510
AFA
Q4 0:02
Forced Turnover
Turnover by AFA Trey Lervick (caused by John Schmank).
VMI Win Prob: 1.0%VMI WP: 1.0%
Time Team Play VMI Win Prob.
Q4 0:01 Forced Turnover 1.0%
Q4 0:01 Forced Turnover 1.0%
Q4 0:02 Good Clear 1.0%
Q4 0:02 Good Clear 1.0%
Q4 0:12 Saved Shot 1.0%
Q4 0:12 Saved Shot 1.0%
Q4 0:25 Missed Shot 1.1%
Q4 0:25 Missed Shot 1.1%
Q4 1:05 Good Clear 1.2%
Q4 1:05 Good Clear 1.2%
Q4 1:08 Unforced Turnover 1.2%
Q4 1:08 Unforced Turnover 1.2%
Q4 2:26 Faceoff Win 1.5%
Q4 2:26 Faceoff Win 1.5%
VMI: 5AFA: 10
VMI: 5AFA: 10
Q4 2:26 Unassisted Goal 1.5%
Q4 2:26 Unassisted Goal 1.5%
Q4 3:01 Good Clear 1.6%
Q4 3:01 Good Clear 1.6%
Q4 3:05 Forced Turnover 1.6%
Q4 3:05 Forced Turnover 1.6%
Q4 3:39 Good Clear 1.7%
Q4 3:39 Good Clear 1.7%
Q4 3:54 Ground Ball 1.7%
Q4 3:54 Ground Ball 1.7%
Q4 3:57 Saved Shot 1.7%
Q4 3:57 Saved Shot 1.7%
Q4 4:09 Missed Shot 1.8%
Q4 4:09 Missed Shot 1.8%
Q4 4:19 Missed Shot 1.8%
Q4 4:19 Missed Shot 1.8%
Q4 4:50 Good Clear 1.9%
Q4 4:50 Good Clear 1.9%
Q4 5:09 Saved Shot 2.0%
Q4 5:09 Saved Shot 2.0%
Q4 5:09 Missed Shot 2.0%
Q4 5:09 Missed Shot 2.0%
Q4 5:09 Missed Shot 2.0%
Q4 5:09 Missed Shot 2.0%
Q4 5:17 Missed Shot 2.0%
Q4 5:17 Missed Shot 2.0%
Q4 5:31 Missed Shot 2.0%
Q4 5:31 Missed Shot 2.0%
Q4 5:44 Missed Shot 2.1%
Q4 5:44 Missed Shot 2.1%
Q4 6:29 Faceoff Win 2.2%
Q4 6:29 Faceoff Win 2.2%
VMI: 4AFA: 10
VMI: 4AFA: 10
Q4 6:29 Unassisted Goal 2.2%
Q4 6:29 Unassisted Goal 2.2%
Q4 6:41 Missed Shot 2.3%
Q4 6:41 Missed Shot 2.3%
Q4 7:14 Penalty - 1 min 2.4%
Q4 7:14 Penalty - 1 min 2.4%
VMI: 4AFA: 9
VMI: 4AFA: 9
Q4 7:14 Assisted Goal 2.4%
Q4 7:14 Assisted Goal 2.4%
Show All Plays

Summary Stats
AFA
VMI
Goals
10
5
Possessions
42
32
Shots
29
22
Shots-on-Goal
16
12
Off. Efficiency
23.8%
15.6%
Assist Rate
70%
20%
Save Pct
58.3%
37.5%
Shooting Percentage
34.5%
22.7%
Shot-on-goal Rate
55.2%
54.5%
Faceoff Win Rate
73.3%
26.7%
Turnovers
25
18
Failed Clears
1
2
Groundballs
10
3
Time of Possession
57.0%
43.0%
Avg. Possession Length
48.0
47.5
Time to First Shot
28.1
39.8
Shots per Possession
0.69
0.69
Number of Contributors
24
17
By Quarter: Air Force
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
2
2
4
2
Possessions
11
7
13
11
Shots
4
8
7
10
Shots-on-Goal
4
5
4
3
Off. Efficiency
18%
29%
31%
18%
Save Pct
50%
50%
67%
60%
Shooting Percentage
50%
25%
57%
20%
Shot-on-goal Rate
100%
62%
57%
30%
Faceoff Win Rate
100%
50%
100%
50%
Groundball Win Rate
100%
60%
100%
67%
Turnover Rate
64%
57%
54%
64%
Time of Possession
57%
54%
57%
60%
Avg. Possession Length
46.3
63.1
39.8
49.5
Time to First Shot
38.2
12.3
26.6
31.8
Shots per Possession
0.36
1.14
0.54
0.91
Assist Rate
50%
100%
75%
50%
By Quarter: VMI
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
1
1
1
2
Possessions
8
6
8
10
Shots
3
3
5
11
Shots-on-Goal
2
2
3
5
Off. Efficiency
12%
17%
12%
20%
Save Pct
50%
60%
0%
33%
Shooting Percentage
33%
33%
20%
18%
Shot-on-goal Rate
67%
67%
60%
45%
Faceoff Win Rate
0%
50%
0%
50%
Groundball Win Rate
0%
40%
0%
33%
Turnover Rate
75%
83%
50%
30%
Time of Possession
43%
46%
43%
40%
Avg. Possession Length
48.9
63.8
48.8
35.6
Time to First Shot
36.0
49.0
37.0
39.2
Shots per Possession
0.38
0.50
0.62
1.10
Assist Rate
0%
100%
0%
0%
Summary Stats
AFA
VMI
Goals
10
5
Poss.
42
32
Shots
29
22
Shots-on-Goal
16
12
Off. Eff%
23.8%
15.6%
Assist %
70%
20%
Save Pct
58.3%
37.5%
Shooting %
34.5%
22.7%
SOG %
55.2%
54.5%
FO Win %
73.3%
26.7%
Turnovers
25
18
Failed Clears
1
2
Groundballs
10
3
T.O.P.
57.0%
43.0%
Avg Poss Length
48.0
47.5
Time to 1st Shot
28.1
39.8
Shots / Poss
0.69
0.69
# of Contributors
24
17
By Quarter: Air Force
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
2
2
4
2
Poss.
11
7
13
11
Shots
4
8
7
10
SOG
4
5
4
3
Off. Eff%
18%
29%
31%
18%
Save Pct
50%
50%
67%
60%
Shooting %
50%
25%
57%
20%
SOG %
100%
62%
57%
30%
FO Win %
100%
50%
100%
50%
GB Win %
100%
60%
100%
67%
Turnover %
64%
57%
54%
64%
T.O.P.
57%
54%
57%
60%
Poss Len.
46.3
63.1
39.8
49.5
Time to 1st
38.2
12.3
26.6
31.8
Shots / Poss
0.36
1.14
0.54
0.91
Assist %
50%
100%
75%
50%
By Quarter: VMI
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
1
1
1
2
Poss.
8
6
8
10
Shots
3
3
5
11
SOG
2
2
3
5
Off. Eff%
12%
17%
12%
20%
Save Pct
50%
60%
0%
33%
Shooting %
33%
33%
20%
18%
SOG %
67%
67%
60%
45%
FO Win %
0%
50%
0%
50%
GB Win %
0%
40%
0%
33%
Turnover %
75%
83%
50%
30%
T.O.P.
43%
46%
43%
40%
Poss Len.
48.9
63.8
48.8
35.6
Time to 1st
36.0
49.0
37.0
39.2
Shots / Poss
0.38
0.50
0.62
1.10
Assist %
0%
100%
0%
0%

[easy-tweet tweet="According to #LaxWP, @AFLacrosse currently has a 99.0% win probability against @VMI_Lacrosse" user="laxreference" url="https://lacrossereference.com/game-win-probabilities/air_force_vmi_20200411/?utm_source=Social" template="light"]

LacrosseReference Preview: Air Force vs VMI

2:40 PM

Tale of the Tape

Stat Category
Air Force
VMI
Strength of Record
43rd
56th
Lax-ELO Ranking
21st
65th
Adjusted Shooting %
27th
53rd
Adjusted Efficiency
41st
64th
Time of Possession
69th
66th
Roster Depth
54th
70th
Pace
46th
64th

Win Probability

Air Force
VMI
89.5%
10.5%

Team Pages

Style Comparison

Air Force Offense
vs.
VMI Defense
AFA Off: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Pct of Poss.
25.9%
42.3%
31.8%
Pct of Goals
26.7%
48.3%
25.0%
Efficiency
30.8%
34.1%
23.4%
Ranking
31st
13th
61st
VMI Def: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Efficiency
17.6%
25.5%
44.2%
Ranking
3rd
20th
74th
Air Force Defense
vs.
VMI Offense
VMI Off: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Pct of Poss.
18.7%
47.2%
34.1%
Pct of Goals
16.0%
60.0%
24.0%
Efficiency
17.4%
25.9%
14.3%
Ranking
72nd
48th
73rd
AFA Def: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Efficiency
31.1%
26.7%
28.6%
Ranking
51st
27th
28th

Quarter Breakdowns

Air Force: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Offensive Efficiency
28.6%
21.3%
28.9%
37.2%
Scoring Margin
-6
+1
+7
-2
Shooting %
30%
22%
31%
52%
Turnover Rate
41.4%
36.0%
28.9%
51.3%
Shots-on-Goal %
61%
58%
60%
66%
Time-of-Possession
45%
48%
45%
56%
Faceoff Win Rate
46%
59%
49%
54%
Time/Possession
46.9s
41.7s
41.7s
39.2s
Time to First Shot
38.0s
37.5s
30.8s
41.6s
Shots per Possession
0.98
0.96
0.98
0.73
Defensive Efficiency
34.7%
19.5%
20.5%
37.8%
Save Pct
44.7%
55.9%
59.5%
50.0%
VMI: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Offensive Efficiency
20.0%
19.6%
24.4%
18.6%
Scoring Margin
-7
-4
-8
-6
Shooting %
21%
24%
26%
31%
Turnover Rate
52.5%
43.5%
44.4%
58.1%
Shots-on-Goal %
45%
57%
67%
69%
Time-of-Possession
49%
48%
46%
44%
Faceoff Win Rate
51%
40%
47%
51%
Time/Possession
56.6s
47.8s
46.8s
45.0s
Time to First Shot
38.5s
36.8s
37.1s
35.9s
Shots per Possession
1.06
0.90
0.97
0.60
Defensive Efficiency
34.1%
24.5%
38.8%
29.2%
Save Pct
53.1%
45.8%
29.6%
51.7%

EGA Leaders

Air Force
VMI
Offensive Leaders
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Brandon Dodd
87
24
Trey Lervick
163
15
Ethan Grandolfo
214
18
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Ryan Perouty
161
35
Jon Fant
324
4
John Daniel
363
63
Defensive Leaders
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Quentin Carlile
21
48
Daniel Pagano
357
99
Shad Bruce
369
104
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Eric Lane
83
30
Trejan Cannon
135
102
David Foster
334
44
Faceoff Leaders
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Ryan Lynch
43
9
Dylan Frankhouser
110
7
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
AJ Krstulovic
73
1
Brice Basic
215
31
Nat'l Rank refers to the player's ranking nationally within the offensive/defensive/faceoff category. Change indicates how that ranking has changed in the past week. Check out all the leaders here.

Trending Up or Down

Air Force
VMI
Stat
Season
Last 3 games
Season
Last 3 games
Record
5 - 3
2 - 1
0 - 5
0 - 3
Save Pct
51%
37%
46%
50%
Offensive Efficiency
29%
30%
21%
16%
Shooting Pct
32%
34%
25%
22%
Defensive Efficiency
29%
33%
31%
32%
Face-off Win%
49%
61%
46%
52%
Turnover Rate
39%
42%
49%
59%
Time-of-Possession
51%
51%
47%
49%
Avg Possession Length
41.7s
46.8s
46.6s
49.7s
Since we want to wait for sufficient games to have been played, we have compared each team's full season stats with a subset consisting of the last 3 games.

Air Force vs VMI

Tale of the Tape

Stat
Air Force
VMI
Strength of Rec.
43rd
56th
Lax-ELO Rank
21st
65th
Adj Shooting %
27th
53rd
Adj Efficiency
41st
64th
T.O.P.
69th
66th
Roster Depth
54th
70th
Pace
46th
64th

Win Probability

Air Force
VMI
89.5%
10.5%

Team Pages

Quarter Breakdowns

Air Force: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Off Eff %
28.6%
21.3%
28.9%
37.2%
Scoring Margin
-6
+1
+7
-2
Shooting %
30%
22%
31%
52%
Turnover %
41.4%
36.0%
28.9%
51.3%
SOG %
61%
58%
60%
66%
TOP %
45%
48%
45%
56%
FO Win %
46%
59%
49%
54%
Time/Poss
46.9s
41.7s
41.7s
39.2s
Time to 1st
38.0s
37.5s
30.8s
41.6s
Shots/Poss
0.98
0.96
0.98
0.73
Def. Eff %
34.7%
19.5%
20.5%
37.8%
Save %
44.7%
55.9%
59.5%
50.0%
VMI: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Off Eff %
20.0%
19.6%
24.4%
18.6%
Scoring Margin
-7
-4
-8
-6
Shooting %
21%
24%
26%
31%
Turnover %
52.5%
43.5%
44.4%
58.1%
SOG %
45%
57%
67%
69%
TOP %
49%
48%
46%
44%
FO Win %
51%
40%
47%
51%
Time/Poss
56.6s
47.8s
46.8s
45.0s
Time to 1st
38.5s
36.8s
37.1s
35.9s
Shots/Poss
1.06
0.90
0.97
0.60
Def. Eff %
34.1%
24.5%
38.8%
29.2%
Save %
53.1%
45.8%
29.6%
51.7%

EGA Leaders

Air Force
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Brandon Dodd
87
24
Trey Lervick
163
15
Ethan Grandolfo
214
18
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Quentin Carlile
21
48
Daniel Pagano
357
99
Shad Bruce
369
104
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Ryan Lynch
43
9
Dylan Frankhouser
110
7
VMI
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Ryan Perouty
161
35
Jon Fant
324
4
John Daniel
363
63
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Eric Lane
83
30
Trejan Cannon
135
102
David Foster
334
44
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
AJ Krstulovic
73
1
Brice Basic
215
31
Nat'l Rank refers to the player's ranking nationally within the offensive/defensive/faceoff category. Change indicates how that ranking has changed in the past week. Check out all the leaders here.
Win probability is an estimate based on the win percentage of every team that has been in a comparable time and score situation. We start with the basic time and score, then add or subtract win probability from each team depending on the recent sequence of plays and what that tells us about the likelihood that each team will score. Please, please, please do not treat this as a prediction. 90% win probability does not mean that the team has a 90% chance to win; it means that teams in the current situation have won 90% of the time. Win probabilities at the opening face-off are based on our current ELO ratings.

Either the game hasn't started yet or the streaming site is not sending data. Either way, we'll update this page once the stats start rolling in.

Team Pages
VMI
Player
GoalsG
AssistsA
ShotsSh
TOsTO
GBsGB
FOsFO
EGA
Jon Fant
2
0
7
6
1
0
1.86
Josh Bass
2
0
4
4
0
0
1.78
Ryan Perouty
0
1
5
2
3
0
1.49
Aidan Riley
1
0
2
4
0
0
0.72
Aj Krstulovic
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.63
Michael Santos
0
0
0
3
0
0
0.42
Miles Henderson
0
0
0
1
1
0
0.31
David Foster
0
0
0
1
1
0
0.31
John Daniel
0
0
2
2
1
0
0.16
Anthony Moran
0
0
0
1
0
0
0.14
Rj Barnes
0
0
1
0
0
0
0.04
Josh Drake
0
0
1
0
0
0
0.04
Air Force
Player
GoalsG
AssistsA
ShotsSh
TOsTO
GBsGB
FOsFO
EGA
Brandon Dodd
3
1
5
5
3
0
2.67
Brenden Crouse
2
1
3
0
0
0
2.27
Ethan Grandolfo
3
1
8
6
0
0
2.04
Ryan Lynch
0
0
0
0
1
11
1.90
Gianni Orlando
1
0
2
0
0
0
1.24
Matthew Schwartz
1
0
2
0
1
0
0.91
Trey Lervick
0
2
2
7
1
0
0.66
Braden Host
0
0
0
0
3
0
0.51
Matthew Orourk
0
1
0
1
0
0
0.38
Mike Matheson
0
1
0
1
0
0
0.36
Vince Lombardi
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.34
Jake Thornally
0
0
2
0
0
0
0.26
Griffin Peene
0
0
0
0
1
0
0.17
Quentin Carlile
0
0
0
0
1
0
0.17
Chet Dunstan
0
0
0
0
1
0
0.17
Jason Rose
0
0
0
1
0
0
0.14
Christian Kuhn
0
0
0
1
0
0
0.14
Shad Bruce
0
0
0
1
0
0
0.14
Chase Douglas
0
0
0
1
0
0
0.14
Quincy Peene
0
0
2
1
0
0
0.12
August Johnson
0
0
3
3
0
0
0.07