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Win probability is an estimate based on the win percentage of every team that has been in a comparable time and score situation. We start with the basic time and score, then add or subtract win probability from each team depending on the recent sequence of plays and what that tells us about the likelihood that each team will score. Please, please, please do not treat this as a prediction. 90% win probability does not mean that the team has a 90% chance to win; it means that teams in the current situation have won 90% of the time. Win probabilities at the opening face-off are based on our current ELO ratings.

Hartford Win Probability: 93.2%
Recent Plays
Game State Team Play Elapsed HFD Win Odds
HFD +5 Penalty – 1 min 7s +0.2%
HFD +5 Ground Ball 4s +0.1%
HFD +5 Shot Clock On 39s +0.8%
HFD +5 Good Clear 4s +0.1%
HFD +5 Ground Ball 1s +0.0%
HFD +5 Blocked Shot 11s +0.2%
HFD +5 Unforced Turnover 47s +0.9%
HFD +6 Faceoff Win 13s +0.3%
HFD +6 Timeout 0s 0.0%
HFD +5 Unassisted Goal 0s 0.0%
HFD +7 Faceoff Win 17s +0.3%
HFD +6 Assisted Goal 0s 0.0%
HFD +6 Faceoff Win 29s +0.6%
HFD +7 Assisted Goal 0s 0.0%
HFD +6 Penalty – 30 sec 46s +0.9%
HFD +6 Good Clear 11s +0.2%
HFD +6 Ground Ball 1s +0.0%
HFD +6 Forced Turnover 16s +0.3%
HFD +6 Missed Shot 8s +0.1%
HFD +5 Faceoff Win 54s +1.0%