One of the most outstanding aspects of Page’s season was his shooting efficiency, for which he rated a 94 (it’s a 100-point, Madden-style scale). This impressive figure not only reflects Page’s precision and decision-making when taking shots but also the fact that he had a relatively low proportion of his shots saved by the opposing goalie. Additionally, an 88th percentile ranking in ball security further illustrates his reliability and poise under pressure, a crucial skill that contributed substantially to his overall improved efficiency.
Page’s best stretch of games, occurring between March 25th and April 8th against Duke, Richmond, Monmouth, and St. Bonaventure, saw the Hawks secure a 3-1 record. During this period, Page’s individual efficiency soared to the 89th percentile. He took 20.6% of the team’s shots, and his share of the team’s assists was a good-for-him 8.3%. This was peak Page with a flawless top percentile rating for shooting efficiency and an exceptional 98th percentile rating for ball security. He posted a 20th percentile assist rate, during this period, which hammers home the point that Page was a finisher and when he was at his best, he still just did that one thing very well.
In contrast, Page’s worst stretch from April 15th to May 4th, including games against Hobart, UMass, High Point, and High Point, also resulted in a 3-1 record for the Hawks. However, his individual efficiency rating dipped to the 20th percentile. His involvement decreased a smidge as he took just 15.0% of the team’s shots and recorded even fewer assists. The shifts in his skill-based statistics were notable; his shooting efficiency dropped to the 61st percentile, and his ball security fell to the 46th percentile, alongside a 15th percentile assist rate. These figures suggest that Page’s performance was not as dominant during this period, highlighting the importance of maintaining high levels of ball security and shooting efficiency to his overall impact. When you don’t have the ability to shift into a pass-first mode, a drop in shooting effectiveness spells a drop in efficiency.
Throughout the season, Page’s influence on the Hawks was not make-or-break for the team, as evidenced by the team’s ability to maintain a winning record during both his strongest and weakest stretches. His 85th percentile usage rate and an impressive 92nd percentile share of the team’s shots underline his central role on the backend of the offensive system. Yet, it’s clear that Saint Joseph’s was able to find success irrespective of fluctuations in Page’s performance, signifying a well-rounded team with effective strategies to compensate for any individual variances.
To sum up, Carter Page’s 2023 season was marked by significant individual improvement and a high level of performance that contributed to the Hawks’ success. His exceptional shooting efficiency and ball security stand out as the cornerstone of his enhanced efficiency, providing a solid foundation for his team’s offensive endeavors. As Page maintained a consistent and crucial role within the team, his elevated play was a key ingredient in the Hawks’ competitive formula throughout the year.
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P.S. What did I miss? Data-centric analyses like this can miss things that don’t show up in the stats (i.e. injuries/coaching changes). If you can help explain any of the above, put it in the comments.