Win probability is an estimate based on the win percentage of every team that has been in a comparable time and score situation. We start with the basic time and score, then add or subtract win probability from each team depending on the recent sequence of plays and what that tells us about the likelihood that each team will score. Please, please, please do not treat this as a prediction. 90% win probability does not mean that the team has a 90% chance to win; it means that teams in the current situation have won 90% of the time. Win probabilities at the opening face-off are based on our current ELO ratings.

Air Force Win Probability: 100.0%
Recent Plays
Game State Team Play Elapsed AF Win Odds
AF +2 Assisted Goal 0s 0.0%
AF +1 Penalty - 1 min 37s +14.2%
AF +1 Unforced Turnover 24s +9.0%
AF +1 Faceoff Win 0s -2.5%
AF +1 Unassisted Goal 11s -12.8%
AF +2 Faceoff Win 0s -0.3%
AF +2 Unassisted Goal 6s +10.9%
AF +1 Penalty - 1 min 0s +5.6%
AF +1 Timeout 0s +2.0%
AF +1 Timeout 41s -8.8%
AF +1 Timeout 0s +0.6%
AF +1 Ground Ball 4s +1.5%
AF +1 Unforced Turnover 23s +15.2%
AF +1 Good Clear 1s -5.1%
AF +1 Ground Ball 6s -4.8%
AF +1 Forced Turnover 37s -4.9%
AF +1 Good Clear 16s +2.9%
AF +1 Ground Ball 3s +2.6%
AF +1 Unforced Turnover 21s +7.5%
AF +1 Missed Shot 21s +0.5%