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Dartmouth Win Probability: 1.0%
HARV
Q4 0:02
Good Clear
Clear attempt by HARV good.
Time Team Play DART Win Prob.
Q4 0:01 Good Clear 1.0%
Q4 0:01 Good Clear 1.0%
Q4 0:04 Unforced Turnover 1.0%
Q4 0:04 Unforced Turnover 1.0%
Q4 0:26 Good Clear 1.1%
Q4 0:26 Good Clear 1.1%
Q4 0:40 Saved Shot 1.2%
Q4 0:40 Saved Shot 1.2%
Q4 1:20 Ground Ball 1.4%
Q4 1:20 Ground Ball 1.4%
Q4 1:22 Good Clear 1.4%
Q4 1:22 Good Clear 1.4%
Q4 1:41 Unforced Turnover 1.5%
Q4 1:41 Unforced Turnover 1.5%
Q4 1:42 Faceoff Win 1.5%
Q4 1:42 Faceoff Win 1.5%
DART: 7HARV: 13
DART: 7HARV: 13
Q4 1:42 Unassisted Goal 1.5%
Q4 1:42 Unassisted Goal 1.5%
Q4 2:09 Good Clear 1.7%
Q4 2:09 Good Clear 1.7%
Q4 2:13 Forced Turnover 1.7%
Q4 2:13 Forced Turnover 1.7%
Q4 3:23 Failed Clear 2.1%
Q4 3:23 Failed Clear 2.1%
Q4 3:30 Saved Shot 2.1%
Q4 3:30 Saved Shot 2.1%
Q4 3:45 Missed Shot 2.2%
Q4 3:45 Missed Shot 2.2%
Q4 4:19 Faceoff Win 2.4%
Q4 4:19 Faceoff Win 2.4%
DART: 7HARV: 12
DART: 7HARV: 12
Q4 4:19 Unassisted Goal 2.4%
Q4 4:19 Unassisted Goal 2.4%
Q4 4:53 Good Clear 2.5%
Q4 4:53 Good Clear 2.5%
Q4 4:54 Unforced Turnover 2.5%
Q4 4:54 Unforced Turnover 2.5%
Q4 4:55 Good Clear 2.5%
Q4 4:55 Good Clear 2.5%
Q4 5:07 Unforced Turnover 2.6%
Q4 5:07 Unforced Turnover 2.6%
Q4 5:57 Good Clear 2.9%
Q4 5:57 Good Clear 2.9%
Q4 6:15 Ground Ball 3.0%
Q4 6:15 Ground Ball 3.0%
Q4 6:16 Saved Shot 3.0%
Q4 6:16 Saved Shot 3.0%
Q4 6:48 Unforced Turnover 3.1%
Q4 6:48 Unforced Turnover 3.1%
Q4 6:49 Unforced Turnover 3.2%
Q4 6:49 Unforced Turnover 3.2%
Q4 6:53 Ground Ball 3.2%
Q4 6:53 Ground Ball 3.2%
Q4 6:59 Ground Ball 3.2%
Q4 6:59 Ground Ball 3.2%
Q4 7:08 Missed Shot 3.3%
Q4 7:08 Missed Shot 3.3%
Show All Plays

Summary Stats
HARV
DART
Goals
13
7
Possessions
43
47
Shots
41
19
Shots-on-Goal
27
11
Off. Efficiency
30.2%
14.9%
Assist Rate
38%
71%
Save Pct
36.4%
51.9%
Shooting Percentage
31.7%
36.8%
Shot-on-goal Rate
65.9%
57.9%
Faceoff Win Rate
31.8%
68.2%
Turnovers
15
29
Failed Clears
3
1
Groundballs
14
6
Time of Possession
47.5%
52.5%
Avg. Possession Length
38.5
38.9
Time to First Shot
31.4
40.4
Shots per Possession
0.95
0.40
Number of Contributors
18
16
By Quarter: Harvard
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
7
0
2
4
Possessions
15
7
10
11
Shots
12
9
9
11
Shots-on-Goal
10
5
4
8
Off. Efficiency
47%
0%
20%
36%
Save Pct
50%
50%
0%
50%
Shooting Percentage
58%
0%
22%
36%
Shot-on-goal Rate
83%
56%
44%
73%
Faceoff Win Rate
25%
100%
20%
29%
Groundball Win Rate
75%
80%
60%
67%
Turnover Rate
33%
57%
30%
27%
Time of Possession
48%
53%
34%
55%
Avg. Possession Length
28.8
65.6
30.5
41.7
Time to First Shot
30.4
30.5
34.0
31.1
Shots per Possession
0.80
1.29
0.90
1.00
Assist Rate
57%
0%
50%
0%
By Quarter: Dartmouth
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
1
1
3
2
Possessions
13
8
14
12
Shots
3
6
5
5
Shots-on-Goal
2
2
3
4
Off. Efficiency
8%
12%
21%
17%
Save Pct
30%
100%
50%
50%
Shooting Percentage
33%
17%
60%
40%
Shot-on-goal Rate
67%
33%
60%
80%
Faceoff Win Rate
75%
0%
80%
71%
Groundball Win Rate
25%
20%
40%
33%
Turnover Rate
77%
50%
57%
58%
Time of Possession
52%
47%
66%
45%
Avg. Possession Length
35.3
50.8
42.1
30.9
Time to First Shot
46.0
39.0
38.5
41.2
Shots per Possession
0.23
0.75
0.36
0.42
Assist Rate
100%
0%
67%
100%
Summary Stats
HARV
DART
Goals
13
7
Poss.
43
47
Shots
41
19
Shots-on-Goal
27
11
Off. Eff%
30.2%
14.9%
Assist %
38%
71%
Save Pct
36.4%
51.9%
Shooting %
31.7%
36.8%
SOG %
65.9%
57.9%
FO Win %
31.8%
68.2%
Turnovers
15
29
Failed Clears
3
1
Groundballs
14
6
T.O.P.
47.5%
52.5%
Avg Poss Length
38.5
38.9
Time to 1st Shot
31.4
40.4
Shots / Poss
0.95
0.40
# of Contributors
18
16
By Quarter: Harvard
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
7
0
2
4
Poss.
15
7
10
11
Shots
12
9
9
11
SOG
10
5
4
8
Off. Eff%
47%
0%
20%
36%
Save Pct
50%
50%
0%
50%
Shooting %
58%
0%
22%
36%
SOG %
83%
56%
44%
73%
FO Win %
25%
100%
20%
29%
GB Win %
75%
80%
60%
67%
Turnover %
33%
57%
30%
27%
T.O.P.
48%
53%
34%
55%
Poss Len.
28.8
65.6
30.5
41.7
Time to 1st
30.4
30.5
34.0
31.1
Shots / Poss
0.80
1.29
0.90
1.00
Assist %
57%
0%
50%
0%
By Quarter: Dartmouth
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
1
1
3
2
Poss.
13
8
14
12
Shots
3
6
5
5
SOG
2
2
3
4
Off. Eff%
8%
12%
21%
17%
Save Pct
30%
100%
50%
50%
Shooting %
33%
17%
60%
40%
SOG %
67%
33%
60%
80%
FO Win %
75%
0%
80%
71%
GB Win %
25%
20%
40%
33%
Turnover %
77%
50%
57%
58%
T.O.P.
52%
47%
66%
45%
Poss Len.
35.3
50.8
42.1
30.9
Time to 1st
46.0
39.0
38.5
41.2
Shots / Poss
0.23
0.75
0.36
0.42
Assist %
100%
0%
67%
100%
Harvard Dartmouth
Player EGA Player EGA
Harvard Dartmouth
Player EGA Player EGA
Austin Madronic 7.74 Ben Martin 3.78
Austin Madronic 7.74 Ben Martin 3.78
Nick Loring 2.78 Mitchell Myers 2.35
Nick Loring 2.78 Mitchell Myers 2.35
Kyle Anderson 2.18 Harlan Smart 1.87
Kyle Anderson 2.18 Harlan Smart 1.87

[easy-tweet tweet="According to #LaxWP, @HarvardLacrosse currently has a 99.0% win probability against @DartmouthMLax" user="laxreference" url="https://lacrossereference.com/game-win-probabilities/dartmouth_harvard_20200321/?utm_source=Social" template="light"]

LacrosseReference Preview: Dartmouth vs Harvard

Tale of the Tape

Stat Category
Dartmouth
Harvard
Strength of Record
24th
36th
Lax-ELO Ranking
51st
48th
Adjusted Shooting %
11th
9th
Adjusted Efficiency
12th
21st
Time of Possession
41st
43rd
Roster Depth
65th
59th
Pace
71st
27th

Team Pages

Style Comparison

Dartmouth Offense
vs.
Harvard Defense
DART Off: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Pct of Poss.
28.4%
41.0%
30.6%
Pct of Goals
35.0%
25.0%
40.0%
Efficiency
36.8%
18.2%
39.0%
Ranking
10th
69th
12th
HARV Def: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Efficiency
23.1%
32.1%
30.8%
Ranking
13th
55th
39th
Dartmouth Defense
vs.
Harvard Offense
HARV Off: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Pct of Poss.
25.8%
39.5%
34.7%
Pct of Goals
20.5%
36.4%
43.2%
Efficiency
28.1%
32.7%
44.2%
Ranking
39th
18th
2nd
DART Def: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Efficiency
50.0%
15.4%
22.5%
Ranking
74th
2nd
5th

Quarter Breakdowns

Dartmouth: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Offensive Efficiency
20.0%
34.0%
19.4%
45.5%
Scoring Margin
-3
+10
EVEN
+6
Shooting %
27%
44%
22%
45%
Turnover Rate
42.5%
27.7%
55.6%
30.3%
Shots-on-Goal %
63%
64%
53%
52%
Time-of-Possession
44%
50%
54%
50%
Faceoff Win Rate
48%
53%
55%
38%
Time/Possession
41.5s
40.0s
57.2s
50.5s
Time to First Shot
24.6s
30.9s
32.2s
37.4s
Shots per Possession
0.78
0.80
0.97
1.02
Defensive Efficiency
26.2%
17.1%
18.9%
27.3%
Save Pct
50.0%
70.0%
65.0%
55.0%
Harvard: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Offensive Efficiency
38.2%
41.9%
26.5%
30.0%
Scoring Margin
+5
EVEN
EVEN
-3
Shooting %
41%
38%
28%
35%
Turnover Rate
50.0%
41.9%
52.9%
35.0%
Shots-on-Goal %
59%
68%
59%
74%
Time-of-Possession
52%
46%
53%
51%
Faceoff Win Rate
38%
28%
42%
53%
Time/Possession
51.3s
56.6s
56.5s
42.2s
Time to First Shot
36.6s
41.0s
46.8s
38.2s
Shots per Possession
0.95
1.11
0.93
0.88
Defensive Efficiency
22.9%
30.2%
23.7%
37.5%
Save Pct
72.4%
48.0%
64.0%
40.0%

EGA Leaders

Dartmouth
Harvard
Offensive Leaders
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Matt Paul
146
▼7
Ben Martin
218
▲59
George Prince
251
▼23
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Austin Madronic
243
▲58
Kyle Anderson
309
▲51
Nick Loring
368
▲124
Defensive Leaders
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Liam OConnell
369
▲50
Peter Rizzotti
403
▲166
Jack Richardson
596
▼13
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Beau Botkiss
205
▼45
Frankie Tangredi
229
▼17
David Strupp
240
▼1
Faceoff Leaders
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Mitchell Myers
49
▼5
Chris Bacotti
258
▼43
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Kyle Massimilian
79
▲15
Steven Cuccurullo
111
▼10
Nat'l Rank refers to the player's ranking nationally within the offensive/defensive/faceoff category. Change indicates how that ranking has changed in the past week. Check out all the leaders here.

Trending Up or Down

Dartmouth
Harvard
Stat
Season
Last 3 games
Season
Last 3 games
Record
3 - 1
2 - 1
2 - 2
1 - 2
Save Pct
60%
61%
57%
54%
Offensive Efficiency
29%
28%
34%
33%
Shooting Pct
35%
35%
36%
36%
Defensive Efficiency
22%
19%
29%
30%
Face-off Win%
52%
54%
44%
49%
Turnover Rate
38%
36%
45%
39%
Time-of-Possession
50%
50%
51%
49%
Avg Possession Length
43.8s
42.5s
49.2s
45.2s
Since we want to wait for sufficient games to have been played, we have compared each team's full season stats with a subset consisting of the last 3 games.

Dartmouth vs Harvard

Tale of the Tape

Stat
Dartmouth
Harvard
Strength of Rec.
24th
36th
Lax-ELO Rank
51st
48th
Adj Shooting %
11th
9th
Adj Efficiency
12th
21st
T.O.P.
41st
43rd
Roster Depth
65th
59th
Pace
71st
27th

Team Pages

Quarter Breakdowns

Dartmouth: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Off Eff %
20.0%
34.0%
19.4%
45.5%
Scoring Margin
-3
+10
EVEN
+6
Shooting %
27%
44%
22%
45%
Turnover %
42.5%
27.7%
55.6%
30.3%
SOG %
63%
64%
53%
52%
TOP %
44%
50%
54%
50%
FO Win %
48%
53%
55%
38%
Time/Poss
41.5s
40.0s
57.2s
50.5s
Time to 1st
24.6s
30.9s
32.2s
37.4s
Shots/Poss
0.78
0.80
0.97
1.02
Def. Eff %
26.2%
17.1%
18.9%
27.3%
Save %
50.0%
70.0%
65.0%
55.0%
Harvard: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Off Eff %
38.2%
41.9%
26.5%
30.0%
Scoring Margin
+5
EVEN
EVEN
-3
Shooting %
41%
38%
28%
35%
Turnover %
50.0%
41.9%
52.9%
35.0%
SOG %
59%
68%
59%
74%
TOP %
52%
46%
53%
51%
FO Win %
38%
28%
42%
53%
Time/Poss
51.3s
56.6s
56.5s
42.2s
Time to 1st
36.6s
41.0s
46.8s
38.2s
Shots/Poss
0.95
1.11
0.93
0.88
Def. Eff %
22.9%
30.2%
23.7%
37.5%
Save %
72.4%
48.0%
64.0%
40.0%

EGA Leaders

Dartmouth
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Matt Paul
146
▼7
Ben Martin
218
▲59
George Prince
251
▼23
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Liam OConnell
369
▲50
Peter Rizzotti
403
▲166
Jack Richardson
596
▼13
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Mitchell Myers
49
▼5
Chris Bacotti
258
▼43
Harvard
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Austin Madronic
243
▲58
Kyle Anderson
309
▲51
Nick Loring
368
▲124
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Beau Botkiss
205
▼45
Frankie Tangredi
229
▼17
David Strupp
240
▼1
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Kyle Massimilian
79
▲15
Steven Cuccurullo
111
▼10
Nat'l Rank refers to the player's ranking nationally within the offensive/defensive/faceoff category. Change indicates how that ranking has changed in the past week. Check out all the leaders here.
Win probability is an estimate based on the win percentage of every team that has been in a comparable time and score situation. We start with the basic time and score, then add or subtract win probability from each team depending on the recent sequence of plays and what that tells us about the likelihood that each team will score. Please, please, please do not treat this as a prediction. 90% win probability does not mean that the team has a 90% chance to win; it means that teams in the current situation have won 90% of the time. Win probabilities at the opening face-off are based on our current ELO ratings.

Either the game hasn't started yet or the streaming site is not sending data. Either way, we'll update this page once the stats start rolling in.
Team Pages
Dartmouth
Harvard