Win probability is an estimate based on the win percentage of every team that has been in a comparable time and score situation. We start with the basic time and score, then add or subtract win probability from each team depending on the recent sequence of plays and what that tells us about the likelihood that each team will score. Please, please, please do not treat this as a prediction. 90% win probability does not mean that the team has a 90% chance to win; it means that teams in the current situation have won 90% of the time. Win probabilities at the opening face-off are based on our current ELO ratings.

Bellarmine Win Probability: 5.9%
Recent Plays
Game State Team Play Elapsed BU Win Odds
DETROIT +6 Ground Ball 1s -0.0%
DETROIT +6 Forced Turnover 3s -0.1%
DETROIT +6 Failed Clear 6s -0.1%
DETROIT +6 Ground Ball 49s -0.9%
DETROIT +6 Good Clear 6s -0.1%
DETROIT +6 Ground Ball 3s -0.1%
DETROIT +6 Forced Turnover 8s -0.1%
DETROIT +6 Missed Shot 33s -0.6%
DETROIT +6 Assisted Goal 0s 0.0%
DETROIT +5 Goalie Change 0s 0.0%
DETROIT +5 Faceoff Win 19s -0.3%
DETROIT +5 Good Clear 4s -0.1%
DETROIT +5 Ground Ball 4s -0.1%
DETROIT +5 Saved Shot 7s -0.1%
DETROIT +5 Good Clear 9s -0.2%
DETROIT +5 Timeout 19s -0.3%
DETROIT +5 Unforced Turnover 9s -0.2%
DETROIT +5 Good Clear 2s -0.1%
DETROIT +5 Ground Ball 4s -0.1%
DETROIT +5 Saved Shot 39s -0.7%