1115
North Carolina Win Probability: 1.0%
Time Team Play UNC Win Prob.
Q4 0:01 Saved Shot 1.0%
Q4 0:01 Saved Shot 1.0%
Q4 0:02 Missed Shot 1.0%
Q4 0:02 Missed Shot 1.0%
Q4 0:29 Faceoff Win 1.2%
Q4 0:29 Faceoff Win 1.2%
UNC: 11MD: 15
UNC: 11MD: 15
Q4 0:29 Assisted Goal 1.2%
Q4 0:29 Assisted Goal 1.2%
Q4 0:58 Unforced Turnover 1.3%
Q4 0:58 Unforced Turnover 1.3%
Q4 1:03 Unforced Turnover 1.3%
Q4 1:03 Unforced Turnover 1.3%
Q4 1:05 Ground Ball 1.4%
Q4 1:05 Ground Ball 1.4%
Q4 1:12 Ground Ball 1.4%
Q4 1:12 Ground Ball 1.4%
Q4 1:20 Faceoff Win 1.4%
Q4 1:20 Faceoff Win 1.4%
UNC: 11MD: 14
UNC: 11MD: 14
Q4 1:20 Assisted Goal 1.4%
Q4 1:20 Assisted Goal 1.4%
Q4 1:54 Failed Clear 1.6%
Q4 1:54 Failed Clear 1.6%
Q4 2:04 Unforced Turnover 4.5%
Q4 2:04 Unforced Turnover 4.5%
Q4 3:02 Good Clear 2.0%
Q4 3:02 Good Clear 2.0%
Q4 3:11 Saved Shot 5.6%
Q4 3:11 Saved Shot 5.6%
Q4 3:42 Good Clear 10.6%
Q4 3:42 Good Clear 10.6%
Q4 3:47 Forced Turnover 7.5%
Q4 3:47 Forced Turnover 7.5%
Q4 4:17 Faceoff Win 2.4%
Q4 4:17 Faceoff Win 2.4%
UNC: 11MD: 13
UNC: 11MD: 13
Q4 4:17 Unassisted Goal 2.4%
Q4 4:17 Unassisted Goal 2.4%
Q4 4:48 Good Clear 18.7%
Q4 4:48 Good Clear 18.7%
Q4 4:49 Forced Turnover 21.0%
Q4 4:49 Forced Turnover 21.0%
Q4 5:14 Ground Ball 33.1%
Q4 5:14 Ground Ball 33.1%
Q4 5:21 Missed Shot 27.8%
Q4 5:21 Missed Shot 27.8%
Q4 5:53 Faceoff Win 20.3%
Q4 5:53 Faceoff Win 20.3%
UNC: 11MD: 12
UNC: 11MD: 12
Q4 5:53 Unassisted Goal 18.6%
Q4 5:53 Unassisted Goal 18.6%
Q4 6:06 Missed Shot 41.0%
Q4 6:06 Missed Shot 41.0%
Q4 6:19 Missed Shot 45.8%
Q4 6:19 Missed Shot 45.8%
Show All Plays

Summary Stats
MD
UNC
Goals
15
11
Possessions
49
47
Shots
45
35
Shots-on-Goal
27
20
Off. Efficiency
30.6%
23.4%
Assist Rate
60%
36%
Save Pct
45.0%
44.4%
Shooting Percentage
33.3%
31.4%
Shot-on-goal Rate
60.0%
57.1%
Faceoff Win Rate
55.6%
44.4%
Turnovers
13
18
Failed Clears
4
1
Groundballs
11
9
Time of Possession
50.5%
49.5%
Avg. Possession Length
35.4
36.2
Time to First Shot
26.0
32.7
Shots per Possession
0.92
0.74
Number of Contributors
19
20
By Quarter: Maryland
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
1
3
5
6
Possessions
9
13
13
14
Shots
8
14
11
12
Shots-on-Goal
3
9
8
7
Off. Efficiency
11%
23%
38%
43%
Save Pct
33%
43%
50%
60%
Shooting Percentage
12%
21%
45%
50%
Shot-on-goal Rate
38%
64%
73%
58%
Faceoff Win Rate
67%
38%
75%
56%
Groundball Win Rate
40%
50%
67%
60%
Turnover Rate
33%
8%
31%
36%
Time of Possession
48%
45%
58%
51%
Avg. Possession Length
44.8
32.0
38.2
30.0
Time to First Shot
31.5
29.4
25.1
18.7
Shots per Possession
0.89
1.08
0.85
0.86
Assist Rate
100%
67%
40%
67%
By Quarter: North Carolina
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
4
4
1
2
Possessions
11
15
10
11
Shots
13
11
4
7
Shots-on-Goal
6
7
2
5
Off. Efficiency
36%
27%
10%
18%
Save Pct
67%
67%
38%
14%
Shooting Percentage
31%
36%
25%
29%
Shot-on-goal Rate
46%
64%
50%
71%
Faceoff Win Rate
33%
62%
25%
44%
Groundball Win Rate
60%
50%
33%
40%
Turnover Rate
27%
27%
50%
55%
Time of Possession
52%
55%
42%
49%
Avg. Possession Length
39.4
34.2
35.8
36.1
Time to First Shot
24.0
39.8
28.3
34.8
Shots per Possession
1.18
0.73
0.40
0.64
Assist Rate
25%
75%
0%
0%
Summary Stats
MD
UNC
Goals
15
11
Poss.
49
47
Shots
45
35
Shots-on-Goal
27
20
Off. Eff%
30.6%
23.4%
Assist %
60%
36%
Save Pct
45.0%
44.4%
Shooting %
33.3%
31.4%
SOG %
60.0%
57.1%
FO Win %
55.6%
44.4%
Turnovers
13
18
Failed Clears
4
1
Groundballs
11
9
T.O.P.
50.5%
49.5%
Avg Poss Length
35.4
36.2
Time to 1st Shot
26.0
32.7
Shots / Poss
0.92
0.74
# of Contributors
19
20
By Quarter: Maryland
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
1
3
5
6
Poss.
9
13
13
14
Shots
8
14
11
12
SOG
3
9
8
7
Off. Eff%
11%
23%
38%
43%
Save Pct
33%
43%
50%
60%
Shooting %
12%
21%
45%
50%
SOG %
38%
64%
73%
58%
FO Win %
67%
38%
75%
56%
GB Win %
40%
50%
67%
60%
Turnover %
33%
8%
31%
36%
T.O.P.
48%
45%
58%
51%
Poss Len.
44.8
32.0
38.2
30.0
Time to 1st
31.5
29.4
25.1
18.7
Shots / Poss
0.89
1.08
0.85
0.86
Assist %
100%
67%
40%
67%
By Quarter: North Carolina
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
4
4
1
2
Poss.
11
15
10
11
Shots
13
11
4
7
SOG
6
7
2
5
Off. Eff%
36%
27%
10%
18%
Save Pct
67%
67%
38%
14%
Shooting %
31%
36%
25%
29%
SOG %
46%
64%
50%
71%
FO Win %
33%
62%
25%
44%
GB Win %
60%
50%
33%
40%
Turnover %
27%
27%
50%
55%
T.O.P.
52%
55%
42%
49%
Poss Len.
39.4
34.2
35.8
36.1
Time to 1st
24.0
39.8
28.3
34.8
Shots / Poss
1.18
0.73
0.40
0.64
Assist %
25%
75%
0%
0%
Maryland North Carolina
Player EGA Player EGA
Maryland North Carolina
Player EGA Player EGA
Jared Bernhardt 6.16 Chris Gray 4.73
Jared Bernhardt 6.16 Chris Gray 4.73
Bubba Fairman 5.46 Nicky Solomon 2.31
Bubba Fairman 5.46 Nicky Solomon 2.31
Logan Wisnauskas 3.97 Zac Tucci 2.05
Logan Wisnauskas 3.97 Zac Tucci 2.05


According to #LaxWP, @TerpsMLax currently has a 99.0% win probability against @UNCMensLacrosse

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LacrosseReference Preview: Maryland vs North Carolina

Tale of the Tape

Stat Category
Maryland
North Carolina
Strength of Record
6th
2nd
Lax-ELO Ranking
9th
8th
Adjusted Shooting %
28th
4th
Adjusted Efficiency
24th
5th
Time of Possession
16th
10th
Roster Depth
15th
8th
Pace
32nd
63rd

Team Pages

Style Comparison

Maryland Offense
vs.
North Carolina Defense
MD Off: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Pct of Poss.
25.7%
33.1%
41.2%
Pct of Goals
20.2%
31.0%
48.8%
Efficiency
27.0%
32.1%
40.6%
Ranking
42nd
20th
11th
UNC Def: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Efficiency
29.6%
29.9%
29.3%
Ranking
44th
44th
32nd
Maryland Defense
vs.
North Carolina Offense
UNC Off: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Pct of Poss.
15.7%
38.7%
45.6%
Pct of Goals
11.5%
41.6%
46.9%
Efficiency
30.2%
44.3%
42.4%
Ranking
34th
2nd
6th
MD Def: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Efficiency
30.8%
27.8%
31.2%
Ranking
50th
34th
40th

Quarter Breakdowns

Maryland: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Offensive Efficiency
35.0%
28.9%
29.3%
41.8%
Scoring Margin
+4
-2
+5
+16
Shooting %
26%
26%
24%
46%
Turnover Rate
23.8%
37.3%
36.0%
38.0%
Shots-on-Goal %
53%
62%
47%
69%
Time-of-Possession
47%
52%
55%
60%
Faceoff Win Rate
58%
61%
63%
61%
Time/Possession
37.2s
38.3s
47.4s
47.5s
Time to First Shot
22.0s
27.4s
37.3s
38.8s
Shots per Possession
1.41
1.06
1.23
0.90
Defensive Efficiency
32.0%
33.8%
23.9%
26.2%
Save Pct
50.0%
42.2%
60.5%
51.4%
North Carolina: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Offensive Efficiency
42.3%
40.5%
45.6%
38.8%
Scoring Margin
+23
+10
+22
EVEN
Shooting %
39%
39%
39%
39%
Turnover Rate
28.2%
35.1%
26.6%
35.8%
Shots-on-Goal %
67%
65%
68%
64%
Time-of-Possession
55%
50%
56%
53%
Faceoff Win Rate
54%
55%
68%
48%
Time/Possession
44.8s
42.6s
45.2s
52.9s
Time to First Shot
31.4s
32.0s
35.0s
42.8s
Shots per Possession
1.08
1.07
1.22
1.06
Defensive Efficiency
18.5%
33.3%
26.9%
36.1%
Save Pct
61.5%
41.2%
51.7%
40.9%

EGA Leaders

Maryland
North Carolina
Offensive Leaders
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Logan Wisnauskas
12
5
Jared Bernhardt
23
3
Anthony DeMaio
128
30
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Chris Gray
2
7
Tanner Cook
31
75
Nicky Solomon
34
2
Defensive Leaders
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
John Geppert
111
19
Brett Makar
188
46
Joshua Coffman
268
126
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Cam Macri
64
27
Will Bowen
68
4
Patrick Lyons
93
4
Faceoff Leaders
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Justin Shockey
25
5
Conor Calderone
91
6
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Zac Tucci
3
23
Andrew Tyeryar
104
7
Nat'l Rank refers to the player's ranking nationally within the offensive/defensive/faceoff category. Change indicates how that ranking has changed in the past week. Check out all the leaders here.

Trending Up or Down

Maryland
North Carolina
Stat
Previous 3 games
Last 3 games
Previous 3 games
Last 3 games
Record
2 - 1
3 - 0
3 - 0
3 - 0
Save Pct
50%
50%
51%
38%
Offensive Efficiency
33%
31%
46%
38%
Shooting Pct
36%
24%
37%
39%
Defensive Efficiency
30%
28%
24%
39%
Face-off Win%
51%
72%
49%
64%
Turnover Rate
44%
31%
28%
30%
Time-of-Possession
49%
59%
50%
55%
Avg Possession Length
40.5s
44.8s
44.8s
43.9s

Maryland vs North Carolina

Tale of the Tape

Stat
Maryland
North Carolina
Strength of Rec.
6th
2nd
Lax-ELO Rank
9th
8th
Adj Shooting %
28th
4th
Adj Efficiency
24th
5th
T.O.P.
16th
10th
Roster Depth
15th
8th
Pace
32nd
63rd

Team Pages

Quarter Breakdowns

Maryland: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Off Eff %
35.0%
28.9%
29.3%
41.8%
Scoring Margin
+4
-2
+5
+16
Shooting %
26%
26%
24%
46%
Turnover %
23.8%
37.3%
36.0%
38.0%
SOG %
53%
62%
47%
69%
TOP %
47%
52%
55%
60%
FO Win %
58%
61%
63%
61%
Time/Poss
37.2s
38.3s
47.4s
47.5s
Time to 1st
22.0s
27.4s
37.3s
38.8s
Shots/Poss
1.41
1.06
1.23
0.90
Def. Eff %
32.0%
33.8%
23.9%
26.2%
Save %
50.0%
42.2%
60.5%
51.4%
North Carolina: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Off Eff %
42.3%
40.5%
45.6%
38.8%
Scoring Margin
+23
+10
+22
EVEN
Shooting %
39%
39%
39%
39%
Turnover %
28.2%
35.1%
26.6%
35.8%
SOG %
67%
65%
68%
64%
TOP %
55%
50%
56%
53%
FO Win %
54%
55%
68%
48%
Time/Poss
44.8s
42.6s
45.2s
52.9s
Time to 1st
31.4s
32.0s
35.0s
42.8s
Shots/Poss
1.08
1.07
1.22
1.06
Def. Eff %
18.5%
33.3%
26.9%
36.1%
Save %
61.5%
41.2%
51.7%
40.9%

EGA Leaders

Maryland
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Logan Wisnauskas
12
5
Jared Bernhardt
23
3
Anthony DeMaio
128
30
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
John Geppert
111
19
Brett Makar
188
46
Joshua Coffman
268
126
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Justin Shockey
25
5
Conor Calderone
91
6
North Carolina
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Chris Gray
2
7
Tanner Cook
31
75
Nicky Solomon
34
2
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Cam Macri
64
27
Will Bowen
68
4
Patrick Lyons
93
4
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Zac Tucci
3
23
Andrew Tyeryar
104
7
Nat'l Rank refers to the player's ranking nationally within the offensive/defensive/faceoff category. Change indicates how that ranking has changed in the past week. Check out all the leaders here.
Win probability is an estimate based on the win percentage of every team that has been in a comparable time and score situation. We start with the basic time and score, then add or subtract win probability from each team depending on the recent sequence of plays and what that tells us about the likelihood that each team will score. Please, please, please do not treat this as a prediction. 90% win probability does not mean that the team has a 90% chance to win; it means that teams in the current situation have won 90% of the time. Win probabilities at the opening face-off are based on our current ELO ratings.

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Team Pages