Win probability is an estimate based on the win percentage of every team that has been in a comparable time and score situation. We start with the basic time and score, then add or subtract win probability from each team depending on the recent sequence of plays and what that tells us about the likelihood that each team will score. Please, please, please do not treat this as a prediction. 90% win probability does not mean that the team has a 90% chance to win; it means that teams in the current situation have won 90% of the time. Win probabilities at the opening face-off are based on our current ELO ratings.

Marquette Win Probability: 68.1%
Recent Plays
Game State Team Play Elapsed MU Win Odds
MU +1 Timeout 0s -2.4%
MU +1 Timeout 6s +2.4%
MU +1 Good Clear 1s -11.8%
MU +1 Ground Ball 4s -4.8%
MU +1 Unforced Turnover 40s +11.3%
MU +1 Unassisted Goal 15s +26.3%
Tied Good Clear 5s +7.3%
Tied Saved Shot 34s -8.7%
Tied Good Clear 9s -5.1%
Tied Saved Shot 14s +6.5%
Tied Saved Shot 23s +6.1%
Tied Good Clear 12s +0.8%
Tied Saved Shot 23s -6.6%
Tied Good Clear 4s -4.5%
Tied Ground Ball 4s -3.3%
Tied Saved Shot 0s +0.9%
Tied Timeout 13s -1.3%
Tied Faceoff Win 9s -8.5%
Tied Pipe Shot 14s -4.9%
Tied Missed Shot 41s +13.8%