812
AFA
Q4 0:02
Unassisted Goal
GOAL by AFA Quincy Peene.
Mercer Win Prob: 1.0%MER WP: 1.0%
Time Team Play Win Prob.
: 8AF: 12
: 8AF: 12
Q4 0:01 Unassisted Goal 1.0%
Q4 0:01 Unassisted Goal 1.0%
Q4 0:03 Missed Shot 1.0%
Q4 0:03 Missed Shot 1.0%
Q4 0:16 Missed Shot 1.1%
Q4 0:16 Missed Shot 1.1%
Q4 0:58 Faceoff Win 1.2%
Q4 0:58 Faceoff Win 1.2%
: 8AF: 11
: 8AF: 11
Q4 0:58 Assisted Goal 1.2%
Q4 0:58 Assisted Goal 1.2%
Q4 1:39 Faceoff Win 1.4%
Q4 1:39 Faceoff Win 1.4%
: 8AF: 10
: 8AF: 10
Q4 1:39 Unassisted Goal 1.4%
Q4 1:39 Unassisted Goal 1.4%
Q4 1:52 Missed Shot 9.0%
Q4 1:52 Missed Shot 9.0%
Q4 2:24 Good Clear 24.7%
Q4 2:24 Good Clear 24.7%
Q4 2:31 Missed Shot 30.8%
Q4 2:31 Missed Shot 30.8%
Q4 2:43 Missed Shot 23.6%
Q4 2:43 Missed Shot 23.6%
Q4 3:22 Good Clear 31.7%
Q4 3:22 Good Clear 31.7%
Q4 3:34 Forced Turnover 22.6%
Q4 3:34 Forced Turnover 22.6%
Q4 3:43 Unforced Turnover 20.0%
Q4 3:43 Unforced Turnover 20.0%
Q4 3:45 Ground Ball 17.8%
Q4 3:45 Ground Ball 17.8%
Q4 3:45 Unforced Turnover 20.8%
Q4 3:45 Unforced Turnover 20.8%
Q4 3:45 Ground Ball 23.5%
Q4 3:45 Ground Ball 23.5%
Q4 3:48 Faceoff Win 20.0%
Q4 3:48 Faceoff Win 20.0%
: 8AF: 9
: 8AF: 9
Q4 3:48 Assisted Goal 23.1%
Q4 3:48 Assisted Goal 23.1%
Q4 4:22 Ground Ball 10.4%
Q4 4:22 Ground Ball 10.4%
Q4 4:30 Faceoff Win 2.1%
Q4 4:30 Faceoff Win 2.1%
: 7AF: 9
: 7AF: 9
Q4 4:30 Assisted Goal 2.1%
Q4 4:30 Assisted Goal 2.1%
Q4 4:40 Missed Shot 19.6%
Q4 4:40 Missed Shot 19.6%
Q4 5:20 Good Clear 17.3%
Q4 5:20 Good Clear 17.3%
Q4 5:24 Unforced Turnover 19.2%
Q4 5:24 Unforced Turnover 19.2%
Show All Plays

Summary Stats
AFA
MER
Goals
12
8
Possessions
48
49
Shots
37
31
Shots-on-Goal
22
16
Off. Efficiency
25.0%
16.3%
Assist Rate
83%
62%
Save Pct
50.0%
45.5%
Shooting Percentage
32.4%
25.8%
Shot-on-goal Rate
59.5%
51.6%
Faceoff Win Rate
40.9%
59.1%
Turnovers
21
25
Failed Clears
3
2
Groundballs
12
10
Time of Possession
52.8%
47.2%
Avg. Possession Length
38.0
33.3
Time to First Shot
33.5
31.8
Shots per Possession
0.77
0.63
Number of Contributors
23
23
By Quarter: Air Force
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
2
1
4
5
Possessions
10
11
13
14
Shots
9
4
13
11
Shots-on-Goal
5
3
7
7
Off. Efficiency
20%
9%
31%
36%
Save Pct
100%
29%
100%
25%
Shooting Percentage
22%
25%
31%
45%
Shot-on-goal Rate
56%
75%
54%
64%
Faceoff Win Rate
67%
17%
20%
62%
Groundball Win Rate
100%
60%
40%
38%
Turnover Rate
50%
55%
31%
43%
Time of Possession
66%
43%
59%
44%
Avg. Possession Length
55.9
33.5
39.2
27.5
Time to First Shot
36.0
34.7
29.7
35.1
Shots per Possession
0.90
0.36
1.00
0.79
Assist Rate
100%
100%
100%
60%
By Quarter: Mercer
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
0
5
0
3
Possessions
9
16
14
10
Shots
6
11
3
11
Shots-on-Goal
2
7
3
4
Off. Efficiency
0%
31%
0%
30%
Save Pct
60%
67%
43%
29%
Shooting Percentage
0%
45%
0%
27%
Shot-on-goal Rate
33%
64%
100%
36%
Faceoff Win Rate
33%
83%
80%
38%
Groundball Win Rate
0%
40%
60%
62%
Turnover Rate
56%
38%
71%
40%
Time of Possession
34%
57%
41%
56%
Avg. Possession Length
32.0
30.8
25.3
49.6
Time to First Shot
32.0
29.8
25.7
37.3
Shots per Possession
0.67
0.69
0.21
1.10
Assist Rate
0%
40%
0%
100%
Summary Stats
AFA
MER
Goals
12
8
Poss.
48
49
Shots
37
31
Shots-on-Goal
22
16
Off. Eff%
25.0%
16.3%
Assist %
83%
62%
Save Pct
50.0%
45.5%
Shooting %
32.4%
25.8%
SOG %
59.5%
51.6%
FO Win %
40.9%
59.1%
Turnovers
21
25
Failed Clears
3
2
Groundballs
12
10
T.O.P.
52.8%
47.2%
Avg Poss Length
38.0
33.3
Time to 1st Shot
33.5
31.8
Shots / Poss
0.77
0.63
# of Contributors
23
23
By Quarter: Air Force
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
2
1
4
5
Poss.
10
11
13
14
Shots
9
4
13
11
SOG
5
3
7
7
Off. Eff%
20%
9%
31%
36%
Save Pct
100%
29%
100%
25%
Shooting %
22%
25%
31%
45%
SOG %
56%
75%
54%
64%
FO Win %
67%
17%
20%
62%
GB Win %
100%
60%
40%
38%
Turnover %
50%
55%
31%
43%
T.O.P.
66%
43%
59%
44%
Poss Len.
55.9
33.5
39.2
27.5
Time to 1st
36.0
34.7
29.7
35.1
Shots / Poss
0.90
0.36
1.00
0.79
Assist %
100%
100%
100%
60%
By Quarter: Mercer
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Goals
0
5
0
3
Poss.
9
16
14
10
Shots
6
11
3
11
SOG
2
7
3
4
Off. Eff%
0%
31%
0%
30%
Save Pct
60%
67%
43%
29%
Shooting %
0%
45%
0%
27%
SOG %
33%
64%
100%
36%
FO Win %
33%
83%
80%
38%
GB Win %
0%
40%
60%
62%
Turnover %
56%
38%
71%
40%
T.O.P.
34%
57%
41%
56%
Poss Len.
32.0
30.8
25.3
49.6
Time to 1st
32.0
29.8
25.7
37.3
Shots / Poss
0.67
0.69
0.21
1.10
Assist %
0%
40%
0%
100%

[easy-tweet tweet="According to #LaxWP, @AFLacrosse currently has a 99.0% win probability against @MercerLacrosse" user="laxreference" url="https://lacrossereference.com/game-win-probabilities/air_force_mercer_20200328/?utm_source=Social" template="light"]

LacrosseReference Preview: Air Force vs Mercer

12:00 PM

Tale of the Tape

Stat Category
Air Force
Mercer
Strength of Record
37th
25th
Lax-ELO Ranking
31st
60th
Adjusted Shooting %
27th
6th
Adjusted Efficiency
41st
23rd
Time of Possession
69th
2nd
Roster Depth
54th
63rd
Pace
46th
37th

Win Probability

Air Force
Mercer
72.0%
28.0%

Team Pages

Style Comparison

Air Force Offense
vs.
Mercer Defense
AFA Off: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Pct of Poss.
25.9%
42.3%
31.8%
Pct of Goals
26.7%
48.3%
25.0%
Efficiency
30.8%
34.1%
23.4%
Ranking
31st
13th
61st
MER Def: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Efficiency
32.0%
32.8%
29.5%
Ranking
55th
57th
34th
Air Force Defense
vs.
Mercer Offense
MER Off: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Pct of Poss.
20.7%
25.6%
53.7%
Pct of Goals
19.7%
18.0%
62.3%
Efficiency
35.3%
26.2%
43.2%
Ranking
14th
46th
5th
AFA Def: on poss. lasting...
<30 sec.
30-59 sec.
60-80 sec.
Efficiency
31.1%
26.7%
28.6%
Ranking
51st
27th
28th

Quarter Breakdowns

Air Force: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Offensive Efficiency
28.6%
21.3%
28.9%
37.2%
Scoring Margin
-6
+1
+7
-2
Shooting %
30%
22%
31%
52%
Turnover Rate
41.4%
36.0%
28.9%
51.3%
Shots-on-Goal %
61%
58%
60%
66%
Time-of-Possession
45%
48%
45%
56%
Faceoff Win Rate
46%
59%
49%
54%
Time/Possession
46.9s
41.7s
41.7s
39.2s
Time to First Shot
38.0s
37.5s
30.8s
41.6s
Shots per Possession
0.98
0.96
0.98
0.73
Defensive Efficiency
34.7%
19.5%
20.5%
37.8%
Save Pct
44.7%
55.9%
59.5%
50.0%
Mercer: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Offensive Efficiency
38.6%
39.1%
43.8%
30.2%
Scoring Margin
+6
+2
+8
+3
Shooting %
38%
40%
42%
28%
Turnover Rate
36.4%
45.7%
35.4%
41.9%
Shots-on-Goal %
51%
58%
58%
54%
Time-of-Possession
51%
58%
62%
59%
Faceoff Win Rate
71%
64%
63%
62%
Time/Possession
52.7s
57.8s
59.6s
58.4s
Time to First Shot
42.7s
38.0s
42.5s
47.4s
Shots per Possession
1.02
1.02
1.04
1.11
Defensive Efficiency
33.3%
39.0%
37.1%
24.4%
Save Pct
50.0%
42.9%
40.9%
54.5%

EGA Leaders

Air Force
Mercer
Offensive Leaders
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Brandon Dodd
87
24
Trey Lervick
163
15
Ethan Grandolfo
214
18
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Sean Goldsmith
21
18
Michael Quinn
112
10
Will McCarthy
207
80
Defensive Leaders
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Quentin Carlile
21
48
Daniel Pagano
357
99
Shad Bruce
369
104
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Drew Mayts
147
184
Wesley Chairs
628
874
Jackson Mahoney
970
554
Faceoff Leaders
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Ryan Lynch
43
9
Dylan Frankhouser
110
7
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Ashton Wood
16
4
Luke Saad
126
3
Nat'l Rank refers to the player's ranking nationally within the offensive/defensive/faceoff category. Change indicates how that ranking has changed in the past week. Check out all the leaders here.

Trending Up or Down

Air Force
Mercer
Stat
Season
Last 3 games
Season
Last 3 games
Record
5 - 3
2 - 1
4 - 1
3 - 0
Save Pct
51%
37%
47%
52%
Offensive Efficiency
29%
30%
38%
40%
Shooting Pct
32%
34%
37%
40%
Defensive Efficiency
29%
33%
33%
31%
Face-off Win%
49%
61%
66%
63%
Turnover Rate
39%
42%
40%
44%
Time-of-Possession
51%
51%
57%
56%
Avg Possession Length
41.7s
46.8s
55.4s
54.2s
Since we want to wait for sufficient games to have been played, we have compared each team's full season stats with a subset consisting of the last 3 games.

Air Force vs Mercer

Tale of the Tape

Stat
Air Force
Mercer
Strength of Rec.
37th
25th
Lax-ELO Rank
31st
60th
Adj Shooting %
27th
6th
Adj Efficiency
41st
23rd
T.O.P.
69th
2nd
Roster Depth
54th
63rd
Pace
46th
37th

Win Probability

Air Force
Mercer
72.0%
28.0%

Team Pages

Quarter Breakdowns

Air Force: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Off Eff %
28.6%
21.3%
28.9%
37.2%
Scoring Margin
-6
+1
+7
-2
Shooting %
30%
22%
31%
52%
Turnover %
41.4%
36.0%
28.9%
51.3%
SOG %
61%
58%
60%
66%
TOP %
45%
48%
45%
56%
FO Win %
46%
59%
49%
54%
Time/Poss
46.9s
41.7s
41.7s
39.2s
Time to 1st
38.0s
37.5s
30.8s
41.6s
Shots/Poss
0.98
0.96
0.98
0.73
Def. Eff %
34.7%
19.5%
20.5%
37.8%
Save %
44.7%
55.9%
59.5%
50.0%
Mercer: Season Stat Splits by Quarter
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Off Eff %
38.6%
39.1%
43.8%
30.2%
Scoring Margin
+6
+2
+8
+3
Shooting %
38%
40%
42%
28%
Turnover %
36.4%
45.7%
35.4%
41.9%
SOG %
51%
58%
58%
54%
TOP %
51%
58%
62%
59%
FO Win %
71%
64%
63%
62%
Time/Poss
52.7s
57.8s
59.6s
58.4s
Time to 1st
42.7s
38.0s
42.5s
47.4s
Shots/Poss
1.02
1.02
1.04
1.11
Def. Eff %
33.3%
39.0%
37.1%
24.4%
Save %
50.0%
42.9%
40.9%
54.5%

EGA Leaders

Air Force
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Brandon Dodd
87
24
Trey Lervick
163
15
Ethan Grandolfo
214
18
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Quentin Carlile
21
48
Daniel Pagano
357
99
Shad Bruce
369
104
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Ryan Lynch
43
9
Dylan Frankhouser
110
7
Mercer
Offensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Sean Goldsmith
21
18
Michael Quinn
112
10
Will McCarthy
207
80
Defensive Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Drew Mayts
147
184
Wesley Chairs
628
874
Jackson Mahoney
970
554
Faceoff Leaders
Player
Nat'l Rank
Change
Ashton Wood
16
4
Luke Saad
126
3
Nat'l Rank refers to the player's ranking nationally within the offensive/defensive/faceoff category. Change indicates how that ranking has changed in the past week. Check out all the leaders here.
Win probability is an estimate based on the win percentage of every team that has been in a comparable time and score situation. We start with the basic time and score, then add or subtract win probability from each team depending on the recent sequence of plays and what that tells us about the likelihood that each team will score. Please, please, please do not treat this as a prediction. 90% win probability does not mean that the team has a 90% chance to win; it means that teams in the current situation have won 90% of the time. Win probabilities at the opening face-off are based on our current ELO ratings.

Either the game hasn't started yet or the streaming site is not sending data. Either way, we'll update this page once the stats start rolling in.

Team Pages
Mercer
Player
GoalsG
AssistsA
ShotsSh
TOsTO
GBsGB
FOsFO
EGA
Sean Goldsmith
5
2
10
6
5
0
6.12
Ashton Wood
0
0
0
0
3
13
2.55
Will Mccarthy
1
3
5
4
0
0
2.02
Drew Mayts
0
0
0
4
3
0
1.07
Cole Leggett
1
0
1
0
0
0
0.53
Michael Quinn
0
0
6
6
2
0
0.50
Carl Klepper
0
0
2
1
2
0
0.46
Collin Stewart
0
0
0
3
0
0
0.42
Daniel Shumake
1
0
1
1
0
0
0.41
Nick Rockefeller
0
0
1
0
1
0
0.38
Garrett Leclaire
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.34
Danny Walsh
0
0
0
1
1
0
0.31
Patrick Marks
0
0
2
2
0
0
0.18
Justyn JeanFelix
0
0
0
0
1
0
0.17
Khory Reid
0
0
0
1
0
0
0.14
Colin Kelley
0
0
0
1
0
0
0.14
Wesley Chairs
0
0
0
1
0
0
0.14
Jackson Mahoney
0
0
0
1
0
0
0.14
Tim Kroneberger
0
0
1
0
0
0
0.04
Air Force
Player
GoalsG
AssistsA
ShotsSh
TOsTO
GBsGB
FOsFO
EGA
Trey Lervick
2
2
4
3
5
0
3.26
Brandon Dodd
3
2
7
5
3
0
2.76
Ethan Grandolfo
3
0
7
2
1
0
2.20
Jake Thornally
1
2
3
1
0
0
1.67
Doc Szlachetka
0
0
0
0
1
9
1.58
August Johnson
0
2
3
0
0
0
1.47
Quincy Peene
1
0
3
1
1
0
1.31
Brenden Crouse
0
2
2
1
0
0
1.12
Chandler Coons
1
0
1
0
1
0
0.70
Daniel Pagano
0
0
0
1
3
0
0.65
Matthew Orourk
1
0
3
2
0
0
0.51
Griffin Peene
0
0
0
2
1
0
0.45
Vince Lombardi
0
0
0
2
0
0
0.28
Tommy Hellman
0
0
2
2
0
0
0.18
Braden Host
0
0
0
0
1
0
0.17
Kyle Richbourg
0
0
0
0
1
0
0.17
Chet Dunstan
0
0
0
1
0
0
0.14
Mike Matheson
0
0
1
1
0
0
0.09