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Win probability is an estimate based on the win percentage of every team that has been in a comparable time and score situation. We start with the basic time and score, then add or subtract win probability from each team depending on the recent sequence of plays and what that tells us about the likelihood that each team will score. Please, please, please do not treat this as a prediction. 90% win probability does not mean that the team has a 90% chance to win; it means that teams in the current situation have won 90% of the time. Win probabilities at the opening face-off are based on our current ELO ratings.

Fairfield Win Probability: 5.4%
Recent Plays  
Game State Team Play Elapsed FFD Win Odds
RU +5 Good Clear 2s
RU +5 Ground Ball 4s
RU +5 Forced Turnover 28s –0.4%
RU +5 Assisted Goal 14s –0.2%
RU +5 Faceoff Win
RU +4 Shot Clock On 37s –0.5%
RU +4 Good Clear 13s –0.2%
RU +4 Ground Ball 3s
RU +4 Saved Shot 34s –0.5%
RU +4 Good Clear 1s
RU +4 Assisted Goal 6s
RU +4 Faceoff Win
RU +3 Saved Shot 5s
RU +3 Ground Ball 23s –0.3%
RU +3 Assisted Goal 15s –0.6%
RU +3 Faceoff Win
RU +1 Faceoff Win 32s –3.3%
RU +1 Penalty – 1 min –5.4%
RU +2 Assisted Goal –4.9%
RU +1 Good Clear 3s –2.0%