811
AFA
Q4 0:02
Missed Shot
Shot by AFA Jake Thornally WIDE RIGHT.
Air Force Win Prob: 1.0%AFA WP: 1.0%
Time Team Play AFA Win Prob.
Q4 0:01 Missed Shot 1.0%
Q4 0:01 Missed Shot 1.0%
Q4 0:12 Good Clear 1.1%
Q4 0:12 Good Clear 1.1%
Q4 0:17 Saved Shot 1.1%
Q4 0:17 Saved Shot 1.1%
Q4 0:50 Good Clear 1.3%
Q4 0:50 Good Clear 1.3%
Q4 1:05 Unforced Turnover 1.4%
Q4 1:05 Unforced Turnover 1.4%
Q4 1:30 Faceoff Win 1.5%
Q4 1:30 Faceoff Win 1.5%
AFA: 8HPU: 11
AFA: 8HPU: 11
Q4 1:30 Unassisted Goal 1.5%
Q4 1:30 Unassisted Goal 1.5%
Q4 2:04 Faceoff Win 1.7%
Q4 2:04 Faceoff Win 1.7%
AFA: 8HPU: 10
AFA: 8HPU: 10
Q4 2:04 Assisted Goal 3.2%
Q4 2:04 Assisted Goal 3.2%
Q4 2:42 Good Clear 2.0%
Q4 2:42 Good Clear 2.0%
Q4 2:54 Unforced Turnover 2.0%
Q4 2:54 Unforced Turnover 2.0%
Q4 3:41 Ground Ball 2.3%
Q4 3:41 Ground Ball 2.3%
Q4 3:43 Good Clear 2.3%
Q4 3:43 Good Clear 2.3%
Q4 3:50 Unforced Turnover 2.4%
Q4 3:50 Unforced Turnover 2.4%
Q4 4:37 Faceoff Win 2.7%
Q4 4:37 Faceoff Win 2.7%
AFA: 7HPU: 10
AFA: 7HPU: 10
Q4 4:37 Unassisted Goal 2.7%
Q4 4:37 Unassisted Goal 2.7%
Q4 5:04 Good Clear 8.1%
Q4 5:04 Good Clear 8.1%
Q4 5:13 Forced Turnover 10.8%
Q4 5:13 Forced Turnover 10.8%
Q4 5:33 Good Clear 10.2%
Q4 5:33 Good Clear 10.2%
Q4 5:46 Missed Shot 9.1%
Q4 5:46 Missed Shot 9.1%
Q4 6:11 Good Clear 14.1%
Q4 6:11 Good Clear 14.1%
Q4 6:26 Saved Shot 17.9%
Q4 6:26 Saved Shot 17.9%
Q4 6:54 Good Clear 17.1%
Q4 6:54 Good Clear 17.1%
Q4 7:06 Unforced Turnover 13.5%
Q4 7:06 Unforced Turnover 13.5%
Q4 7:59 Good Clear 12.1%
Q4 7:59 Good Clear 12.1%
Q4 8:11 Unforced Turnover 18.6%
Q4 8:11 Unforced Turnover 18.6%
Q4 8:32 Failed Clear 20.2%
Q4 8:32 Failed Clear 20.2%
Show All Plays

Summary Stats
HPU
AFA
Goals
11
8
Possessions
37
43
Shots
28
26
Shots-on-Goal
19
15
Off. Efficiency
29.7%
18.6%
Assist Rate
36%
88%
Save Pct
46.7%
42.1%
Shooting Percentage
39.3%
30.8%
Shot-on-goal Rate
67.9%
57.7%
Faceoff Win Rate
22.7%
77.3%
Turnovers
14
25
Failed Clears
1
1
Groundballs
4
7
Time of Possession
40.3%
59.7%
Avg. Possession Length
38.8
49.3
Time to First Shot
27.9
36.6
Shots per Possession
0.76
0.60
Number of Contributors
22
20
By Quarter: High Point
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
5
0
3
3
Possessions
9
10
10
8
Shots
10
5
7
6
Shots-on-Goal
8
1
5
5
Off. Efficiency
56%
0%
30%
38%
Save Pct
0%
50%
60%
50%
Shooting Percentage
50%
0%
43%
50%
Shot-on-goal Rate
80%
20%
71%
83%
Faceoff Win Rate
38%
0%
17%
17%
Groundball Win Rate
0%
25%
40%
100%
Turnover Rate
11%
70%
30%
38%
Time of Possession
35%
49%
37%
41%
Avg. Possession Length
34.2
42.8
33.5
45.4
Time to First Shot
31.5
23.3
18.0
33.7
Shots per Possession
1.11
0.50
0.70
0.75
Assist Rate
40%
0%
33%
33%
By Quarter: Air Force
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
2
2
2
2
Possessions
9
11
12
11
Shots
5
5
9
7
Shots-on-Goal
2
4
5
4
Off. Efficiency
22%
18%
17%
18%
Save Pct
38%
100%
40%
40%
Shooting Percentage
40%
40%
22%
29%
Shot-on-goal Rate
40%
80%
56%
57%
Faceoff Win Rate
62%
100%
83%
83%
Groundball Win Rate
100%
75%
60%
0%
Turnover Rate
67%
55%
50%
64%
Time of Possession
65%
51%
63%
59%
Avg. Possession Length
64.9
40.2
47.8
47.5
Time to First Shot
41.7
40.5
38.4
28.6
Shots per Possession
0.56
0.45
0.75
0.64
Assist Rate
50%
100%
100%
100%
Summary Stats
HPU
AFA
Goals
11
8
Poss.
37
43
Shots
28
26
Shots-on-Goal
19
15
Off. Eff%
29.7%
18.6%
Assist %
36%
88%
Save Pct
46.7%
42.1%
Shooting %
39.3%
30.8%
SOG %
67.9%
57.7%
FO Win %
22.7%
77.3%
Turnovers
14
25
Failed Clears
1
1
Groundballs
4
7
T.O.P.
40.3%
59.7%
Avg Poss Length
38.8
49.3
Time to 1st Shot
27.9
36.6
Shots / Poss
0.76
0.60
# of Contributors
22
20
By Quarter: High Point
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
5
0
3
3
Poss.
9
10
10
8
Shots
10
5
7
6
SOG
8
1
5
5
Off. Eff%
56%
0%
30%
38%
Save Pct
0%
50%
60%
50%
Shooting %
50%
0%
43%
50%
SOG %
80%
20%
71%
83%
FO Win %
38%
0%
17%
17%
GB Win %
0%
25%
40%
100%
Turnover %
11%
70%
30%
38%
T.O.P.
35%
49%
37%
41%
Poss Len.
34.2
42.8
33.5
45.4
Time to 1st
31.5
23.3
18.0
33.7
Shots / Poss
1.11
0.50
0.70
0.75
Assist %
40%
0%
33%
33%
By Quarter: Air Force
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
2
2
2
2
Poss.
9
11
12
11
Shots
5
5
9
7
SOG
2
4
5
4
Off. Eff%
22%
18%
17%
18%
Save Pct
38%
100%
40%
40%
Shooting %
40%
40%
22%
29%
SOG %
40%
80%
56%
57%
FO Win %
62%
100%
83%
83%
GB Win %
100%
75%
60%
0%
Turnover %
67%
55%
50%
64%
T.O.P.
65%
51%
63%
59%
Poss Len.
64.9
40.2
47.8
47.5
Time to 1st
41.7
40.5
38.4
28.6
Shots / Poss
0.56
0.45
0.75
0.64
Assist %
50%
100%
100%
100%

[easy-tweet tweet="According to #LaxWP, @HPUMensLax currently has a 99.0% win probability against @AFLacrosse" user="laxreference" url="https://lacrossereference.com/game-win-probabilities/high_point_air_force_20200429/?utm_source=Social" template="light"]

LacrosseReference Preview: High Point vs Air Force

3:30 PM

Tale of the Tape

Stat Category
High Point
Air Force
Strength of Record
46th
44th
Lax-ELO Ranking
36th
30th
Adjusted Shooting %
24th
27th
Adjusted Efficiency
59th
41st
Time of Possession
55th
69th
Roster Depth
23rd
54th
Pace
10th
46th

Win Probability

High Point
Air Force
41.9%
58.1%

Team Pages

Style Comparison

High Point Offense
vs.
Air Force Defense
HPU Off: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Pct of Poss.
26.7%
36.7%
36.7%
Pct of Goals
28.6%
29.8%
41.7%
Efficiency
30.0%
22.7%
31.8%
Ranking
35th
62nd
33rd
AFA Def: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Efficiency
31.1%
26.7%
28.6%
Ranking
51st
27th
28th
High Point Defense
vs.
Air Force Offense
AFA Off: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Pct of Poss.
25.9%
42.3%
31.8%
Pct of Goals
26.7%
48.3%
25.0%
Efficiency
30.8%
34.1%
23.4%
Ranking
31st
13th
61st
HPU Def: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Efficiency
36.0%
37.9%
35.9%
Ranking
62nd
69th
56th

Quarter Breakdowns

High Point: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Offensive Efficiency
30.6%
26.4%
23.5%
28.8%
Scoring Margin
+1
-5
-15
-11
Shooting %
41%
31%
30%
32%
Turnover Rate
41.5%
47.1%
40.9%
47.0%
Shots-on-Goal %
70%
63%
64%
58%
Time-of-Possession
47%
48%
47%
46%
Faceoff Win Rate
51%
47%
43%
49%
Time/Possession
39.2s
39.1s
42.3s
39.6s
Time to First Shot
30.0s
28.7s
30.3s
29.3s
Shots per Possession
0.81
0.87
0.76
0.98
Defensive Efficiency
29.1%
28.8%
32.9%
33.3%
Save Pct
50.0%
54.8%
48.9%
39.5%
Air Force: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Offensive Efficiency
25.9%
19.9%
27.6%
31.7%
Scoring Margin
+4
-5
+14
+2
Shooting %
31%
25%
33%
42%
Turnover Rate
42.4%
44.9%
35.5%
48.3%
Shots-on-Goal %
61%
61%
57%
61%
Time-of-Possession
48%
49%
49%
53%
Faceoff Win Rate
52%
51%
55%
58%
Time/Possession
44.5s
43.0s
39.5s
40.2s
Time to First Shot
35.6s
34.8s
31.2s
38.1s
Shots per Possession
0.88
0.83
0.87
0.78
Defensive Efficiency
23.9%
22.2%
19.7%
31.4%
Save Pct
50.8%
50.0%
55.6%
48.8%

EGA Leaders

High Point
Air Force
Offensive Leaders
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Asher Nolting
26
▼11
Ben Baker
168
▼55
Devon Buckshot
183
▼22
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Brandon Dodd
87
▲24
Trey Lervick
163
▲15
Ethan Grandolfo
214
▼18
Defensive Leaders
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Taylor Acra
184
▼110
Nick Walsh
185
▲36
PJ Peters
254
▼66
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Quentin Carlile
21
▲48
Daniel Pagano
357
▼99
Shad Bruce
369
▼104
Faceoff Leaders
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Davis Sampere
38
▲2
Collin Hoben
50
▼13
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Ryan Lynch
43
▲9
Dylan Frankhouser
110
▲7
Nat'l Rank refers to the player's ranking nationally within the offensive/defensive/faceoff category. Change indicates how that ranking has changed in the past week. Check out all the leaders here.

Trending Up or Down

High Point
Air Force
Stat
Previous 3 games
Last 3 games
Previous 3 games
Last 3 games
Record
1 - 2
2 - 1
1 - 2
3 - 0
Save Pct
49%
61%
45%
56%
Offensive Efficiency
33%
21%
21%
26%
Shooting Pct
38%
36%
36%
30%
Defensive Efficiency
32%
19%
22%
16%
Face-off Win%
48%
52%
53%
60%
Turnover Rate
43%
51%
48%
44%
Time-of-Possession
45%
50%
50%
54%
Avg Possession Length
42.5s
36.6s
36.1s
42.6s

High Point vs Air Force

Tale of the Tape

Stat
High Point
Air Force
Strength of Rec.
46th
44th
Lax-ELO Rank
36th
30th
Adj Shooting %
24th
27th
Adj Efficiency
59th
41st
T.O.P.
55th
69th
Roster Depth
23rd
54th
Pace
10th
46th

Win Probability

High Point
Air Force
41.9%
58.1%

Team Pages

Quarter Breakdowns

High Point: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Off Eff %
30.6%
26.4%
23.5%
28.8%
Scoring Margin
+1
-5
-15
-11
Shooting %
41%
31%
30%
32%
Turnover %
41.5%
47.1%
40.9%
47.0%
SOG %
70%
63%
64%
58%
TOP %
47%
48%
47%
46%
FO Win %
51%
47%
43%
49%
Time/Poss
39.2s
39.1s
42.3s
39.6s
Time to 1st
30.0s
28.7s
30.3s
29.3s
Shots/Poss
0.81
0.87
0.76
0.98
Def. Eff %
29.1%
28.8%
32.9%
33.3%
Save %
50.0%
54.8%
48.9%
39.5%
Air Force: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Off Eff %
25.9%
19.9%
27.6%
31.7%
Scoring Margin
+4
-5
+14
+2
Shooting %
31%
25%
33%
42%
Turnover %
42.4%
44.9%
35.5%
48.3%
SOG %
61%
61%
57%
61%
TOP %
48%
49%
49%
53%
FO Win %
52%
51%
55%
58%
Time/Poss
44.5s
43.0s
39.5s
40.2s
Time to 1st
35.6s
34.8s
31.2s
38.1s
Shots/Poss
0.88
0.83
0.87
0.78
Def. Eff %
23.9%
22.2%
19.7%
31.4%
Save %
50.8%
50.0%
55.6%
48.8%

EGA Leaders

High Point
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Asher Nolting
26
▼11
Ben Baker
168
▼55
Devon Buckshot
183
▼22
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Taylor Acra
184
▼110
Nick Walsh
185
▲36
PJ Peters
254
▼66
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Davis Sampere
38
▲2
Collin Hoben
50
▼13
Air Force
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Brandon Dodd
87
▲24
Trey Lervick
163
▲15
Ethan Grandolfo
214
▼18
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Quentin Carlile
21
▲48
Daniel Pagano
357
▼99
Shad Bruce
369
▼104
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Ryan Lynch
43
▲9
Dylan Frankhouser
110
▲7
Nat'l Rank refers to the player's ranking nationally within the offensive/defensive/faceoff category. Change indicates how that ranking has changed in the past week. Check out all the leaders here.
Win probability is an estimate based on the win percentage of every team that has been in a comparable time and score situation. We start with the basic time and score, then add or subtract win probability from each team depending on the recent sequence of plays and what that tells us about the likelihood that each team will score. Please, please, please do not treat this as a prediction. 90% win probability does not mean that the team has a 90% chance to win; it means that teams in the current situation have won 90% of the time. Win probabilities at the opening face-off are based on our current ELO ratings.

Either the game hasn't started yet or the streaming site is not sending data. Either way, we'll update this page once the stats start rolling in.
Team Pages
High Point
Air Force
Air Force
Player
GoalsG
AssistsA
ShotsSh
TOsTO
GBsGB
FOsFO
EGA
Trey Lervick
3
3
6
4
2
0
3.88
Brandon Dodd
3
1
7
3
4
0
3.07
Ryan Lynch
0
0
0
0
0
17
2.67
Jake Thornally
1
0
3
2
1
0
0.86
Quincy Peene
0
1
3
1
0
0
0.68
Mike Matheson
1
0
1
0
0
0
0.53
Griffin Peene
0
0
0
0
3
0
0.51
Brenden Crouse
0
0
2
2
2
0
0.32
Vince Lombardi
0
0
0
0
1
0
0.17
George Rittenhouse
0
0
0
0
1
0
0.17
Chet Dunstan
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.14
Christian Marshall
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.14
Matthew Orourk
0
1
1
3
0
0
0.14
Quentin Carlile
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.12
Ethan Grandolfo
0
1
2
6
0
0
0.11
High Point
Player
GoalsG
AssistsA
ShotsSh
TOsTO
GBsGB
FOsFO
EGA
Asher Nolting
3
1
10
7
2
0
3.51
Tyler Hendrycks
2
0
6
1
1
0
2.61
Ben Baker
2
1
2
0
2
0
1.90
Tyler Stinson
1
1
1
0
0
0
1.52
Devon Buckshot
1
0
3
1
0
0
1.16
Davis Sampere
0
0
0
0
1
5
0.95
Koby Russell
1
0
1
1
0
0
0.88
Hunter Vines
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.71
Jake Schleppy
1
0
3
1
0
0
0.67
Luke Cappetto
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.28
Parker Green
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.14
Joel Scerbo
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.14
Nick Walsh
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.14
Collin Clothier
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.14
Colin Clothier
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.14
Nick Murphy
0
0
1
0
0
0
0.04