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1015
Mount St Marys Win Probability: 1.0%
HOB
Q4 0:02
Ground Ball
Ground ball pickup by HOB Sam Lucchesi.
Time Team Play MSM Win Prob.
Q4 0:01 Ground Ball 1.0%
Q4 0:01 Ground Ball 1.0%
Q4 0:04 Saved Shot 1.0%
Q4 0:04 Saved Shot 1.0%
Q4 0:14 Missed Shot 1.1%
Q4 0:14 Missed Shot 1.1%
Q4 0:47 Good Clear 1.2%
Q4 0:47 Good Clear 1.2%
Q4 1:01 Missed Shot 1.2%
Q4 1:01 Missed Shot 1.2%
Q4 1:13 Missed Shot 1.3%
Q4 1:13 Missed Shot 1.3%
Q4 1:22 Missed Shot 1.3%
Q4 1:22 Missed Shot 1.3%
Q4 1:52 Failed Clear 1.4%
Q4 1:52 Failed Clear 1.4%
Q4 2:01 Saved Shot 1.5%
Q4 2:01 Saved Shot 1.5%
Q4 2:12 Missed Shot 1.5%
Q4 2:12 Missed Shot 1.5%
Q4 2:49 Good Clear 1.7%
Q4 2:49 Good Clear 1.7%
Q4 3:04 Missed Shot 1.7%
Q4 3:04 Missed Shot 1.7%
Q4 3:13 Missed Shot 1.8%
Q4 3:13 Missed Shot 1.8%
Q4 3:51 Faceoff Win 1.9%
Q4 3:51 Faceoff Win 1.9%
MSM: 10HOB: 15
MSM: 10HOB: 15
Q4 3:51 Assisted Goal 1.9%
Q4 3:51 Assisted Goal 1.9%
Q4 4:25 Good Clear 2.1%
Q4 4:25 Good Clear 2.1%
Q4 4:25 Missed Shot 2.1%
Q4 4:25 Missed Shot 2.1%
Q4 4:57 Faceoff Win 2.2%
Q4 4:57 Faceoff Win 2.2%
MSM: 9HOB: 15
MSM: 9HOB: 15
Q4 4:57 Assisted Goal 2.2%
Q4 4:57 Assisted Goal 2.2%
Q4 5:30 Good Clear 2.3%
Q4 5:30 Good Clear 2.3%
Q4 5:39 Ground Ball 2.4%
Q4 5:39 Ground Ball 2.4%
Q4 5:44 Saved Shot 2.4%
Q4 5:44 Saved Shot 2.4%
Q4 6:20 Faceoff Win 2.5%
Q4 6:20 Faceoff Win 2.5%
MSM: 8HOB: 15
MSM: 8HOB: 15
Q4 6:20 Unassisted Goal 2.5%
Q4 6:20 Unassisted Goal 2.5%
Q4 6:29 Missed Shot 2.6%
Q4 6:29 Missed Shot 2.6%
Q4 6:55 Ground Ball 2.7%
Q4 6:55 Ground Ball 2.7%
Q4 7:03 Missed Shot 2.7%
Q4 7:03 Missed Shot 2.7%
Show All Plays

Summary Stats
HOB
MSM
Goals
15
10
Possessions
48
43
Shots
42
32
Shots-on-Goal
26
17
Off. Efficiency
31.2%
23.3%
Assist Rate
40%
80%
Save Pct
41.2%
42.3%
Shooting Percentage
35.7%
31.2%
Shot-on-goal Rate
61.9%
53.1%
Faceoff Win Rate
40.7%
59.3%
Turnovers
13
19
Failed Clears
1
5
Groundballs
11
9
Time of Possession
48.0%
52.0%
Avg. Possession Length
33.5
40.5
Time to First Shot
27.6
37.2
Shots per Possession
0.88
0.74
Number of Contributors
25
21
By Quarter: Hobart
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
6
3
5
1
Possessions
12
13
14
9
Shots
11
9
11
11
Shots-on-Goal
10
6
7
3
Off. Efficiency
50%
23%
36%
11%
Save Pct
60%
50%
0%
25%
Shooting Percentage
55%
33%
45%
9%
Shot-on-goal Rate
91%
67%
64%
27%
Faceoff Win Rate
43%
50%
67%
12%
Groundball Win Rate
60%
83%
25%
40%
Turnover Rate
17%
31%
36%
22%
Time of Possession
50%
53%
55%
34%
Avg. Possession Length
33.8
35.5
31.5
33.1
Time to First Shot
29.9
23.8
28.5
27.2
Shots per Possession
0.92
0.69
0.79
1.22
Assist Rate
50%
33%
40%
0%
By Quarter: Mount St Marys
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
2
2
0
6
Possessions
10
11
9
13
Shots
6
11
4
11
Shots-on-Goal
5
4
0
8
Off. Efficiency
20%
18%
0%
46%
Save Pct
40%
50%
29%
67%
Shooting Percentage
33%
18%
0%
55%
Shot-on-goal Rate
83%
36%
0%
73%
Faceoff Win Rate
57%
50%
33%
88%
Groundball Win Rate
40%
17%
75%
60%
Turnover Rate
40%
45%
67%
31%
Time of Possession
50%
47%
45%
66%
Avg. Possession Length
39.7
37.5
40.1
44.0
Time to First Shot
35.2
38.5
35.7
38.5
Shots per Possession
0.60
1.00
0.44
0.85
Assist Rate
100%
0%
0%
100%
Summary Stats
HOB
MSM
Goals
15
10
Poss.
48
43
Shots
42
32
Shots-on-Goal
26
17
Off. Eff%
31.2%
23.3%
Assist %
40%
80%
Save Pct
41.2%
42.3%
Shooting %
35.7%
31.2%
SOG %
61.9%
53.1%
FO Win %
40.7%
59.3%
Turnovers
13
19
Failed Clears
1
5
Groundballs
11
9
T.O.P.
48.0%
52.0%
Avg Poss Length
33.5
40.5
Time to 1st Shot
27.6
37.2
Shots / Poss
0.88
0.74
# of Contributors
25
21
By Quarter: Hobart
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
6
3
5
1
Poss.
12
13
14
9
Shots
11
9
11
11
SOG
10
6
7
3
Off. Eff%
50%
23%
36%
11%
Save Pct
60%
50%
0%
25%
Shooting %
55%
33%
45%
9%
SOG %
91%
67%
64%
27%
FO Win %
43%
50%
67%
12%
GB Win %
60%
83%
25%
40%
Turnover %
17%
31%
36%
22%
T.O.P.
50%
53%
55%
34%
Poss Len.
33.8
35.5
31.5
33.1
Time to 1st
29.9
23.8
28.5
27.2
Shots / Poss
0.92
0.69
0.79
1.22
Assist %
50%
33%
40%
0%
By Quarter: Mount St Marys
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
2
2
0
6
Poss.
10
11
9
13
Shots
6
11
4
11
SOG
5
4
0
8
Off. Eff%
20%
18%
0%
46%
Save Pct
40%
50%
29%
67%
Shooting %
33%
18%
0%
55%
SOG %
83%
36%
0%
73%
FO Win %
57%
50%
33%
88%
GB Win %
40%
17%
75%
60%
Turnover %
40%
45%
67%
31%
T.O.P.
50%
47%
45%
66%
Poss Len.
39.7
37.5
40.1
44.0
Time to 1st
35.2
38.5
35.7
38.5
Shots / Poss
0.60
1.00
0.44
0.85
Assist %
100%
0%
0%
100%
Hobart Mount St Marys
Player EGA Player EGA
Hobart Mount St Marys
Player EGA Player EGA
Jason Knox 5.80 Sam Stephan 3.36
Jason Knox 5.80 Sam Stephan 3.36
Ryan Archer 4.45 Luke Frankeny 3.20
Ryan Archer 4.45 Luke Frankeny 3.20
Eric Holden 4.18 Joe Bethke 2.72
Eric Holden 4.18 Joe Bethke 2.72

[easy-tweet tweet="According to #LaxWP, @HobartLacrosse currently has a 99.0% win probability against @MountMLacrosse" user="laxreference" url="https://lacrossereference.com/game-win-probabilities/hobart_and_william_mount_st_marys_20200321/?utm_source=Social" template="light"]

LacrosseReference Preview: Hobart vs Mount St Marys

Tale of the Tape

Stat Category
Hobart
Mount St Marys
Strength of Record
19th
56th
Lax-ELO Ranking
23rd
59th
Adjusted Shooting %
7th
70th
Adjusted Efficiency
4th
60th
Time of Possession
22nd
26th
Roster Depth
3rd
49th
Pace
9th
41st

Team Pages

Style Comparison

Hobart Offense
vs.
Mount St Marys Defense
HOB Off: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Pct of Poss.
24.8%
31.0%
44.3%
Pct of Goals
19.8%
27.9%
52.3%
Efficiency
32.7%
36.9%
48.4%
Ranking
24th
10th
1st
MSM Def: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Efficiency
27.4%
35.7%
27.0%
Ranking
34th
68th
22nd
Hobart Defense
vs.
Mount St Marys Offense
MSM Off: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Pct of Poss.
19.3%
45.8%
34.9%
Pct of Goals
15.6%
42.2%
42.2%
Efficiency
18.9%
21.4%
28.1%
Ranking
68th
64th
45th
HOB Def: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Efficiency
23.7%
34.3%
25.3%
Ranking
14th
62nd
16th

Quarter Breakdowns

Hobart: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Offensive Efficiency
33.3%
49.3%
44.4%
38.0%
Scoring Margin
+4
+23
+7
+4
Shooting %
29%
46%
34%
37%
Turnover Rate
25.0%
31.0%
35.2%
40.0%
Shots-on-Goal %
59%
63%
64%
65%
Time-of-Possession
55%
53%
51%
49%
Faceoff Win Rate
48%
63%
54%
51%
Time/Possession
40.9s
33.7s
42.1s
41.2s
Time to First Shot
24.3s
22.7s
30.5s
30.5s
Shots per Possession
1.13
1.06
1.30
1.09
Defensive Efficiency
29.1%
23.5%
33.3%
27.3%
Save Pct
59.0%
55.6%
55.3%
54.5%
Mount St Marys: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Offensive Efficiency
26.2%
20.5%
25.4%
21.7%
Scoring Margin
+3
-8
-6
-12
Shooting %
26%
23%
23%
17%
Turnover Rate
33.3%
42.3%
39.4%
41.7%
Shots-on-Goal %
56%
54%
52%
59%
Time-of-Possession
55%
49%
53%
47%
Faceoff Win Rate
65%
52%
49%
44%
Time/Possession
46.6s
45.5s
56.4s
57.3s
Time to First Shot
35.0s
35.6s
42.5s
36.4s
Shots per Possession
1.02
0.89
1.16
1.20
Defensive Efficiency
25.7%
32.9%
30.4%
35.7%
Save Pct
44.1%
48.9%
45.5%
51.0%

EGA Leaders

Hobart
Mount St Marys
Offensive Leaders
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Eric Holden
24
▼11
Jason Knox
98
▼10
Justin Scott
172
▲85
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Brenden Mccarthy
61
▲68
Luke Frankeny
109
▲27
Kelly Gouin
196
▲10
Defensive Leaders
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
PJ Delpha
493
▼17
Bobby Baltzer
551
▲79
Kyle Nalen
656
▼219
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Bryan Mcintosh
34
▲32
Steven Schmitt
63
▲23
Josh Davies
80
▲27
Faceoff Leaders
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Adam Shea
47
▼6
Drew Blanchard
53
▲2
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Sam Stephan
8
▲7
549
▼75
Nat'l Rank refers to the player's ranking nationally within the offensive/defensive/faceoff category. Change indicates how that ranking has changed in the past week. Check out all the leaders here.

Trending Up or Down

Hobart
Mount St Marys
Stat
Season
Last 3 games
Season
Last 3 games
Record
4 - 1
2 - 1
3 - 5
1 - 2
Save Pct
56%
53%
48%
51%
Offensive Efficiency
42%
36%
24%
25%
Shooting Pct
37%
34%
23%
28%
Defensive Efficiency
28%
32%
31%
30%
Face-off Win%
54%
54%
52%
54%
Turnover Rate
32%
37%
39%
45%
Time-of-Possession
52%
50%
51%
50%
Avg Possession Length
38.3s
37.8s
49.1s
44.3s
Since we want to wait for sufficient games to have been played, we have compared each team's full season stats with a subset consisting of the last 3 games.

Hobart vs Mount St Marys

Tale of the Tape

Stat
Hobart
Mount St Marys
Strength of Rec.
19th
56th
Lax-ELO Rank
23rd
59th
Adj Shooting %
7th
70th
Adj Efficiency
4th
60th
T.O.P.
22nd
26th
Roster Depth
3rd
49th
Pace
9th
41st

Team Pages

Quarter Breakdowns

Hobart: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Off Eff %
33.3%
49.3%
44.4%
38.0%
Scoring Margin
+4
+23
+7
+4
Shooting %
29%
46%
34%
37%
Turnover %
25.0%
31.0%
35.2%
40.0%
SOG %
59%
63%
64%
65%
TOP %
55%
53%
51%
49%
FO Win %
48%
63%
54%
51%
Time/Poss
40.9s
33.7s
42.1s
41.2s
Time to 1st
24.3s
22.7s
30.5s
30.5s
Shots/Poss
1.13
1.06
1.30
1.09
Def. Eff %
29.1%
23.5%
33.3%
27.3%
Save %
59.0%
55.6%
55.3%
54.5%
Mount St Marys: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Off Eff %
26.2%
20.5%
25.4%
21.7%
Scoring Margin
+3
-8
-6
-12
Shooting %
26%
23%
23%
17%
Turnover %
33.3%
42.3%
39.4%
41.7%
SOG %
56%
54%
52%
59%
TOP %
55%
49%
53%
47%
FO Win %
65%
52%
49%
44%
Time/Poss
46.6s
45.5s
56.4s
57.3s
Time to 1st
35.0s
35.6s
42.5s
36.4s
Shots/Poss
1.02
0.89
1.16
1.20
Def. Eff %
25.7%
32.9%
30.4%
35.7%
Save %
44.1%
48.9%
45.5%
51.0%

EGA Leaders

Hobart
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Eric Holden
24
▼11
Jason Knox
98
▼10
Justin Scott
172
▲85
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
PJ Delpha
493
▼17
Bobby Baltzer
551
▲79
Kyle Nalen
656
▼219
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Adam Shea
47
▼6
Drew Blanchard
53
▲2
Mount St Marys
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Brenden Mccarthy
61
▲68
Luke Frankeny
109
▲27
Kelly Gouin
196
▲10
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Bryan Mcintosh
34
▲32
Steven Schmitt
63
▲23
Josh Davies
80
▲27
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Sam Stephan
8
▲7
549
▼75
Nat'l Rank refers to the player's ranking nationally within the offensive/defensive/faceoff category. Change indicates how that ranking has changed in the past week. Check out all the leaders here.
Win probability is an estimate based on the win percentage of every team that has been in a comparable time and score situation. We start with the basic time and score, then add or subtract win probability from each team depending on the recent sequence of plays and what that tells us about the likelihood that each team will score. Please, please, please do not treat this as a prediction. 90% win probability does not mean that the team has a 90% chance to win; it means that teams in the current situation have won 90% of the time. Win probabilities at the opening face-off are based on our current ELO ratings.

Either the game hasn't started yet or the streaming site is not sending data. Either way, we'll update this page once the stats start rolling in.
Team Pages
Hobart
Mount St Marys