1110
Navy Win Probability: 90.1%
NAVY
Q4 0:02
Missed Shot
Shot by NAVY Christian Daniel WIDE LEFT.
Time Team Play NAVY Win Prob.
Q4 0:01 Missed Shot 90.1%
Q4 0:01 Missed Shot 90.1%
Q4 0:06 Good Clear 87.0%
Q4 0:06 Good Clear 87.0%
Q4 0:16 Missed Shot 80.4%
Q4 0:16 Missed Shot 80.4%
Q4 0:49 Good Clear 83.1%
Q4 0:49 Good Clear 83.1%
Q4 1:03 Saved Shot 79.6%
Q4 1:03 Saved Shot 79.6%
Q4 1:33 Unforced Turnover 70.0%
Q4 1:33 Unforced Turnover 70.0%
Q4 1:40 Ground Ball 66.0%
Q4 1:40 Ground Ball 66.0%
Q4 1:48 Penalty - 1 min 60.7%
Q4 1:48 Penalty - 1 min 60.7%
Q4 1:48 Missed Shot 72.0%
Q4 1:48 Missed Shot 72.0%
Q4 2:25 Faceoff Win 77.0%
Q4 2:25 Faceoff Win 77.0%
NAVY: 11HC: 10
NAVY: 11HC: 10
Q4 2:25 Unassisted Goal 82.1%
Q4 2:25 Unassisted Goal 82.1%
Q4 3:04 Good Clear 91.2%
Q4 3:04 Good Clear 91.2%
Q4 3:21 Saved Shot 93.7%
Q4 3:21 Saved Shot 93.7%
Q4 4:01 Failed Clear 87.2%
Q4 4:01 Failed Clear 87.2%
Q4 4:12 Missed Shot 84.2%
Q4 4:12 Missed Shot 84.2%
Q4 4:51 Good Clear 85.5%
Q4 4:51 Good Clear 85.5%
Q4 5:06 Ground Ball 82.9%
Q4 5:06 Ground Ball 82.9%
Q4 5:06 Saved Shot 80.6%
Q4 5:06 Saved Shot 80.6%
Q4 5:36 Faceoff Win 74.0%
Q4 5:36 Faceoff Win 74.0%
NAVY: 11HC: 9
NAVY: 11HC: 9
Q4 5:36 Unassisted Goal 76.9%
Q4 5:36 Unassisted Goal 76.9%
Q4 5:51 Missed Shot 87.8%
Q4 5:51 Missed Shot 87.8%
Q4 6:05 Missed Shot 89.2%
Q4 6:05 Missed Shot 89.2%
Q4 6:46 Good Clear 91.7%
Q4 6:46 Good Clear 91.7%
Q4 6:49 Saved Shot 92.7%
Q4 6:49 Saved Shot 92.7%
Q4 7:23 Good Clear 94.8%
Q4 7:23 Good Clear 94.8%
Q4 7:34 Unforced Turnover 94.0%
Q4 7:34 Unforced Turnover 94.0%
Q4 8:34 Faceoff Win 94.6%
Q4 8:34 Faceoff Win 94.6%
NAVY: 11HC: 8
NAVY: 11HC: 8
Show All Plays

Summary Stats
HC
NAVY
Goals
10
11
Possessions
39
41
Shots
41
29
Shots-on-Goal
15
19
Off. Efficiency
25.6%
26.8%
Assist Rate
50%
82%
Save Pct
42.1%
33.3%
Shooting Percentage
24.4%
37.9%
Shot-on-goal Rate
36.6%
65.5%
Faceoff Win Rate
52.2%
47.8%
Turnovers
15
15
Failed Clears
2
0
Groundballs
6
7
Time of Possession
57.1%
42.9%
Avg. Possession Length
50.5
36.1
Time to First Shot
35.0
32.0
Shots per Possession
1.05
0.71
Number of Contributors
14
22
By Quarter: Holy Cross
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
4
3
1
2
Possessions
7
11
9
12
Shots
16
9
4
12
Shots-on-Goal
4
6
1
4
Off. Efficiency
57%
27%
11%
17%
Save Pct
50%
67%
14%
60%
Shooting Percentage
25%
33%
25%
17%
Shot-on-goal Rate
25%
67%
25%
33%
Faceoff Win Rate
29%
67%
50%
80%
Groundball Win Rate
67%
0%
40%
50%
Turnover Rate
29%
27%
67%
33%
Time of Possession
57%
55%
48%
70%
Avg. Possession Length
72.9
43.2
47.6
46.4
Time to First Shot
36.0
35.4
18.5
39.2
Shots per Possession
2.29
0.82
0.44
1.00
Assist Rate
75%
33%
100%
0%
By Quarter: Navy
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
2
1
6
2
Possessions
8
9
12
12
Shots
7
6
9
7
Shots-on-Goal
4
3
7
5
Off. Efficiency
25%
11%
50%
17%
Save Pct
0%
50%
0%
50%
Shooting Percentage
29%
17%
67%
29%
Shot-on-goal Rate
57%
50%
78%
71%
Faceoff Win Rate
71%
33%
50%
20%
Groundball Win Rate
33%
100%
60%
50%
Turnover Rate
50%
56%
33%
17%
Time of Possession
43%
45%
52%
30%
Avg. Possession Length
48.4
42.7
39.3
19.9
Time to First Shot
33.6
38.8
31.7
27.1
Shots per Possession
0.88
0.67
0.75
0.58
Assist Rate
100%
100%
67%
100%
Summary Stats
HC
NAVY
Goals
10
11
Poss.
39
41
Shots
41
29
Shots-on-Goal
15
19
Off. Eff%
25.6%
26.8%
Assist %
50%
82%
Save Pct
42.1%
33.3%
Shooting %
24.4%
37.9%
SOG %
36.6%
65.5%
FO Win %
52.2%
47.8%
Turnovers
15
15
Failed Clears
2
0
Groundballs
6
7
T.O.P.
57.1%
42.9%
Avg Poss Length
50.5
36.1
Time to 1st Shot
35.0
32.0
Shots / Poss
1.05
0.71
# of Contributors
14
22
By Quarter: Holy Cross
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
4
3
1
2
Poss.
7
11
9
12
Shots
16
9
4
12
SOG
4
6
1
4
Off. Eff%
57%
27%
11%
17%
Save Pct
50%
67%
14%
60%
Shooting %
25%
33%
25%
17%
SOG %
25%
67%
25%
33%
FO Win %
29%
67%
50%
80%
GB Win %
67%
0%
40%
50%
Turnover %
29%
27%
67%
33%
T.O.P.
57%
55%
48%
70%
Poss Len.
72.9
43.2
47.6
46.4
Time to 1st
36.0
35.4
18.5
39.2
Shots / Poss
2.29
0.82
0.44
1.00
Assist %
75%
33%
100%
0%
By Quarter: Navy
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
2
1
6
2
Poss.
8
9
12
12
Shots
7
6
9
7
SOG
4
3
7
5
Off. Eff%
25%
11%
50%
17%
Save Pct
0%
50%
0%
50%
Shooting %
29%
17%
67%
29%
SOG %
57%
50%
78%
71%
FO Win %
71%
33%
50%
20%
GB Win %
33%
100%
60%
50%
Turnover %
50%
56%
33%
17%
T.O.P.
43%
45%
52%
30%
Poss Len.
48.4
42.7
39.3
19.9
Time to 1st
33.6
38.8
31.7
27.1
Shots / Poss
0.88
0.67
0.75
0.58
Assist %
100%
100%
67%
100%
Holy Cross Navy
Player EGA Player EGA
Holy Cross Navy
Player EGA Player EGA
Sean Mullaney 3.74 Christian Daniel 3.58
Sean Mullaney 3.74 Christian Daniel 3.58
Kevin Kodzis 3.05 Nick Cole 2.95
Kevin Kodzis 3.05 Nick Cole 2.95
Dean Dinanno 2.11 Patrick Skalniak 1.79
Dean Dinanno 2.11 Patrick Skalniak 1.79


According to #LaxWP, @navymlax currently has a 90.1% win probability against @HCrossMLAX

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LacrosseReference Preview: Holy Cross vs Navy

Tale of the Tape

Stat Category
Holy Cross
Navy
Strength of Record
35th
34th
Lax-ELO Ranking
38th
40th
Adjusted Shooting %
64th
20th
Adjusted Efficiency
57th
27th
Time of Possession
28th
12th
Roster Depth
47th
17th
Pace
59th
52nd

Team Pages

Style Comparison

Holy Cross Offense
vs.
Navy Defense
HC Off: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Pct of Poss.
17.9%
44.0%
38.0%
Pct of Goals
17.9%
42.9%
39.3%
Efficiency
23.8%
23.3%
24.7%
Ranking
55th
59th
58th
NAVY Def: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Efficiency
24.3%
30.0%
21.3%
Ranking
17th
46th
3rd
Holy Cross Defense
vs.
Navy Offense
NAVY Off: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Pct of Poss.
23.8%
40.1%
36.0%
Pct of Goals
24.1%
38.9%
37.0%
Efficiency
31.7%
30.4%
32.3%
Ranking
30th
28th
30th
HC Def: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Efficiency
28.3%
26.4%
38.5%
Ranking
38th
25th
67th

Quarter Breakdowns

Holy Cross: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Offensive Efficiency
27.8%
25.8%
18.8%
20.6%
Scoring Margin
+1
+3
-6
-9
Shooting %
29%
25%
21%
21%
Turnover Rate
40.3%
53.0%
46.4%
41.3%
Shots-on-Goal %
63%
57%
45%
48%
Time-of-Possession
53%
56%
55%
47%
Faceoff Win Rate
63%
71%
79%
43%
Time/Possession
45.7s
45.2s
50.1s
44.6s
Time to First Shot
33.6s
40.8s
37.1s
35.7s
Shots per Possession
0.98
0.99
0.93
0.99
Defensive Efficiency
30.6%
24.1%
31.7%
31.9%
Save Pct
42.4%
56.2%
42.4%
50.0%
Navy: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Offensive Efficiency
37.3%
32.6%
28.9%
24.0%
Scoring Margin
+9
+6
+2
-5
Shooting %
37%
31%
30%
31%
Turnover Rate
37.3%
37.0%
55.6%
36.0%
Shots-on-Goal %
62%
65%
65%
62%
Time-of-Possession
56%
55%
54%
46%
Faceoff Win Rate
75%
47%
50%
34%
Time/Possession
50.2s
53.7s
53.1s
40.9s
Time to First Shot
40.2s
42.8s
32.1s
27.6s
Shots per Possession
1.02
0.98
0.92
0.80
Defensive Efficiency
24.4%
20.0%
25.0%
35.4%
Save Pct
58.3%
59.1%
52.2%
41.4%

EGA Leaders

Holy Cross
Navy
Offensive Leaders
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Kevin Kodzis
100
7
Sean Mullaney
115
59
Justin Lynskey
141
40
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Tyler Perreten
232
48
Christian Daniel
247
12
Nick Cole
281
63
Defensive Leaders
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Chris Conlin
4
2
Philip Turner
17
11
Sean New
24
16
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Nick Franchuk
53
63
Andrew McKenna
137
16
Tom Evans
207
54
Faceoff Leaders
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Dan OConnell
14
5
Kilian Morrissey
258
41
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Nick Barry
51
2
Joe Miller
118
8
Nat'l Rank refers to the player's ranking nationally within the offensive/defensive/faceoff category. Change indicates how that ranking has changed in the past week. Check out all the leaders here.

Trending Up or Down

Holy Cross
Navy
Stat
Season
Last 3 games
Season
Last 3 games
Record
4 - 3
1 - 2
3 - 2
1 - 2
Save Pct
48%
48%
52%
45%
Offensive Efficiency
23%
21%
31%
28%
Shooting Pct
24%
22%
32%
31%
Defensive Efficiency
30%
33%
26%
32%
Face-off Win%
63%
63%
51%
37%
Turnover Rate
45%
51%
41%
41%
Time-of-Possession
52%
51%
53%
48%
Avg Possession Length
45.9s
46.9s
48.8s
47.2s
Since we want to wait for sufficient games to have been played, we have compared each team's full season stats with a subset consisting of the last 3 games.

Holy Cross vs Navy

Tale of the Tape

Stat
Holy Cross
Navy
Strength of Rec.
35th
34th
Lax-ELO Rank
38th
40th
Adj Shooting %
64th
20th
Adj Efficiency
57th
27th
T.O.P.
28th
12th
Roster Depth
47th
17th
Pace
59th
52nd

Team Pages

Quarter Breakdowns

Holy Cross: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Off Eff %
27.8%
25.8%
18.8%
20.6%
Scoring Margin
+1
+3
-6
-9
Shooting %
29%
25%
21%
21%
Turnover %
40.3%
53.0%
46.4%
41.3%
SOG %
63%
57%
45%
48%
TOP %
53%
56%
55%
47%
FO Win %
63%
71%
79%
43%
Time/Poss
45.7s
45.2s
50.1s
44.6s
Time to 1st
33.6s
40.8s
37.1s
35.7s
Shots/Poss
0.98
0.99
0.93
0.99
Def. Eff %
30.6%
24.1%
31.7%
31.9%
Save %
42.4%
56.2%
42.4%
50.0%
Navy: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Off Eff %
37.3%
32.6%
28.9%
24.0%
Scoring Margin
+9
+6
+2
-5
Shooting %
37%
31%
30%
31%
Turnover %
37.3%
37.0%
55.6%
36.0%
SOG %
62%
65%
65%
62%
TOP %
56%
55%
54%
46%
FO Win %
75%
47%
50%
34%
Time/Poss
50.2s
53.7s
53.1s
40.9s
Time to 1st
40.2s
42.8s
32.1s
27.6s
Shots/Poss
1.02
0.98
0.92
0.80
Def. Eff %
24.4%
20.0%
25.0%
35.4%
Save %
58.3%
59.1%
52.2%
41.4%

EGA Leaders

Holy Cross
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Kevin Kodzis
100
7
Sean Mullaney
115
59
Justin Lynskey
141
40
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Chris Conlin
4
2
Philip Turner
17
11
Sean New
24
16
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Dan OConnell
14
5
Kilian Morrissey
258
41
Navy
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Tyler Perreten
232
48
Christian Daniel
247
12
Nick Cole
281
63
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Nick Franchuk
53
63
Andrew McKenna
137
16
Tom Evans
207
54
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Nick Barry
51
2
Joe Miller
118
8
Nat'l Rank refers to the player's ranking nationally within the offensive/defensive/faceoff category. Change indicates how that ranking has changed in the past week. Check out all the leaders here.
Win probability is an estimate based on the win percentage of every team that has been in a comparable time and score situation. We start with the basic time and score, then add or subtract win probability from each team depending on the recent sequence of plays and what that tells us about the likelihood that each team will score. Please, please, please do not treat this as a prediction. 90% win probability does not mean that the team has a 90% chance to win; it means that teams in the current situation have won 90% of the time. Win probabilities at the opening face-off are based on our current ELO ratings.

Either the game hasn't started yet or the streaming site is not sending data. Either way, we'll update this page once the stats start rolling in.

Team Pages