3
33.5
38.5
36.8
Shots per Possession
0.67
0.64
0.20
0.38
Assist Rate
50%
50%
100%
50%
Summary Stats
WAG
MRMK
Goals
7
11
Poss.
40
46
Shots
35
22
Shots-on-Goal
16
16
Off. Eff%
17.5%
23.9%
Assist %
29%
55%
Save Pct
31.2%
56.2%
Shooting %
20.0%
50.0%
SOG %
45.7%
72.7%
FO Win %
36.8%
63.2%
Turnovers
18
20
Failed Clears
5
3
Groundballs
11
6
T.O.P.
50.3%
49.7%
Avg Poss Length
41.4
35.6
Time to 1st Shot
34.9
32.1
Shots / Poss
0.88
0.48
# of Contributors
16
17
By Quarter: Wagner
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
2
3
1
1
Poss.
11
10
10
9
Shots
8
9
9
9
SOG
4
5
4
3
Off. Eff%
18%
30%
10%
11%
Save Pct
50%
20%
50%
20%
Shooting %
25%
33%
11%
11%
SOG %
50%
56%
44%
33%
FO Win %
40%
33%
33%
40%
GB Win %
67%
83%
60%
33%
Turnover %
45%
60%
30%
44%
T.O.P.
50%
54%
38%
61%
Poss Len.
37.1
45.1
33.7
50.9
Time to 1st
29.8
30.0
37.8
42.0
Shots / Poss
0.73
0.90
0.90
1.00
Assist %
50%
0%
100%
0%
By Quarter: Merrimack
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
2
4
1
4
Poss.
12
11
10
13
Shots
8
7
2
5
SOG
4
5
2
5
Off. Eff%
17%
36%
10%
31%
Save Pct
50%
40%
75%
67%
Shooting %
25%
57%
50%
80%
SOG %
50%
71%
100%
100%
FO Win %
60%
67%
67%
60%
GB Win %
33%
17%
40%
67%
Turnover %
33%
27%
70%
46%
T.O.P.
50%
46%
62%
39%
Poss Len.
33.8
34.4
56.0
22.5
Time to 1st
25.3
33.5
38.5
36.8
Shots / Poss
0.67
0.64
0.20
0.38
Assist %
50%
50%
100%
50%
Wagner Merrimack
Player EGA Player EGA
Wagner Merrimack
Player EGA Player EGA
Tyler Lawton 3.47 Charlie Bertrand 4.37
Tyler Lawton 3.47 Charlie Bertrand 4.37
Mikey Vanaman 2.58 Christian Thomas 3.31
Mikey Vanaman 2.58 Christian Thomas 3.31
Stephen Dwyer 2.27 Jack Barron 2.05
Stephen Dwyer 2.27 Jack Barron 2.05


According to #LaxWP, @merrimackmlax currently has a 99.0% win probability against @WagnerLacrosse

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LacrosseReference Preview: Merrimack vs Wagner

Tale of the Tape

Stat Category
Merrimack
Wagner
Strength of Record
69th
70th
Lax-ELO Ranking
50th
74th
Adjusted Shooting %
52nd
66th
Adjusted Efficiency
47th
69th
Time of Possession
36th
46th
Roster Depth
62nd
74th
Pace
60th
65th

Team Pages

Style Comparison

Merrimack Offense
vs.
Wagner Defense
MRMK Off: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Pct of Poss.
24.1%
39.7%
36.2%
Pct of Goals
33.9%
41.1%
25.0%
Efficiency
39.6%
29.1%
19.4%
Ranking
7th
36th
70th
WAG Def: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Efficiency
33.3%
43.9%
38.8%
Ranking
56th
74th
68th
Merrimack Defense
vs.
Wagner Offense
WAG Off: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Pct of Poss.
26.2%
39.3%
34.5%
Pct of Goals
25.6%
43.6%
30.8%
Efficiency
22.7%
25.8%
20.7%
Ranking
59th
49th
69th
MRMK Def: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Efficiency
29.6%
24.4%
34.3%
Ranking
44th
19th
48th

Quarter Breakdowns

Merrimack: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Offensive Efficiency
25.8%
29.4%
31.6%
25.0%
Scoring Margin
-2
-8
+5
-2
Shooting %
31%
30%
30%
21%
Turnover Rate
56.5%
56.9%
38.6%
32.7%
Shots-on-Goal %
60%
62%
57%
63%
Time-of-Possession
53%
46%
49%
53%
Faceoff Win Rate
52%
50%
46%
57%
Time/Possession
45.9s
51.0s
45.3s
51.4s
Time to First Shot
34.7s
36.4s
31.9s
41.0s
Shots per Possession
0.85
1.02
1.07
1.20
Defensive Efficiency
31.6%
36.5%
22.4%
28.8%
Save Pct
51.4%
50.0%
50.0%
37.5%
Wagner: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Offensive Efficiency
21.7%
23.4%
25.6%
25.5%
Scoring Margin
-7
-11
-14
-14
Shooting %
18%
33%
20%
26%
Turnover Rate
50.0%
46.8%
30.2%
45.5%
Shots-on-Goal %
48%
61%
49%
55%
Time-of-Possession
52%
40%
49%
49%
Faceoff Win Rate
39%
39%
30%
50%
Time/Possession
63.7s
47.2s
67.5s
46.9s
Time to First Shot
41.3s
38.0s
44.8s
36.1s
Shots per Possession
1.28
0.71
1.33
0.98
Defensive Efficiency
28.3%
36.1%
41.7%
42.4%
Save Pct
54.1%
33.3%
39.0%
37.8%

EGA Leaders

Merrimack
Wagner
Offensive Leaders
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Charlie Bertrand
25
1
Christian Thomas
105
14
Sean Black
212
32
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Stephen Dwyer
106
23
Jake Garb
133
2
Mikey Vanaman
305
13
Defensive Leaders
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
N Perez-Blanco
342
134
Dan Cotnoir
489
17
Riley Reed
627
509
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Tommy Scarpello
137
46
Harrison Brown
339
117
Nick Azzopardi
474
162
Faceoff Leaders
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Allyn French
48
1
Davis Cronin
93
6
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Nick Warren
65
9
Ryan Whelpley
143
1
Nat'l Rank refers to the player's ranking nationally within the offensive/defensive/faceoff category. Change indicates how that ranking has changed in the past week. Check out all the leaders here.

Trending Up or Down

Merrimack
Wagner
Stat
Previous 3 games
Last 3 games
Previous 3 games
Last 3 games
Record
0 - 3
1 - 2
1 - 2
0 - 3
Save Pct
41%
55%
42%
40%
Offensive Efficiency
30%
25%
25%
24%
Shooting Pct
31%
25%
23%
24%
Defensive Efficiency
33%
27%
39%
36%
Face-off Win%
45%
58%
51%
25%
Turnover Rate
48%
45%
43%
43%
Time-of-Possession
47%
53%
53%
43%
Avg Possession Length
44.6s
49.7s
55.9s
49.7s

Merrimack vs Wagner

Tale of the Tape

Stat
Merrimack
Wagner
Strength of Rec.
69th
70th
Lax-ELO Rank
50th
74th
Adj Shooting %
52nd
66th
Adj Efficiency
47th
69th
T.O.P.
36th
46th
Roster Depth
62nd
74th
Pace
60th
65th

Team Pages

Quarter Breakdowns

Merrimack: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Off Eff %
25.8%
29.4%
31.6%
25.0%
Scoring Margin
-2
-8
+5
-2
Shooting %
31%
30%
30%
21%
Turnover %
56.5%
56.9%
38.6%
32.7%
SOG %
60%
62%
57%
63%
TOP %
53%
46%
49%
53%
FO Win %
52%
50%
46%
57%
Time/Poss
45.9s
51.0s
45.3s
51.4s
Time to 1st
34.7s
36.4s
31.9s
41.0s
Shots/Poss
0.85
1.02
1.07
1.20
Def. Eff %
31.6%
36.5%
22.4%
28.8%
Save %
51.4%
50.0%
50.0%
37.5%
Wagner: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Off Eff %
21.7%
23.4%
25.6%
25.5%
Scoring Margin
-7
-11
-14
-14
Shooting %
18%
33%
20%
26%
Turnover %
50.0%
46.8%
30.2%
45.5%
SOG %
48%
61%
49%
55%
TOP %
52%
40%
49%
49%
FO Win %
39%
39%
30%
50%
Time/Poss
63.7s
47.2s
67.5s
46.9s
Time to 1st
41.3s
38.0s
44.8s
36.1s
Shots/Poss
1.28
0.71
1.33
0.98
Def. Eff %
28.3%
36.1%
41.7%
42.4%
Save %
54.1%
33.3%
39.0%
37.8%

EGA Leaders

Merrimack
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Charlie Bertrand
25
1
Christian Thomas
105
14
Sean Black
212
32
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
N Perez-Blanco
342
134
Dan Cotnoir
489
17
Riley Reed
627
509
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Allyn French
48
1
Davis Cronin
93
6
Wagner
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Stephen Dwyer
106
23
Jake Garb
133
2
Mikey Vanaman
305
13
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Tommy Scarpello
137
46
Harrison Brown
339
117
Nick Azzopardi
474
162
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Nick Warren
65
9
Ryan Whelpley
143
1
Nat'l Rank refers to the player's ranking nationally within the offensive/defensive/faceoff category. Change indicates how that ranking has changed in the past week. Check out all the leaders here.
Win probability is an estimate based on the win percentage of every team that has been in a comparable time and score situation. We start with the basic time and score, then add or subtract win probability from each team depending on the recent sequence of plays and what that tells us about the likelihood that each team will score. Please, please, please do not treat this as a prediction. 90% win probability does not mean that the team has a 90% chance to win; it means that teams in the current situation have won 90% of the time. Win probabilities at the opening face-off are based on our current ELO ratings.

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Team Pages