Win probability is an estimate based on the win percentage of every team that has been in a comparable time and score situation. We start with the basic time and score, then add or subtract win probability from each team depending on the recent sequence of plays and what that tells us about the likelihood that each team will score. Please, please, please do not treat this as a prediction. 90% win probability does not mean that the team has a 90% chance to win; it means that teams in the current situation have won 90% of the time. Win probabilities at the opening face-off are based on our current ELO ratings.

Drexel Win Probability: 31.1%
Recent Plays
Game State Team Play Elapsed DREXEL Win Odds
SJU +1 Ground Ball 3s +14.1%
SJU +1 Unforced Turnover 0s +4.9%
SJU +1 Failed Clear 19s +1.1%
SJU +1 Faceoff Win 0s -1.1%
SJU +1 Assisted Goal 23s -31.5%
Tied Shot Clock On 27s -1.6%
Tied Timeout 31s +4.5%
Tied Missed Shot 1m 2s -5.9%
Tied Good Clear 11s -6.6%
Tied Saved Shot 37s -14.6%
Tied Penalty - 1 min 3s +7.1%
Tied Missed Shot 14s +4.2%
Tied Missed Shot 42s +3.0%
Tied Good Clear 16s +3.6%
Tied Saved Shot 1m 15s -4.7%
Tied Faceoff Win 0s -2.6%
Tied Assisted Goal 24s +14.7%
SJU +1 Missed Shot 39s +0.3%
SJU +1 Faceoff Win 0s +1.2%
SJU +1 Unassisted Goal 32s +16.3%