Live Win Probability: Duke vs North Carolina – Mar 30, 2019

Team Pages

Time	Team	Play	DU Win Prob.
Q4 1:38		Timeout	0.0%
Q4 1:38		Timeout	0.0%
Q4 1:40		Missed Shot	0.0%
Q4 1:40		Missed Shot	0.0%
Q4 1:47		Good Clear	0.0%
Q4 1:47		Good Clear	0.0%
Q4 1:57		Unforced Turnover	1.8%
Q4 1:57		Unforced Turnover	1.8%
Q4 2:21		Missed Shot	6.0%
Q4 2:21		Missed Shot	6.0%
Q4 2:51		Forced Turnover	5.2%
Q4 2:51		Forced Turnover	5.2%
Q4 3:41		Ground Ball	2.6%
Q4 3:41		Ground Ball	2.6%
Q4 3:41		Unforced Turnover	5.5%
Q4 3:41		Unforced Turnover	5.5%
Q4 3:50		Faceoff Win	7.8%
Q4 3:50		Faceoff Win	7.8%
DU: 8NC: 10
DU: 8NC: 10
Q4 3:50		Unassisted Goal	2.7%
Q4 3:50		Unassisted Goal	2.7%
Q4 4:25		Good Clear	21.4%
Q4 4:25		Good Clear	21.4%
Q4 4:31		Saved Shot	24.5%
Q4 4:31		Saved Shot	24.5%
Q4 5:03		Timeout	31.7%
Q4 5:03		Timeout	31.7%
Q4 5:05		Missed Shot	37.9%
Q4 5:05		Missed Shot	37.9%
Q4 5:21		Good Clear	31.2%
Q4 5:21		Good Clear	31.2%
Q4 5:24		Unforced Turnover	25.5%
Q4 5:24		Unforced Turnover	25.5%
Q4 5:49		Saved Shot	35.9%
Q4 5:49		Saved Shot	35.9%
Q4 6:03		Penalty - 1 min	51.9%
Q4 6:03		Penalty - 1 min	51.9%
Q4 6:04		Saved Shot	44.0%
Q4 6:04		Saved Shot	44.0%
Q4 6:25		Ground Ball	46.0%
Q4 6:25		Ground Ball	46.0%
Q4 6:30		Saved Shot	42.2%
Q4 6:30		Saved Shot	42.2%
Q4 6:53		Ground Ball	41.3%
Q4 6:53		Ground Ball	41.3%
Q4 6:57		Blocked Shot	37.6%
Q4 6:57		Blocked Shot	37.6%
Q4 7:12		Good Clear	37.3%
Q4 7:12		Good Clear	37.3%
Q4 7:18		Saved Shot	33.3%
Q4 7:18		Saved Shot	33.3%
Q4 8:01		Good Clear	51.0%
Q4 8:01		Good Clear	51.0%
Q4 8:11		Saved Shot	56.0%
Q4 8:11		Saved Shot	56.0%
Q4 8:21		Penalty - 30 sec	46.3%
Q4 8:21		Penalty - 30 sec	46.3%
Q4 8:21		Penalty - 30 sec	36.8%
Q4 8:21		Penalty - 30 sec	36.8%
Show All Plays

Q4 8:48	Good Clear	31.6%
Q4 8:48	Good Clear	31.6%
Q4 8:51	Saved Shot	29.5%
Q4 8:51	Saved Shot	29.5%
Q4 9:19	Good Clear	39.8%
Q4 9:19	Good Clear	39.8%
Q4 9:20	Unforced Turnover	44.1%
Q4 9:20	Unforced Turnover	44.1%
Q4 9:25	Blocked Shot	45.3%
Q4 9:25	Blocked Shot	45.3%
Q4 10:04	Saved Shot	42.5%
Q4 10:04	Saved Shot	42.5%
Q4 10:43	Missed Shot	43.7%
Q4 10:43	Missed Shot	43.7%
Q4 11:08	Good Clear	44.9%
Q4 11:08	Good Clear	44.9%
Q4 11:10	Unforced Turnover	42.7%
Q4 11:10	Unforced Turnover	42.7%
Q4 11:33	Missed Shot	39.6%
Q4 11:33	Missed Shot	39.6%
Q4 12:17	Saved Shot	31.0%
Q4 12:17	Saved Shot	31.0%
Q4 12:47	Good Clear	37.1%
Q4 12:47	Good Clear	37.1%
Q4 12:50	Saved Shot	40.7%
Q4 12:50	Saved Shot	40.7%
Q4 13:31	Good Clear	46.7%
Q4 13:31	Good Clear	46.7%
Q4 13:40	Ground Ball	44.9%
Q4 13:40	Ground Ball	44.9%
Q4 13:43	Saved Shot	41.5%
Q4 13:43	Saved Shot	41.5%
Q4 14:02	Blocked Shot	35.0%
Q4 14:02	Blocked Shot	35.0%
Q4 15:00	Faceoff Win	36.3%
Q4 15:00	Faceoff Win	36.3%
Q3 0:01	Blocked Shot	39.6%
Q3 0:01	Blocked Shot	39.6%
Q3 0:08	Faceoff Win	37.6%
Q3 0:08	Faceoff Win	37.6%
Q3 0:15	Faceoff Win	34.9%
Q3 0:15	Faceoff Win	34.9%
DU: 8NC: 9
DU: 8NC: 9
Q3 0:08	Assisted Goal	37.6%
Q3 0:08	Assisted Goal	37.6%
Q3 1:29	Faceoff Win	55.5%
Q3 1:29	Faceoff Win	55.5%
DU: 8NC: 8
DU: 8NC: 8
Q3 0:15	Assisted Goal	55.4%
Q3 0:15	Assisted Goal	55.4%
DU: 8NC: 7
DU: 8NC: 7
Q3 1:29	Assisted Goal	62.6%
Q3 1:29	Assisted Goal	62.6%
Q3 1:42	Missed Shot	76.8%
Q3 1:42	Missed Shot	76.8%
Q3 1:59	Missed Shot	78.4%
Q3 1:59	Missed Shot	78.4%
Q3 2:50	Faceoff Win	79.7%
Q3 2:50	Faceoff Win	79.7%
DU: 8NC: 6
DU: 8NC: 6
Q3 2:50	Unassisted Goal	81.7%
Q3 2:50	Unassisted Goal	81.7%
Q3 3:08	Ground Ball	73.4%
Q3 3:08	Ground Ball	73.4%
Q3 3:11	Saved Shot	70.6%
Q3 3:11	Saved Shot	70.6%
Q3 3:21	Unforced Turnover	73.4%
Q3 3:21	Unforced Turnover	73.4%
Q3 3:32	Failed Clear	71.3%
Q3 3:32	Failed Clear	71.3%
Q3 3:38	Forced Turnover	68.2%
Q3 3:38	Forced Turnover	68.2%
Q3 3:44	Missed Shot	70.5%
Q3 3:44	Missed Shot	70.5%
Q3 4:15	Missed Shot	65.6%
Q3 4:15	Missed Shot	65.6%
Q3 4:50	Good Clear	59.6%
Q3 4:50	Good Clear	59.6%
Q3 4:57	Saved Shot	59.2%
Q3 4:57	Saved Shot	59.2%
Q3 5:23	Penalty - 1 min	54.7%
Q3 5:23	Penalty - 1 min	54.7%
Q3 6:18	Faceoff Win	73.2%
Q3 6:18	Faceoff Win	73.2%
DU: 7NC: 6
DU: 7NC: 6
Q3 6:18	Unassisted Goal	73.9%
Q3 6:18	Unassisted Goal	73.9%
Q3 7:06	Good Clear	60.5%
Q3 7:06	Good Clear	60.5%
Q3 7:09	Ground Ball	58.6%
Q3 7:09	Ground Ball	58.6%
Q3 7:13	Saved Shot	56.4%
Q3 7:13	Saved Shot	56.4%
Q3 7:28	Penalty - 1 min	54.7%
Q3 7:28	Penalty - 1 min	54.7%
Q3 7:35	Faceoff Win	61.6%
Q3 7:35	Faceoff Win	61.6%
DU: 6NC: 6
DU: 6NC: 6
Q3 7:35	Unassisted Goal	63.2%
Q3 7:35	Unassisted Goal	63.2%
Q3 7:48	Good Clear	49.1%
Q3 7:48	Good Clear	49.1%
Q3 7:54	Ground Ball	45.9%
Q3 7:54	Ground Ball	45.9%
Q3 7:55	Unforced Turnover	42.9%
Q3 7:55	Unforced Turnover	42.9%
Q3 8:17	Forced Turnover	48.3%
Q3 8:17	Forced Turnover	48.3%
Q3 8:30	Faceoff Win	53.8%
Q3 8:30	Faceoff Win	53.8%
DU: 5NC: 6
DU: 5NC: 6
Q3 8:30	Assisted Goal	50.7%
Q3 8:30	Assisted Goal	50.7%
Q3 9:14	Good Clear	27.7%
Q3 9:14	Good Clear	27.7%
Q3 9:16	Ground Ball	26.3%
Q3 9:16	Ground Ball	26.3%
Q3 9:20	Forced Turnover	24.9%
Q3 9:20	Forced Turnover	24.9%
Q3 9:35	Missed Shot	23.9%
Q3 9:35	Missed Shot	23.9%
Q3 9:58	Good Clear	25.8%
Q3 9:58	Good Clear	25.8%
Q3 10:04	Ground Ball	28.5%
Q3 10:04	Ground Ball	28.5%
Q3 10:11	Forced Turnover	29.8%
Q3 10:11	Forced Turnover	29.8%
Q3 11:22	Faceoff Win	40.3%
Q3 11:22	Faceoff Win	40.3%
DU: 4NC: 6
DU: 4NC: 6
Q3 11:22	Assisted Goal	38.2%
Q3 11:22	Assisted Goal	38.2%
Q3 11:36	Penalty - 30 sec	28.4%
Q3 11:36	Penalty - 30 sec	28.4%
Q3 12:34	Good Clear	25.0%
Q3 12:34	Good Clear	25.0%
Q3 12:36	Saved Shot	25.5%
Q3 12:36	Saved Shot	25.5%
Q3 13:21	Good Clear	24.9%
Q3 13:21	Good Clear	24.9%
Q3 13:23	Ground Ball	25.0%
Q3 13:23	Ground Ball	25.0%
Q3 13:28	Blocked Shot	26.1%
Q3 13:28	Blocked Shot	26.1%
Q3 13:53	Saved Shot	25.4%
Q3 13:53	Saved Shot	25.4%
Q3 14:37	Faceoff Win	30.5%
Q3 14:37	Faceoff Win	30.5%
Q3 15:00	Faceoff Win	30.5%
Q3 15:00	Faceoff Win	30.5%
DU: 3NC: 6
DU: 3NC: 6
Q3 14:37	Unassisted Goal	30.5%
Q3 14:37	Unassisted Goal	30.5%
Q2 0:04	Missed Shot	40.4%
Q2 0:04	Missed Shot	40.4%
Q2 0:11	Timeout	40.9%
Q2 0:11	Timeout	40.9%
Q2 0:14	Blocked Shot	41.1%
Q2 0:14	Blocked Shot	41.1%
Q2 0:37	Ground Ball	40.7%
Q2 0:37	Ground Ball	40.7%
Q2 1:04	Timeout	41.3%
Q2 1:04	Timeout	41.3%
Q2 1:04	Penalty - 30 sec	41.1%
Q2 1:04	Penalty - 30 sec	41.1%
Q2 1:06	Saved Shot	40.9%
Q2 1:06	Saved Shot	40.9%
Q2 1:29	Ground Ball	40.8%
Q2 1:29	Ground Ball	40.8%
Q2 1:31	Ground Ball	40.5%
Q2 1:31	Ground Ball	40.5%
Q2 2:06	Good Clear	40.9%
Q2 2:06	Good Clear	40.9%
Q2 2:07	Unforced Turnover	40.0%
Q2 2:07	Unforced Turnover	40.0%
Q2 2:13	Missed Shot	39.4%
Q2 2:13	Missed Shot	39.4%
Q2 2:44	Ground Ball	40.0%
Q2 2:44	Ground Ball	40.0%
Q2 2:49	Unforced Turnover	41.7%
Q2 2:49	Unforced Turnover	41.7%
Q2 2:56	Failed Clear	42.5%
Q2 2:56	Failed Clear	42.5%
Q2 3:01	Ground Ball	41.8%
Q2 3:01	Ground Ball	41.8%
Q2 3:05	Saved Shot	41.7%
Q2 3:05	Saved Shot	41.7%
Q2 3:39	Good Clear	43.8%
Q2 3:39	Good Clear	43.8%
Q2 3:43	Saved Shot	45.8%
Q2 3:43	Saved Shot	45.8%
Q2 3:49	Ground Ball	46.9%
Q2 3:49	Ground Ball	46.9%
Q2 3:53	Pipe Shot	43.1%
Q2 3:53	Pipe Shot	43.1%
Q2 3:55	Ground Ball	42.2%
Q2 3:55	Ground Ball	42.2%
Q2 3:59	Saved Shot	42.2%
Q2 3:59	Saved Shot	42.2%
Q2 4:22	Penalty - 1 min	44.0%
Q2 4:22	Penalty - 1 min	44.0%
Q2 4:24	Missed Shot	46.2%
Q2 4:24	Missed Shot	46.2%
Q2 4:28	Ground Ball	47.5%
Q2 4:28	Ground Ball	47.5%
Q2 4:44	Good Clear	46.3%
Q2 4:44	Good Clear	46.3%
Q2 4:46	Ground Ball	44.5%
Q2 4:46	Ground Ball	44.5%
Q2 4:48	Missed Shot	42.9%
Q2 4:48	Missed Shot	42.9%
Q2 4:51	Ground Ball	45.0%
Q2 4:51	Ground Ball	45.0%
Q2 4:55	Blocked Shot	46.7%
Q2 4:55	Blocked Shot	46.7%
Q2 5:21	Goalie Change	45.0%
Q2 5:21	Goalie Change	45.0%
Q2 6:10	Faceoff Win	46.4%
Q2 6:10	Faceoff Win	46.4%
DU: 3NC: 5
DU: 3NC: 5
Q2 6:10	Assisted Goal	48.3%
Q2 6:10	Assisted Goal	48.3%
Q2 6:25	Goalie Change	46.8%
Q2 6:25	Goalie Change	46.8%
Q2 6:25	Penalty - 1 min	46.8%
Q2 6:25	Penalty - 1 min	46.8%
Q2 6:25	Penalty - 30 sec	45.7%
Q2 6:25	Penalty - 30 sec	45.7%
Q2 6:25	Saved Shot	41.5%
Q2 6:25	Saved Shot	41.5%
Q2 6:45	Good Clear	38.8%
Q2 6:45	Good Clear	38.8%
Q2 6:47	Ground Ball	36.6%
Q2 6:47	Ground Ball	36.6%
Q2 6:55	Forced Turnover	35.1%
Q2 6:55	Forced Turnover	35.1%
Q2 7:30	Good Clear	40.5%
Q2 7:30	Good Clear	40.5%
Q2 7:48	Saved Shot	42.2%
Q2 7:48	Saved Shot	42.2%
Q2 8:06	Penalty - 30 sec	39.2%
Q2 8:06	Penalty - 30 sec	39.2%
Q2 8:48	Good Clear	34.4%
Q2 8:48	Good Clear	34.4%
Q2 8:51	Ground Ball	32.9%
Q2 8:51	Ground Ball	32.9%
Q2 8:54	Forced Turnover	31.5%
Q2 8:54	Forced Turnover	31.5%
Q2 9:03	Missed Shot	35.3%
Q2 9:03	Missed Shot	35.3%
Q2 9:09	Ground Ball	35.9%
Q2 9:09	Ground Ball	35.9%
Q2 9:15	Missed Shot	36.0%
Q2 9:15	Missed Shot	36.0%
Q2 10:03	Good Clear	38.9%
Q2 10:03	Good Clear	38.9%
Q2 10:13	Ground Ball	40.2%
Q2 10:13	Ground Ball	40.2%
Q2 10:18	Saved Shot	42.1%
Q2 10:18	Saved Shot	42.1%
Q2 10:28	Good Clear	41.9%
Q2 10:28	Good Clear	41.9%
Q2 10:34	Unforced Turnover	40.8%
Q2 10:34	Unforced Turnover	40.8%
Q2 10:35	Unforced Turnover	40.0%
Q2 10:35	Unforced Turnover	40.0%
Q2 11:01	Good Clear	42.0%
Q2 11:01	Good Clear	42.0%
Q2 11:17	Unforced Turnover	38.7%
Q2 11:17	Unforced Turnover	38.7%
Q2 11:45	Faceoff Win	37.6%
Q2 11:45	Faceoff Win	37.6%
DU: 2NC: 5
DU: 2NC: 5
Q2 11:45	Unassisted Goal	39.3%
Q2 11:45	Unassisted Goal	39.3%
Q2 12:03	Missed Shot	45.7%
Q2 12:03	Missed Shot	45.7%
Q2 12:47	Timeout	45.5%
Q2 12:47	Timeout	45.5%
Q2 13:27	Faceoff Win	44.0%
Q2 13:27	Faceoff Win	44.0%
DU: 2NC: 4
DU: 2NC: 4
Q2 13:27	Assisted Goal	45.0%
Q2 13:27	Assisted Goal	45.0%
Q2 13:46	Blocked Shot	46.7%
Q2 13:46	Blocked Shot	46.7%
Q2 14:33	Good Clear	50.8%
Q2 14:33	Good Clear	50.8%
Q2 14:34	Unforced Turnover	52.0%
Q2 14:34	Unforced Turnover	52.0%
Q2 14:52	Good Clear	53.0%
Q2 14:52	Good Clear	53.0%
Q2 15:00	Faceoff Win	51.8%
Q2 15:00	Faceoff Win	51.8%
Q1 0:05	Blocked Shot	50.0%
Q1 0:05	Blocked Shot	50.0%
Q1 0:12	Good Clear	50.4%
Q1 0:12	Good Clear	50.4%
Q1 0:15	Ground Ball	52.0%
Q1 0:15	Ground Ball	52.0%
Q1 0:18	Saved Shot	53.5%
Q1 0:18	Saved Shot	53.5%
Q1 0:45	Good Clear	53.4%
Q1 0:45	Good Clear	53.4%
Q1 0:48	Ground Ball	51.8%
Q1 0:48	Ground Ball	51.8%
Q1 0:53	Saved Shot	50.6%
Q1 0:53	Saved Shot	50.6%
Q1 2:00	Good Clear	51.6%
Q1 2:00	Good Clear	51.6%
Q1 2:02	Ground Ball	52.4%
Q1 2:02	Ground Ball	52.4%
Q1 2:07	Saved Shot	54.0%
Q1 2:07	Saved Shot	54.0%
Q1 3:11	Faceoff Win	55.4%
Q1 3:11	Faceoff Win	55.4%
DU: 2NC: 3
DU: 2NC: 3
Q1 3:11	Unassisted Goal	54.1%
Q1 3:11	Unassisted Goal	54.1%
Q1 3:59	Good Clear	43.2%
Q1 3:59	Good Clear	43.2%
Q1 4:05	Missed Shot	45.0%
Q1 4:05	Missed Shot	45.0%
Q1 4:15	Faceoff Win	45.4%
Q1 4:15	Faceoff Win	45.4%
DU: 1NC: 3
DU: 1NC: 3
Q1 4:15	Assisted Goal	45.6%
Q1 4:15	Assisted Goal	45.6%
Q1 4:42	Penalty - 1 min	47.6%
Q1 4:42	Penalty - 1 min	47.6%
Q1 4:43	Saved Shot	51.3%
Q1 4:43	Saved Shot	51.3%
Q1 5:25	Good Clear	57.1%
Q1 5:25	Good Clear	57.1%
Q1 5:28	Ground Ball	60.7%
Q1 5:28	Ground Ball	60.7%
Q1 5:35	Forced Turnover	61.1%
Q1 5:35	Forced Turnover	61.1%
Q1 5:59	Ground Ball	61.6%
Q1 5:59	Ground Ball	61.6%
Q1 6:04	Saved Shot	60.4%
Q1 6:04	Saved Shot	60.4%
Q1 6:27	Penalty - 1 min	60.5%
Q1 6:27	Penalty - 1 min	60.5%
Q1 7:42	Good Clear	58.6%
Q1 7:42	Good Clear	58.6%
Q1 7:45	Ground Ball	57.9%
Q1 7:45	Ground Ball	57.9%
Q1 7:48	Forced Turnover	56.4%
Q1 7:48	Forced Turnover	56.4%
Q1 8:24	Ground Ball	57.4%
Q1 8:24	Ground Ball	57.4%
Q1 8:47	Good Clear	59.3%
Q1 8:47	Good Clear	59.3%
Q1 8:49	Ground Ball	61.1%
Q1 8:49	Ground Ball	61.1%
Q1 8:54	Saved Shot	61.5%
Q1 8:54	Saved Shot	61.5%
Q1 9:09	Faceoff Win	60.8%
Q1 9:09	Faceoff Win	60.8%
DU: 1NC: 2
DU: 1NC: 2
Q1 9:09	Assisted Goal	59.8%
Q1 9:09	Assisted Goal	59.8%
Q1 9:48	Good Clear	58.1%
Q1 9:48	Good Clear	58.1%
Q1 9:53	Saved Shot	57.9%
Q1 9:53	Saved Shot	57.9%
Q1 10:31	Unforced Turnover	55.1%
Q1 10:31	Unforced Turnover	55.1%
Q1 10:41	Ground Ball	56.3%
Q1 10:41	Ground Ball	56.3%
Q1 11:44	Good Clear	48.3%
Q1 11:44	Good Clear	48.3%
Q1 11:48	Saved Shot	48.6%
Q1 11:48	Saved Shot	48.6%
Q1 12:15	Ground Ball	50.4%
Q1 12:15	Ground Ball	50.4%
Q1 12:20	Saved Shot	50.7%
Q1 12:20	Saved Shot	50.7%
Q1 12:22	Ground Ball	50.9%
Q1 12:22	Ground Ball	50.9%
Q1 12:27	Unforced Turnover	51.2%
Q1 12:27	Unforced Turnover	51.2%
Q1 12:43	Faceoff Win	52.5%
Q1 12:43	Faceoff Win	52.5%
Q1 13:25	Faceoff Win	58.8%
Q1 13:25	Faceoff Win	58.8%
DU: 0NC: 2
DU: 0NC: 2
Q1 12:43	Unassisted Goal	52.5%
Q1 12:43	Unassisted Goal	52.5%
DU: 0NC: 1
DU: 0NC: 1
Q1 13:25	Unassisted Goal	60.1%
Q1 13:25	Unassisted Goal	60.1%
Q1 13:52	Ground Ball	67.7%
Q1 13:52	Ground Ball	67.7%
Q1 13:52	Unforced Turnover	68.1%
Q1 13:52	Unforced Turnover	68.1%
Q1 13:52	Failed Clear	68.4%
Q1 13:52	Failed Clear	68.4%
Q1 13:53	Saved Shot	68.8%
Q1 13:53	Saved Shot	68.8%
Q1 13:54	Ground Ball	69.0%
Q1 13:54	Ground Ball	69.0%
Q1 13:57	Saved Shot	69.5%
Q1 13:57	Saved Shot	69.5%
Q1 14:43	Ground Ball	72.4%
Q1 14:43	Ground Ball	72.4%
Q1 15:00	Faceoff Win	74.3%
Q1 15:00	Faceoff Win	74.3%
Q1 15:00	Goalie Change	74.3%
Q1 15:00	Goalie Change	74.3%
Q1 15:00	Goalie Change	74.3%
Q1 15:00	Goalie Change	74.3%