413
Dartmouth Win Probability: 1.0%
Time Team Play DART Win Prob.
Q4 0:01 Forced Turnover 1.0%
Q4 0:01 Forced Turnover 1.0%
Q4 1:02 Faceoff Win 1.2%
Q4 1:02 Faceoff Win 1.2%
DART: 4UNC: 13
DART: 4UNC: 13
Q4 1:02 Assisted Goal 1.2%
Q4 1:02 Assisted Goal 1.2%
Q4 1:15 Missed Shot 1.3%
Q4 1:15 Missed Shot 1.3%
Q4 1:28 Missed Shot 1.3%
Q4 1:28 Missed Shot 1.3%
Q4 2:08 Good Clear 1.5%
Q4 2:08 Good Clear 1.5%
Q4 2:26 Unforced Turnover 1.5%
Q4 2:26 Unforced Turnover 1.5%
Q4 2:48 Ground Ball 1.6%
Q4 2:48 Ground Ball 1.6%
Q4 2:55 Good Clear 1.6%
Q4 2:55 Good Clear 1.6%
Q4 2:55 Unforced Turnover 1.6%
Q4 2:55 Unforced Turnover 1.6%
Q4 2:58 Good Clear 1.6%
Q4 2:58 Good Clear 1.6%
Q4 3:12 Unforced Turnover 1.7%
Q4 3:12 Unforced Turnover 1.7%
Q4 3:42 Good Clear 1.8%
Q4 3:42 Good Clear 1.8%
Q4 3:58 Saved Shot 1.8%
Q4 3:58 Saved Shot 1.8%
Q4 4:38 Unforced Turnover 2.0%
Q4 4:38 Unforced Turnover 2.0%
Q4 4:43 Ground Ball 2.0%
Q4 4:43 Ground Ball 2.0%
Q4 4:48 Faceoff Win 2.0%
Q4 4:48 Faceoff Win 2.0%
DART: 4UNC: 12
DART: 4UNC: 12
Q4 4:48 Assisted Goal 2.0%
Q4 4:48 Assisted Goal 2.0%
Q4 5:33 Penalty - 1 min 2.2%
Q4 5:33 Penalty - 1 min 2.2%
Q4 5:33 Saved Shot 2.2%
Q4 5:33 Saved Shot 2.2%
Q4 6:16 Good Clear 2.3%
Q4 6:16 Good Clear 2.3%
Q4 6:28 Forced Turnover 2.4%
Q4 6:28 Forced Turnover 2.4%
Q4 6:45 Good Clear 2.4%
Q4 6:45 Good Clear 2.4%
Q4 7:05 Unforced Turnover 2.5%
Q4 7:05 Unforced Turnover 2.5%
Q4 7:18 Faceoff Win 2.6%
Q4 7:18 Faceoff Win 2.6%
DART: 4UNC: 11
DART: 4UNC: 11
Q4 7:18 Assisted Goal 2.6%
Q4 7:18 Assisted Goal 2.6%
Q4 7:51 Good Clear 2.7%
Q4 7:51 Good Clear 2.7%
Show All Plays

Summary Stats
UNC
DART
Goals
13
4
Possessions
48
38
Shots
32
29
Shots-on-Goal
24
11
Off. Efficiency
27.1%
10.5%
Assist Rate
77%
75%
Save Pct
63.6%
45.8%
Shooting Percentage
40.6%
13.8%
Shot-on-goal Rate
75.0%
37.9%
Faceoff Win Rate
63.2%
36.8%
Turnovers
19
19
Failed Clears
1
2
Groundballs
7
13
Time of Possession
54.7%
45.3%
Avg. Possession Length
40.0
41.8
Time to First Shot
34.2
35.2
Shots per Possession
0.67
0.76
Number of Contributors
19
18
By Quarter: North Carolina
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
2
4
4
3
Possessions
12
10
13
13
Shots
6
8
9
9
Shots-on-Goal
5
7
6
6
Off. Efficiency
17%
40%
31%
23%
Save Pct
33%
50%
75%
100%
Shooting Percentage
33%
50%
44%
33%
Shot-on-goal Rate
83%
88%
67%
67%
Faceoff Win Rate
40%
80%
80%
50%
Groundball Win Rate
33%
33%
38%
33%
Turnover Rate
33%
30%
46%
46%
Time of Possession
37%
57%
65%
60%
Avg. Possession Length
26.9
51.9
43.5
39.5
Time to First Shot
25.2
39.1
31.5
38.7
Shots per Possession
0.50
0.80
0.69
0.69
Assist Rate
50%
100%
50%
100%
By Quarter: Dartmouth
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
2
1
1
0
Possessions
11
6
9
12
Shots
12
8
6
3
Shots-on-Goal
3
2
4
2
Off. Efficiency
18%
17%
11%
0%
Save Pct
60%
43%
33%
50%
Shooting Percentage
17%
12%
17%
0%
Shot-on-goal Rate
25%
25%
67%
67%
Faceoff Win Rate
60%
20%
20%
50%
Groundball Win Rate
67%
67%
62%
67%
Turnover Rate
36%
50%
44%
67%
Time of Possession
63%
43%
35%
40%
Avg. Possession Length
50.1
64.7
34.4
28.2
Time to First Shot
35.7
44.5
26.3
28.5
Shots per Possession
1.09
1.33
0.67
0.25
Assist Rate
100%
100%
0%
0%
Summary Stats
UNC
DART
Goals
13
4
Poss.
48
38
Shots
32
29
Shots-on-Goal
24
11
Off. Eff%
27.1%
10.5%
Assist %
77%
75%
Save Pct
63.6%
45.8%
Shooting %
40.6%
13.8%
SOG %
75.0%
37.9%
FO Win %
63.2%
36.8%
Turnovers
19
19
Failed Clears
1
2
Groundballs
7
13
T.O.P.
54.7%
45.3%
Avg Poss Length
40.0
41.8
Time to 1st Shot
34.2
35.2
Shots / Poss
0.67
0.76
# of Contributors
19
18
By Quarter: North Carolina
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
2
4
4
3
Poss.
12
10
13
13
Shots
6
8
9
9
SOG
5
7
6
6
Off. Eff%
17%
40%
31%
23%
Save Pct
33%
50%
75%
100%
Shooting %
33%
50%
44%
33%
SOG %
83%
88%
67%
67%
FO Win %
40%
80%
80%
50%
GB Win %
33%
33%
38%
33%
Turnover %
33%
30%
46%
46%
T.O.P.
37%
57%
65%
60%
Poss Len.
26.9
51.9
43.5
39.5
Time to 1st
25.2
39.1
31.5
38.7
Shots / Poss
0.50
0.80
0.69
0.69
Assist %
50%
100%
50%
100%
By Quarter: Dartmouth
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
2
1
1
0
Poss.
11
6
9
12
Shots
12
8
6
3
SOG
3
2
4
2
Off. Eff%
18%
17%
11%
0%
Save Pct
60%
43%
33%
50%
Shooting %
17%
12%
17%
0%
SOG %
25%
25%
67%
67%
FO Win %
60%
20%
20%
50%
GB Win %
67%
67%
62%
67%
Turnover %
36%
50%
44%
67%
T.O.P.
63%
43%
35%
40%
Poss Len.
50.1
64.7
34.4
28.2
Time to 1st
35.7
44.5
26.3
28.5
Shots / Poss
1.09
1.33
0.67
0.25
Assist %
100%
100%
0%
0%
North Carolina Dartmouth
Player EGA Player EGA
North Carolina Dartmouth
Player EGA Player EGA
Nicky Solomon 3.98 Matt Paul 2.42
Nicky Solomon 3.98 Matt Paul 2.42
Tanner Cook 3.28 Ben Martin 1.96
Tanner Cook 3.28 Ben Martin 1.96
Chris Gray 3.28 George Prince 1.94
Chris Gray 3.28 George Prince 1.94


According to #LaxWP, @UNCMensLacrosse currently has a 99.0% win probability against @DartmouthMLax

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LacrosseReference Preview: Dartmouth vs North Carolina

Tale of the Tape

Stat Category
Dartmouth
North Carolina
Strength of Record
24th
2nd
Lax-ELO Ranking
51st
8th
Adjusted Shooting %
11th
4th
Adjusted Efficiency
12th
5th
Time of Possession
41st
10th
Roster Depth
65th
8th
Pace
71st
63rd

Team Pages

Style Comparison

Dartmouth Offense
vs.
North Carolina Defense
DART Off: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Pct of Poss.
28.4%
41.0%
30.6%
Pct of Goals
35.0%
25.0%
40.0%
Efficiency
36.8%
18.2%
39.0%
Ranking
10th
69th
12th
UNC Def: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Efficiency
29.6%
29.9%
29.3%
Ranking
44th
44th
32nd
Dartmouth Defense
vs.
North Carolina Offense
UNC Off: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Pct of Poss.
15.7%
38.7%
45.6%
Pct of Goals
11.5%
41.6%
46.9%
Efficiency
30.2%
44.3%
42.4%
Ranking
34th
2nd
6th
DART Def: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Efficiency
50.0%
15.4%
22.5%
Ranking
74th
2nd
5th

Quarter Breakdowns

Dartmouth: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Offensive Efficiency
20.0%
34.0%
19.4%
45.5%
Scoring Margin
-3
+10
EVEN
+6
Shooting %
27%
44%
22%
45%
Turnover Rate
42.5%
27.7%
55.6%
30.3%
Shots-on-Goal %
63%
64%
53%
52%
Time-of-Possession
44%
50%
54%
50%
Faceoff Win Rate
48%
53%
55%
38%
Time/Possession
41.5s
40.0s
57.2s
50.5s
Time to First Shot
24.6s
30.9s
32.2s
37.4s
Shots per Possession
0.78
0.80
0.97
1.02
Defensive Efficiency
26.2%
17.1%
18.9%
27.3%
Save Pct
50.0%
70.0%
65.0%
55.0%
North Carolina: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Offensive Efficiency
42.3%
40.5%
45.6%
38.8%
Scoring Margin
+23
+10
+22
EVEN
Shooting %
39%
39%
39%
39%
Turnover Rate
28.2%
35.1%
26.6%
35.8%
Shots-on-Goal %
67%
65%
68%
64%
Time-of-Possession
55%
50%
56%
53%
Faceoff Win Rate
54%
55%
68%
48%
Time/Possession
44.8s
42.6s
45.2s
52.9s
Time to First Shot
31.4s
32.0s
35.0s
42.8s
Shots per Possession
1.08
1.07
1.22
1.06
Defensive Efficiency
18.5%
33.3%
26.9%
36.1%
Save Pct
61.5%
41.2%
51.7%
40.9%

EGA Leaders

Dartmouth
North Carolina
Offensive Leaders
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Matt Paul
146
7
Ben Martin
218
59
George Prince
251
23
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Chris Gray
2
7
Tanner Cook
31
75
Nicky Solomon
34
2
Defensive Leaders
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Liam OConnell
369
50
Peter Rizzotti
403
166
Jack Richardson
596
13
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Cam Macri
64
27
Will Bowen
68
4
Patrick Lyons
93
4
Faceoff Leaders
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Mitchell Myers
49
5
Chris Bacotti
258
43
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Zac Tucci
3
23
Andrew Tyeryar
104
7
Nat'l Rank refers to the player's ranking nationally within the offensive/defensive/faceoff category. Change indicates how that ranking has changed in the past week. Check out all the leaders here.

Trending Up or Down

Dartmouth
North Carolina
Stat
Season
Last 3 games
Season
Last 3 games
Record
3 - 1
2 - 1
7 - 0
3 - 0
Save Pct
60%
61%
47%
38%
Offensive Efficiency
29%
28%
42%
38%
Shooting Pct
35%
35%
39%
39%
Defensive Efficiency
22%
19%
29%
39%
Face-off Win%
52%
54%
57%
64%
Turnover Rate
38%
36%
31%
30%
Time-of-Possession
50%
50%
53%
55%
Avg Possession Length
43.8s
42.5s
44.4s
43.9s
Since we want to wait for sufficient games to have been played, we have compared each team's full season stats with a subset consisting of the last 3 games.

Dartmouth vs North Carolina

Tale of the Tape

Stat
Dartmouth
North Carolina
Strength of Rec.
24th
2nd
Lax-ELO Rank
51st
8th
Adj Shooting %
11th
4th
Adj Efficiency
12th
5th
T.O.P.
41st
10th
Roster Depth
65th
8th
Pace
71st
63rd

Team Pages

Quarter Breakdowns

Dartmouth: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Off Eff %
20.0%
34.0%
19.4%
45.5%
Scoring Margin
-3
+10
EVEN
+6
Shooting %
27%
44%
22%
45%
Turnover %
42.5%
27.7%
55.6%
30.3%
SOG %
63%
64%
53%
52%
TOP %
44%
50%
54%
50%
FO Win %
48%
53%
55%
38%
Time/Poss
41.5s
40.0s
57.2s
50.5s
Time to 1st
24.6s
30.9s
32.2s
37.4s
Shots/Poss
0.78
0.80
0.97
1.02
Def. Eff %
26.2%
17.1%
18.9%
27.3%
Save %
50.0%
70.0%
65.0%
55.0%
North Carolina: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Off Eff %
42.3%
40.5%
45.6%
38.8%
Scoring Margin
+23
+10
+22
EVEN
Shooting %
39%
39%
39%
39%
Turnover %
28.2%
35.1%
26.6%
35.8%
SOG %
67%
65%
68%
64%
TOP %
55%
50%
56%
53%
FO Win %
54%
55%
68%
48%
Time/Poss
44.8s
42.6s
45.2s
52.9s
Time to 1st
31.4s
32.0s
35.0s
42.8s
Shots/Poss
1.08
1.07
1.22
1.06
Def. Eff %
18.5%
33.3%
26.9%
36.1%
Save %
61.5%
41.2%
51.7%
40.9%

EGA Leaders

Dartmouth
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Matt Paul
146
7
Ben Martin
218
59
George Prince
251
23
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Liam OConnell
369
50
Peter Rizzotti
403
166
Jack Richardson
596
13
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Mitchell Myers
49
5
Chris Bacotti
258
43
North Carolina
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Chris Gray
2
7
Tanner Cook
31
75
Nicky Solomon
34
2
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Cam Macri
64
27
Will Bowen
68
4
Patrick Lyons
93
4
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Zac Tucci
3
23
Andrew Tyeryar
104
7
Nat'l Rank refers to the player's ranking nationally within the offensive/defensive/faceoff category. Change indicates how that ranking has changed in the past week. Check out all the leaders here.
Win probability is an estimate based on the win percentage of every team that has been in a comparable time and score situation. We start with the basic time and score, then add or subtract win probability from each team depending on the recent sequence of plays and what that tells us about the likelihood that each team will score. Please, please, please do not treat this as a prediction. 90% win probability does not mean that the team has a 90% chance to win; it means that teams in the current situation have won 90% of the time. Win probabilities at the opening face-off are based on our current ELO ratings.

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Team Pages