Win probability is an estimate based on the win percentage of every team that has been in a comparable time and score situation. We start with the basic time and score, then add or subtract win probability from each team depending on the recent sequence of plays and what that tells us about the likelihood that each team will score. Please, please, please do not treat this as a prediction. 90% win probability does not mean that the team has a 90% chance to win; it means that teams in the current situation have won 90% of the time. Win probabilities at the opening face-off are based on our current ELO ratings.

Jacksonville Win Probability: 0.0%
Recent Plays
Game State Team Play Elapsed JU Win Odds
Ohio State +1 Assisted Goal 1s -54.0%
Tied Ground Ball 7s +12.5%
Tied Unforced Turnover 34s +3.1%
Tied Timeout 18s -2.8%
Tied Good Clear 13s -13.1%
Tied Saved Shot 58s -2.0%
Tied Faceoff Win 1s +5.3%
Tied Assisted Goal 3s -30.0%
Jacksonville +1 Forced Turnover 18s +2.7%
Jacksonville +1 Timeout 27s -4.8%
Jacksonville +1 Good Clear 4s -2.3%
Jacksonville +1 Missed Shot 37s +13.3%
Jacksonville +1 Ground Ball 0s +2.9%
Jacksonville +2 Faceoff Win 3s +2.5%
Jacksonville +1 Unassisted Goal 0s -15.3%
Jacksonville +2 Unforced Turnover 11s +5.5%
Jacksonville +2 Timeout 4s -1.0%
Jacksonville +2 Timeout 3s +1.2%
Jacksonville +2 Missed Shot 14s -2.4%
Jacksonville +1 Faceoff Win 21s -4.1%