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Win probability is an estimate based on the win percentage of every team that has been in a comparable time and score situation. We start with the basic time and score, then add or subtract win probability from each team depending on the recent sequence of plays and what that tells us about the likelihood that each team will score. Please, please, please do not treat this as a prediction. 90% win probability does not mean that the team has a 90% chance to win; it means that teams in the current situation have won 90% of the time. Win probabilities at the opening face-off are based on our current ELO ratings.

Georgetown Win Probability: 94.8%
Recent Plays  
Game State Team Play Elapsed GU Win Odds
GU +2 Unforced Turnover 43s +1.0%
GU +2 Ground Ball 25s +5.7%
GU +2 Unforced Turnover 13s +2.2%
GU +2 Good Clear +2.8%
GU +2 Good Clear 20s –7.1%
GU +2 Ground Ball 3s –0.3%
GU +2 Forced Turnover 39s +2.2%
GU +2 Ground Ball 6s +0.9%
GU +2 Forced Turnover 31s –0.3%
GU +2 Unassisted Goal 46s +10.7%
GU +1 Good Clear 3s +2.8%
GU +1 Ground Ball 3s +4.7%
GU +1 Unforced Turnover 30s +4.4%
GU +1 Saved Shot 56s +3.4%
GU +1 Good Clear 4s –2.7%
GU +1 Saved Shot 20s –4.4%
GU +1 Blocked Shot 19s –5.5%
GU +1 Missed Shot 22s +2.8%
GU +1 Good Clear 6s +1.9%
GU +1 Ground Ball 20s +2.0%