Win probability is an estimate based on the win percentage of every team that has been in a comparable time and score situation. We start with the basic time and score, then add or subtract win probability from each team depending on the recent sequence of plays and what that tells us about the likelihood that each team will score. Please, please, please do not treat this as a prediction. 90% win probability does not mean that the team has a 90% chance to win; it means that teams in the current situation have won 90% of the time. Win probabilities at the opening face-off are based on our current ELO ratings.

Mercer Win Probability: 48.1%
Recent Plays
Game State Team Play Elapsed MER Win Odds
MER +1 Saved Shot 40s +0.0%
MER +1 Good Clear 17s -0.3%
MER +1 Blocked Shot 42s +0.9%
MER +1 Blocked Shot 9s -0.1%
MER +1 Ground Ball 1m 4s -0.2%
MER +1 Forced Turnover 1m 22s +0.8%
MER +1 Good Clear 15s -0.2%
MER +1 Faceoff Win 2m 13s +0.3%
MER +1 Faceoff Win 23s +0.1%
MER +1 Missed Shot 9s -0.1%
MER +1 Unassisted Goal 1m 36s +0.6%
Tied Good Clear 1m 18s +0.2%
Tied Saved Shot 13s -0.0%
Tied Good Clear 3s -0.0%
Tied Ground Ball 47s +0.0%
Tied Forced Turnover 2s +0.0%
Tied Ground Ball 1m 12s -0.0%
Tied Unforced Turnover 1s -0.0%
Tied Ground Ball 19s -0.0%
Tied Forced Turnover 1m 19s +0.1%