Analyzing the Albany offense, the standout trend was the influence of Sarah Falk’s goal-scoring. When Falk netted 3 or more goals, Albany boasted an impeccable 11-0 record, and they scored on 34% of their possessions in those games. This starkly contrasted with the 1-4 record and 31% scoring efficiency when her goal count fell below this threshold. Her performance thus emerged as a significant barometer for the team’s offensive fortunes.
Shonly Wallace’s general level of involvement also correlated with positive outcomes for Albany. In games where Wallace took 6 or more shots, the team went 6-1, with a scoring efficiency of 35%. In contrast, when her shot count was below 6, the record dipped to 4-3, and possession scoring dropped slightly to 30%. This is not saying that she had to score, just that having her involved in the offense was correlated with good outcomes.
Allie Maloney‘s assist-to-turnover ratio further delineated wins from losses. A ratio greater than 1.00 (so as many or more assists than turnovers) saw Albany secure 3 wins out of 4 games, scoring on an impressive 40% of possessions. Below this ratio, the win-loss split was 4-2 with a reduced efficiency of 29%, underscoring the impact of Maloney’s decision-making on the field. As with the Wallace fact above, the record splits here are not that large, so these are not as critical as the Falk nugget. That said, the fact that Maloney and Wallace show up here and no one else does singles those two out as key contributors.
The midfield unit’s productivity was another important bellwether. When the midfield scored 10 or more goals, Albany’s record was 7-1, alongside a 38% scoring efficiency. Falling short of this mark, the team’s record was a less convincing 5-3, with efficiency dropping to 28%, reflecting the importance of midfield production in the team’s overall offense.
Lastly, avoiding empty possessions was a key factor in games where Albany’s offense found its rhythm. Taking more than 0.54 shots per possession correlated with a 10-2 record and a scoring efficiency of 36%. Below this threshold, the record evened out to 2-2, with efficiency tapering to 27%, highlighting the benefit of a more assertive and opportunity-rich offensive approach. 0.54 is a pretty low value, so this is less about second chances and more about avoiding possessions where they weren’t able to get off any shots.
In summation, Albany’s 2023 season was characterized by specific individual contributions that often swayed the outcomes of their games. The statistical thresholds, particularly those related to Sarah Falk’s goal-scoring and Shonly Wallace’s general level of involvement, were significant indicators of the team’s offensive success. The performances of Allie Maloney and the midfield unit, alongside the overall shot volume, similarly aligned with the team’s fortunes. These patterns suggest a reliance on key players’ productivity and the importance of a patient offense that avoids empty possessions.
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P.S. What did I miss? Data-centric analyses like this can miss things that don’t show up in the stats (i.e. injuries/coaching changes). If you can help explain any of the above, put it in the comments.