117
Colgate Win Probability: 99.0%
Team Pages
Time Team Play COL Win Prob.
Q4 0:01 Forced Turnover 99.0%
Q4 0:01 Forced Turnover 99.0%
Q4 0:08 Good Clear 99.0%
Q4 0:08 Good Clear 99.0%
Q4 0:27 Forced Turnover 98.9%
Q4 0:27 Forced Turnover 98.9%
Q4 1:38 Good Clear 98.6%
Q4 1:38 Good Clear 98.6%
Q4 1:50 Unforced Turnover 98.6%
Q4 1:50 Unforced Turnover 98.6%
Q4 3:02 Good Clear 98.3%
Q4 3:02 Good Clear 98.3%
Q4 3:18 Unforced Turnover 98.3%
Q4 3:18 Unforced Turnover 98.3%
Q4 3:22 Unforced Turnover 98.3%
Q4 3:22 Unforced Turnover 98.3%
Q4 3:22 Ground Ball 98.3%
Q4 3:22 Ground Ball 98.3%
Q4 3:26 Good Clear 98.3%
Q4 3:26 Good Clear 98.3%
Q4 3:32 Ground Ball 98.2%
Q4 3:32 Ground Ball 98.2%
Q4 3:39 Saved Shot 98.2%
Q4 3:39 Saved Shot 98.2%
Q4 3:49 Missed Shot 98.2%
Q4 3:49 Missed Shot 98.2%
Q4 4:18 Good Clear 98.1%
Q4 4:18 Good Clear 98.1%
Q4 4:20 Unforced Turnover 98.0%
Q4 4:20 Unforced Turnover 98.0%
Q4 4:30 Good Clear 97.9%
Q4 4:30 Good Clear 97.9%
Q4 4:42 Saved Shot 98.0%
Q4 4:42 Saved Shot 98.0%
Q4 5:14 Unforced Turnover 97.9%
Q4 5:14 Unforced Turnover 97.9%
Q4 5:19 Ground Ball 97.8%
Q4 5:19 Ground Ball 97.8%
Q4 5:25 Good Clear 97.2%
Q4 5:25 Good Clear 97.2%
Q4 5:29 Forced Turnover 97.8%
Q4 5:29 Forced Turnover 97.8%
Q4 5:34 Failed Clear 97.8%
Q4 5:34 Failed Clear 97.8%
Q4 5:50 Forced Turnover 97.6%
Q4 5:50 Forced Turnover 97.6%
Q4 6:09 Unforced Turnover 96.5%
Q4 6:09 Unforced Turnover 96.5%
Q4 6:14 Ground Ball 95.7%
Q4 6:14 Ground Ball 95.7%
Q4 6:19 Faceoff Win 94.7%
Q4 6:19 Faceoff Win 94.7%
COL: 11LAF: 7
COL: 11LAF: 7
Q4 6:19 Unassisted Goal 95.6%
Q4 6:19 Unassisted Goal 95.6%
Q4 6:49 Good Clear 97.5%
Q4 6:49 Good Clear 97.5%
Q4 6:59 Unforced Turnover 97.5%
Q4 6:59 Unforced Turnover 97.5%
Show All Plays

Summary Stats
LAF
COL
Goals
7
11
Possessions
45
52
Shots
26
39
Shots-on-Goal
20
22
Off. Efficiency
15.6%
21.2%
Assist Rate
43%
64%
Save Pct
50.0%
65.0%
Shooting Percentage
26.9%
28.2%
Shot-on-goal Rate
76.9%
56.4%
Faceoff Win Rate
31.8%
68.2%
Turnovers
17
26
Failed Clears
5
4
Groundballs
11
11
Time of Possession
41.6%
58.4%
Avg. Possession Length
30.1
36.6
Time to First Shot
27.2
27.8
Shots per Possession
0.58
0.75
Number of Contributors
21
19
By Quarter: Lafayette
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
2
3
1
1
Possessions
10
16
4
15
Shots
6
8
10
2
Shots-on-Goal
6
7
5
2
Off. Efficiency
20%
19%
25%
7%
Save Pct
43%
33%
57%
60%
Shooting Percentage
33%
38%
10%
50%
Shot-on-goal Rate
100%
88%
50%
100%
Faceoff Win Rate
43%
17%
40%
25%
Groundball Win Rate
40%
67%
40%
50%
Turnover Rate
30%
31%
25%
53%
Time of Possession
36%
44%
50%
37%
Avg. Possession Length
29.7
23.1
88.5
22.3
Time to First Shot
28.0
27.9
32.7
14.5
Shots per Possession
0.60
0.50
2.50
0.13
Assist Rate
50%
33%
100%
0%
By Quarter: Colgate
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
4
2
3
2
Possessions
10
16
11
15
Shots
15
5
10
9
Shots-on-Goal
7
3
7
5
Off. Efficiency
40%
12%
27%
13%
Save Pct
67%
57%
80%
50%
Shooting Percentage
27%
40%
30%
22%
Shot-on-goal Rate
47%
60%
70%
56%
Faceoff Win Rate
57%
83%
60%
75%
Groundball Win Rate
60%
33%
60%
50%
Turnover Rate
40%
56%
36%
60%
Time of Possession
64%
56%
50%
63%
Avg. Possession Length
52.7
29.1
32.1
37.3
Time to First Shot
36.5
35.5
17.1
26.3
Shots per Possession
1.50
0.31
0.91
0.60
Assist Rate
100%
50%
67%
0%
Summary Stats
LAF
COL
Goals
7
11
Poss.
45
52
Shots
26
39
Shots-on-Goal
20
22
Off. Eff%
15.6%
21.2%
Assist %
43%
64%
Save Pct
50.0%
65.0%
Shooting %
26.9%
28.2%
SOG %
76.9%
56.4%
FO Win %
31.8%
68.2%
Turnovers
17
26
Failed Clears
5
4
Groundballs
11
11
T.O.P.
41.6%
58.4%
Avg Poss Length
30.1
36.6
Time to 1st Shot
27.2
27.8
Shots / Poss
0.58
0.75
# of Contributors
21
19
By Quarter: Lafayette
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
2
3
1
1
Poss.
10
16
4
15
Shots
6
8
10
2
SOG
6
7
5
2
Off. Eff%
20%
19%
25%
7%
Save Pct
43%
33%
57%
60%
Shooting %
33%
38%
10%
50%
SOG %
100%
88%
50%
100%
FO Win %
43%
17%
40%
25%
GB Win %
40%
67%
40%
50%
Turnover %
30%
31%
25%
53%
T.O.P.
36%
44%
50%
37%
Poss Len.
29.7
23.1
88.5
22.3
Time to 1st
28.0
27.9
32.7
14.5
Shots / Poss
0.60
0.50
2.50
0.13
Assist %
50%
33%
100%
0%
By Quarter: Colgate
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
4
2
3
2
Poss.
10
16
11
15
Shots
15
5
10
9
SOG
7
3
7
5
Off. Eff%
40%
12%
27%
13%
Save Pct
67%
57%
80%
50%
Shooting %
27%
40%
30%
22%
SOG %
47%
60%
70%
56%
FO Win %
57%
83%
60%
75%
GB Win %
60%
33%
60%
50%
Turnover %
40%
56%
36%
60%
T.O.P.
64%
56%
50%
63%
Poss Len.
52.7
29.1
32.1
37.3
Time to 1st
36.5
35.5
17.1
26.3
Shots / Poss
1.50
0.31
0.91
0.60
Assist %
100%
50%
67%
0%
Lafayette Colgate
Player EGA Player EGA
Lafayette Colgate
Player EGA Player EGA
Bryan Hess 2.51 Nicky Petkevich 3.59
Bryan Hess 2.51 Nicky Petkevich 3.59
Nick Jessen 1.90 Griffin Brown 3.19
Nick Jessen 1.90 Griffin Brown 3.19
Andrew Robbins 1.81 Malcolm Feeney 2.52
Andrew Robbins 1.81 Malcolm Feeney 2.52


According to #LaxWP, @ColgateLacrosse currently has a 99.0% win probability against @LafayetteMLAX

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LacrosseReference Preview: Lafayette vs Colgate

Tale of the Tape

Stat Category
Lafayette
Colgate
Strength of Record
64th
68th
Lax-ELO Ranking
73rd
61st
Adjusted Shooting %
58th
55th
Adjusted Efficiency
73rd
65th
Time of Possession
35th
73rd
Roster Depth
60th
22nd
Pace
12th
26th

Team Pages

Style Comparison

Lafayette Offense
vs.
Colgate Defense
LAF Off: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Pct of Poss.
31.2%
39.2%
29.6%
Pct of Goals
34.4%
43.7%
21.9%
Efficiency
18.6%
18.9%
12.5%
Ranking
70th
68th
74th
COL Def: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Efficiency
37.7%
43.5%
36.7%
Ranking
63rd
73rd
58th
Lafayette Defense
vs.
Colgate Offense
COL Off: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Pct of Poss.
27.0%
30.5%
42.5%
Pct of Goals
28.3%
32.1%
39.6%
Efficiency
27.8%
27.9%
24.7%
Ranking
40th
42nd
59th
LAF Def: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Efficiency
26.3%
34.8%
34.8%
Ranking
31st
65th
49th

Quarter Breakdowns

Lafayette: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Offensive Efficiency
11.5%
20.4%
25.5%
22.4%
Scoring Margin
-23
-13
-11
-8
Shooting %
18%
24%
37%
25%
Turnover Rate
53.8%
71.4%
60.8%
55.2%
Shots-on-Goal %
48%
56%
54%
56%
Time-of-Possession
46%
51%
52%
47%
Faceoff Win Rate
37%
42%
49%
49%
Time/Possession
51.3s
58.3s
55.4s
43.2s
Time to First Shot
40.3s
44.9s
46.0s
30.7s
Shots per Possession
0.66
0.85
0.66
0.89
Defensive Efficiency
38.7%
36.5%
35.8%
30.9%
Save Pct
37.0%
47.7%
35.1%
48.8%
Colgate: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Offensive Efficiency
25.7%
31.6%
21.7%
30.9%
Scoring Margin
-13
-11
-21
-2
Shooting %
26%
27%
26%
31%
Turnover Rate
41.9%
39.2%
65.2%
35.8%
Shots-on-Goal %
56%
57%
54%
62%
Time-of-Possession
43%
44%
35%
47%
Faceoff Win Rate
49%
49%
46%
52%
Time/Possession
38.3s
32.7s
33.3s
30.0s
Time to First Shot
25.2s
22.6s
19.0s
28.2s
Shots per Possession
1.02
1.19
0.84
1.00
Defensive Efficiency
36.4%
41.9%
38.3%
36.0%
Save Pct
46.7%
37.9%
42.9%
42.6%

EGA Leaders

Lafayette
Colgate
Offensive Leaders
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Andrew Robbins
333
18
Macklin Fitzpatrick
338
86
Cole Dutton
348
54
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Griffin Brown
29
1
Nicky Petkevich
95
20
Brian Minicus
156
19
Defensive Leaders
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Chris Adamo
310
98
Sean Rushton
320
49
Tommy McGee
390
178
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Parker Baddley
170
64
Thor Adamec
202
49
John Donohue
257
72
Faceoff Leaders
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
James Turco
45
5
Gabe Smithline
192
9
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Malcolm Feeney
19
5
Marshall Terres
163
22
Nat'l Rank refers to the player's ranking nationally within the offensive/defensive/faceoff category. Change indicates how that ranking has changed in the past week. Check out all the leaders here.

Trending Up or Down

Lafayette
Colgate
Stat
Previous 3 games
Last 3 games
Previous 3 games
Last 3 games
Record
0 - 3
0 - 3
0 - 3
0 - 3
Save Pct
40%
45%
44%
43%
Offensive Efficiency
19%
20%
31%
28%
Shooting Pct
24%
27%
29%
29%
Defensive Efficiency
39%
31%
39%
36%
Face-off Win%
35%
47%
42%
57%
Turnover Rate
63%
56%
48%
35%
Time-of-Possession
47%
51%
42%
41%
Avg Possession Length
49.0s
51.4s
35.5s
26.8s

Lafayette vs Colgate

Tale of the Tape

Stat
Lafayette
Colgate
Strength of Rec.
64th
68th
Lax-ELO Rank
73rd
61st
Adj Shooting %
58th
55th
Adj Efficiency
73rd
65th
T.O.P.
35th
73rd
Roster Depth
60th
22nd
Pace
12th
26th

Team Pages

Quarter Breakdowns

Lafayette: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Off Eff %
11.5%
20.4%
25.5%
22.4%
Scoring Margin
-23
-13
-11
-8
Shooting %
18%
24%
37%
25%
Turnover %
53.8%
71.4%
60.8%
55.2%
SOG %
48%
56%
54%
56%
TOP %
46%
51%
52%
47%
FO Win %
37%
42%
49%
49%
Time/Poss
51.3s
58.3s
55.4s
43.2s
Time to 1st
40.3s
44.9s
46.0s
30.7s
Shots/Poss
0.66
0.85
0.66
0.89
Def. Eff %
38.7%
36.5%
35.8%
30.9%
Save %
37.0%
47.7%
35.1%
48.8%
Colgate: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Off Eff %
25.7%
31.6%
21.7%
30.9%
Scoring Margin
-13
-11
-21
-2
Shooting %
26%
27%
26%
31%
Turnover %
41.9%
39.2%
65.2%
35.8%
SOG %
56%
57%
54%
62%
TOP %
43%
44%
35%
47%
FO Win %
49%
49%
46%
52%
Time/Poss
38.3s
32.7s
33.3s
30.0s
Time to 1st
25.2s
22.6s
19.0s
28.2s
Shots/Poss
1.02
1.19
0.84
1.00
Def. Eff %
36.4%
41.9%
38.3%
36.0%
Save %
46.7%
37.9%
42.9%
42.6%

EGA Leaders

Lafayette
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Andrew Robbins
333
18
Macklin Fitzpatrick
338
86
Cole Dutton
348
54
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Chris Adamo
310
98
Sean Rushton
320
49
Tommy McGee
390
178
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
James Turco
45
5
Gabe Smithline
192
9
Colgate
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Griffin Brown
29
1
Nicky Petkevich
95
20
Brian Minicus
156
19
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Parker Baddley
170
64
Thor Adamec
202
49
John Donohue
257
72
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Malcolm Feeney
19
5
Marshall Terres
163
22
Nat'l Rank refers to the player's ranking nationally within the offensive/defensive/faceoff category. Change indicates how that ranking has changed in the past week. Check out all the leaders here.
Win probability is an estimate based on the win percentage of every team that has been in a comparable time and score situation. We start with the basic time and score, then add or subtract win probability from each team depending on the recent sequence of plays and what that tells us about the likelihood that each team will score. Please, please, please do not treat this as a prediction. 90% win probability does not mean that the team has a 90% chance to win; it means that teams in the current situation have won 90% of the time. Win probabilities at the opening face-off are based on our current ELO ratings.

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Team Pages