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Bellarmine Win Probability: 99.0%
BELL
Q4 0:02
Forced Turnover
Turnover by BELL Landon Trout (caused by Griffin Peene).
Time Team Play BELL Win Prob.
Q4 0:01 Forced Turnover 99.0%
Q4 0:01 Forced Turnover 99.0%
Q4 0:59 Good Clear 98.6%
Q4 0:59 Good Clear 98.6%
Q4 1:08 Forced Turnover 98.5%
Q4 1:08 Forced Turnover 98.5%
Q4 2:15 Good Clear 98.0%
Q4 2:15 Good Clear 98.0%
Q4 2:16 Missed Shot 98.0%
Q4 2:16 Missed Shot 98.0%
Q4 2:54 Good Clear 97.7%
Q4 2:54 Good Clear 97.7%
Q4 3:06 Ground Ball 97.7%
Q4 3:06 Ground Ball 97.7%
Q4 3:14 Saved Shot 97.5%
Q4 3:14 Saved Shot 97.5%
Q4 3:48 Good Clear 97.1%
Q4 3:48 Good Clear 97.1%
Q4 3:51 Unforced Turnover 97.3%
Q4 3:51 Unforced Turnover 97.3%
Q4 4:06 Ground Ball 97.2%
Q4 4:06 Ground Ball 97.2%
Q4 4:14 Missed Shot 97.2%
Q4 4:14 Missed Shot 97.2%
Q4 4:54 Faceoff Win 96.9%
Q4 4:54 Faceoff Win 96.9%
BELL: 12AFA: 8
BELL: 12AFA: 8
Q4 4:54 Assisted Goal 96.8%
Q4 4:54 Assisted Goal 96.8%
Q4 5:33 Good Clear 96.6%
Q4 5:33 Good Clear 96.6%
Q4 5:42 Unforced Turnover 96.5%
Q4 5:42 Unforced Turnover 96.5%
Q4 6:44 Good Clear 96.0%
Q4 6:44 Good Clear 96.0%
Q4 6:59 Saved Shot 95.9%
Q4 6:59 Saved Shot 95.9%
Q4 7:11 Missed Shot 95.8%
Q4 7:11 Missed Shot 95.8%
Q4 7:43 Good Clear 95.6%
Q4 7:43 Good Clear 95.6%
Q4 7:46 Saved Shot 95.6%
Q4 7:46 Saved Shot 95.6%
Q4 8:25 Good Clear 95.3%
Q4 8:25 Good Clear 95.3%
Q4 8:40 Missed Shot 95.2%
Q4 8:40 Missed Shot 95.2%
Q4 9:23 Faceoff Win 94.8%
Q4 9:23 Faceoff Win 94.8%
BELL: 12AFA: 7
BELL: 12AFA: 7
Q4 9:23 Unassisted Goal 94.8%
Q4 9:23 Unassisted Goal 94.8%
Q4 9:44 Unforced Turnover 94.3%
Q4 9:44 Unforced Turnover 94.3%
Q4 9:52 Ground Ball 93.8%
Q4 9:52 Ground Ball 93.8%
Q4 10:00 Faceoff Win 92.9%
Q4 10:00 Faceoff Win 92.9%
Show All Plays

Summary Stats
AFA
BELL
Goals
8
12
Possessions
45
44
Shots
25
39
Shots-on-Goal
15
21
Off. Efficiency
17.8%
27.3%
Assist Rate
50%
58%
Save Pct
42.9%
46.7%
Shooting Percentage
32.0%
30.8%
Shot-on-goal Rate
60.0%
53.8%
Faceoff Win Rate
54.2%
45.8%
Turnovers
20
18
Failed Clears
3
4
Groundballs
4
12
Time of Possession
46.7%
53.3%
Avg. Possession Length
34.6
40.4
Time to First Shot
31.9
36.5
Shots per Possession
0.56
0.89
Number of Contributors
23
21
By Quarter: Air Force
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
0
3
3
2
Possessions
11
13
11
10
Shots
5
4
9
7
Shots-on-Goal
3
3
4
5
Off. Efficiency
0%
23%
27%
20%
Save Pct
43%
33%
33%
60%
Shooting Percentage
0%
75%
33%
29%
Shot-on-goal Rate
60%
75%
44%
71%
Faceoff Win Rate
20%
62%
67%
60%
Groundball Win Rate
50%
33%
0%
0%
Turnover Rate
45%
62%
36%
30%
Time of Possession
44%
47%
50%
45%
Avg. Possession Length
34.1
29.8
35.3
40.7
Time to First Shot
25.0
22.8
35.9
38.0
Shots per Possession
0.45
0.31
0.82
0.70
Assist Rate
0%
67%
33%
50%
By Quarter: Bellarmine
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
4
4
2
2
Possessions
15
9
10
10
Shots
8
13
11
7
Shots-on-Goal
7
6
3
5
Off. Efficiency
27%
44%
20%
20%
Save Pct
100%
0%
25%
60%
Shooting Percentage
50%
31%
18%
29%
Shot-on-goal Rate
88%
46%
27%
71%
Faceoff Win Rate
80%
38%
33%
40%
Groundball Win Rate
50%
67%
100%
100%
Turnover Rate
40%
22%
60%
40%
Time of Possession
56%
53%
50%
55%
Avg. Possession Length
31.3
48.0
38.6
49.1
Time to First Shot
33.6
36.7
33.3
44.4
Shots per Possession
0.53
1.44
1.10
0.70
Assist Rate
75%
50%
50%
50%
Summary Stats
AFA
BELL
Goals
8
12
Poss.
45
44
Shots
25
39
Shots-on-Goal
15
21
Off. Eff%
17.8%
27.3%
Assist %
50%
58%
Save Pct
42.9%
46.7%
Shooting %
32.0%
30.8%
SOG %
60.0%
53.8%
FO Win %
54.2%
45.8%
Turnovers
20
18
Failed Clears
3
4
Groundballs
4
12
T.O.P.
46.7%
53.3%
Avg Poss Length
34.6
40.4
Time to 1st Shot
31.9
36.5
Shots / Poss
0.56
0.89
# of Contributors
23
21
By Quarter: Air Force
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
0
3
3
2
Poss.
11
13
11
10
Shots
5
4
9
7
SOG
3
3
4
5
Off. Eff%
0%
23%
27%
20%
Save Pct
43%
33%
33%
60%
Shooting %
0%
75%
33%
29%
SOG %
60%
75%
44%
71%
FO Win %
20%
62%
67%
60%
GB Win %
50%
33%
0%
0%
Turnover %
45%
62%
36%
30%
T.O.P.
44%
47%
50%
45%
Poss Len.
34.1
29.8
35.3
40.7
Time to 1st
25.0
22.8
35.9
38.0
Shots / Poss
0.45
0.31
0.82
0.70
Assist %
0%
67%
33%
50%
By Quarter: Bellarmine
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
4
4
2
2
Poss.
15
9
10
10
Shots
8
13
11
7
SOG
7
6
3
5
Off. Eff%
27%
44%
20%
20%
Save Pct
100%
0%
25%
60%
Shooting %
50%
31%
18%
29%
SOG %
88%
46%
27%
71%
FO Win %
80%
38%
33%
40%
GB Win %
50%
67%
100%
100%
Turnover %
40%
22%
60%
40%
T.O.P.
56%
53%
50%
55%
Poss Len.
31.3
48.0
38.6
49.1
Time to 1st
33.6
36.7
33.3
44.4
Shots / Poss
0.53
1.44
1.10
0.70
Assist %
75%
50%
50%
50%
Air Force Bellarmine
Player EGA Player EGA
Air Force Bellarmine
Player EGA Player EGA
Brandon Dodd 2.62 Brayden Brown 3.83
Brandon Dodd 2.62 Brayden Brown 3.83
Trey Lervick 2.46 James Whiteford 3.05
Trey Lervick 2.46 James Whiteford 3.05
August Johnson 2.33 Morgan Macko 2.41
August Johnson 2.33 Morgan Macko 2.41


According to #LaxWP, @BellarmineLax currently has a 99.0% win probability against @AFLacrosse

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LacrosseReference Preview: Bellarmine vs Air Force

Tale of the Tape

Stat Category
Bellarmine
Air Force
Strength of Record
71st
37th
Lax-ELO Ranking
68th
31st
Adjusted Shooting %
56th
27th
Adjusted Efficiency
50th
41st
Time of Possession
72nd
69th
Roster Depth
56th
54th
Pace
28th
46th

Team Pages

Style Comparison

Bellarmine Offense
vs.
Air Force Defense
BELL Off: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Pct of Poss.
28.4%
44.1%
27.5%
Pct of Goals
35.2%
42.6%
22.2%
Efficiency
32.8%
25.6%
21.4%
Ranking
23rd
50th
67th
AFA Def: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Efficiency
31.1%
26.7%
28.6%
Ranking
51st
27th
28th
Bellarmine Defense
vs.
Air Force Offense
AFA Off: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Pct of Poss.
25.9%
42.3%
31.8%
Pct of Goals
26.7%
48.3%
25.0%
Efficiency
30.8%
34.1%
23.4%
Ranking
31st
13th
61st
BELL Def: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Efficiency
25.0%
23.3%
41.4%
Ranking
21st
14th
72nd

Quarter Breakdowns

Bellarmine: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Offensive Efficiency
22.7%
38.3%
27.7%
31.6%
Scoring Margin
-19
+13
+4
-11
Shooting %
26%
34%
26%
28%
Turnover Rate
48.9%
35.1%
47.0%
38.2%
Shots-on-Goal %
61%
58%
64%
58%
Time-of-Possession
47%
51%
50%
39%
Faceoff Win Rate
38%
41%
40%
27%
Time/Possession
40.2s
39.9s
44.2s
36.8s
Time to First Shot
36.9s
33.2s
32.5s
23.8s
Shots per Possession
0.84
1.10
1.12
1.15
Defensive Efficiency
35.5%
25.6%
20.9%
34.3%
Save Pct
36.1%
51.1%
59.6%
44.4%
Air Force: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Offensive Efficiency
28.6%
21.3%
28.9%
37.2%
Scoring Margin
-6
+1
+7
-2
Shooting %
30%
22%
31%
52%
Turnover Rate
41.4%
36.0%
28.9%
51.3%
Shots-on-Goal %
61%
58%
60%
66%
Time-of-Possession
45%
48%
45%
56%
Faceoff Win Rate
46%
59%
49%
54%
Time/Possession
46.9s
41.7s
41.7s
39.2s
Time to First Shot
38.0s
37.5s
30.8s
41.6s
Shots per Possession
0.98
0.96
0.98
0.73
Defensive Efficiency
34.7%
19.5%
20.5%
37.8%
Save Pct
44.7%
55.9%
59.5%
50.0%

EGA Leaders

Bellarmine
Air Force
Offensive Leaders
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Landon Trout
84
▲13
Morgan Macko
122
▼13
Luke Legnard
124
▼35
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Brandon Dodd
87
▲24
Trey Lervick
163
▲15
Ethan Grandolfo
214
▼18
Defensive Leaders
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Jon Robbins
2
▲6
Tommy Franceschini
170
▼37
Harrison Pate
202
▼43
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Quentin Carlile
21
▲48
Daniel Pagano
357
▼99
Shad Bruce
369
▼104
Faceoff Leaders
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
JT Simonton
68
▼17
Lucas Clarke
99
▼8
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Ryan Lynch
43
▲9
Dylan Frankhouser
110
▲7
Nat'l Rank refers to the player's ranking nationally within the offensive/defensive/faceoff category. Change indicates how that ranking has changed in the past week. Check out all the leaders here.

Trending Up or Down

Bellarmine
Air Force
Stat
Previous 3 games
Last 3 games
Previous 3 games
Last 3 games
Record
1 - 2
0 - 3
2 - 1
2 - 1
Save Pct
38%
49%
57%
37%
Offensive Efficiency
35%
23%
28%
30%
Shooting Pct
30%
23%
29%
34%
Defensive Efficiency
36%
28%
24%
33%
Face-off Win%
40%
21%
50%
61%
Turnover Rate
29%
55%
37%
42%
Time-of-Possession
46%
41%
55%
51%
Avg Possession Length
45.0s
42.0s
34.8s
46.8s

Bellarmine vs Air Force

Tale of the Tape

Stat
Bellarmine
Air Force
Strength of Rec.
71st
37th
Lax-ELO Rank
68th
31st
Adj Shooting %
56th
27th
Adj Efficiency
50th
41st
T.O.P.
72nd
69th
Roster Depth
56th
54th
Pace
28th
46th

Team Pages

Quarter Breakdowns

Bellarmine: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Off Eff %
22.7%
38.3%
27.7%
31.6%
Scoring Margin
-19
+13
+4
-11
Shooting %
26%
34%
26%
28%
Turnover %
48.9%
35.1%
47.0%
38.2%
SOG %
61%
58%
64%
58%
TOP %
47%
51%
50%
39%
FO Win %
38%
41%
40%
27%
Time/Poss
40.2s
39.9s
44.2s
36.8s
Time to 1st
36.9s
33.2s
32.5s
23.8s
Shots/Poss
0.84
1.10
1.12
1.15
Def. Eff %
35.5%
25.6%
20.9%
34.3%
Save %
36.1%
51.1%
59.6%
44.4%
Air Force: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Off Eff %
28.6%
21.3%
28.9%
37.2%
Scoring Margin
-6
+1
+7
-2
Shooting %
30%
22%
31%
52%
Turnover %
41.4%
36.0%
28.9%
51.3%
SOG %
61%
58%
60%
66%
TOP %
45%
48%
45%
56%
FO Win %
46%
59%
49%
54%
Time/Poss
46.9s
41.7s
41.7s
39.2s
Time to 1st
38.0s
37.5s
30.8s
41.6s
Shots/Poss
0.98
0.96
0.98
0.73
Def. Eff %
34.7%
19.5%
20.5%
37.8%
Save %
44.7%
55.9%
59.5%
50.0%

EGA Leaders

Bellarmine
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Landon Trout
84
▲13
Morgan Macko
122
▼13
Luke Legnard
124
▼35
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Jon Robbins
2
▲6
Tommy Franceschini
170
▼37
Harrison Pate
202
▼43
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
JT Simonton
68
▼17
Lucas Clarke
99
▼8
Air Force
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Brandon Dodd
87
▲24
Trey Lervick
163
▲15
Ethan Grandolfo
214
▼18
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Quentin Carlile
21
▲48
Daniel Pagano
357
▼99
Shad Bruce
369
▼104
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Ryan Lynch
43
▲9
Dylan Frankhouser
110
▲7
Nat'l Rank refers to the player's ranking nationally within the offensive/defensive/faceoff category. Change indicates how that ranking has changed in the past week. Check out all the leaders here.
Win probability is an estimate based on the win percentage of every team that has been in a comparable time and score situation. We start with the basic time and score, then add or subtract win probability from each team depending on the recent sequence of plays and what that tells us about the likelihood that each team will score. Please, please, please do not treat this as a prediction. 90% win probability does not mean that the team has a 90% chance to win; it means that teams in the current situation have won 90% of the time. Win probabilities at the opening face-off are based on our current ELO ratings.

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Team Pages
Bellarmine
Air Force