Win probability is an estimate based on the win percentage of every team that has been in a comparable time and score situation. We start with the basic time and score, then add or subtract win probability from each team depending on the recent sequence of plays and what that tells us about the likelihood that each team will score. Please, please, please do not treat this as a prediction. 90% win probability does not mean that the team has a 90% chance to win; it means that teams in the current situation have won 90% of the time. Win probabilities at the opening face-off are based on our current ELO ratings.

Massachusetts Win Probability: 95.0%
Recent Plays
Game State Team Play Elapsed UM Win Odds
UM +7 Forced Turnover 0s 0.0%
UM +7 Ground Ball 11s +0.2%
UM +7 Faceoff Win 0s 0.0%
UM +7 Unassisted Goal 11s +0.2%
UM +6 Timeout 42s +0.8%
UM +6 Faceoff Win 0s 0.0%
UM +6 Unassisted Goal 54s +1.0%
UM +5 Good Clear 2s +0.0%
UM +5 Ground Ball 2s +0.1%
UM +5 Missed Shot 32s +0.6%
UM +5 Good Clear 1s +0.0%
UM +5 Ground Ball 11s +0.2%
UM +5 Forced Turnover 17s +0.3%
UM +5 Good Clear 8s +0.1%
UM +5 Pipe Shot 15s +0.3%
UM +5 Penalty - 1 min 18s +0.3%
UM +5 Missed Shot 18s +0.3%
UM +5 Ground Ball 18s +0.3%
UM +5 Saved Shot 41s +0.7%
UM +5 Unforced Turnover 0s 0.0%