Stats & Analysis

Top Individual Performances (Week 11 MLAX)

0 Comment April 26, 2021

Each week, we will look back at the games that were to see which players had the largest individual performances. I say largest because the contributions that we can measure (from play by play) tend to be things that are easy to count. This includes, goals, shots, assists, turnovers, penalties, etc. We can’t measure a defender who shuts down an opposing player so completely that he doesn’t even touch the ball. Still, it is interesting to be able to identify the players that really filled it up each weekend and give them a shout out here.
For a bit of background, in order to rank single game performances, we needed a way to condense box score stats to a single number for each player. In order to do this, we relied on our expected goal values methodology, which assigns a goal value to each type of play depending on how often it leads to a goal in the next 60 seconds. By adding up all the expected goals added for each player, we can get to that single number and these rankings.
We have also tagged each performance with the opponent’s ELO rating. The higher the number, the stronger the opponent. This should help to give some context for each performance. Did the player feast on the dregs of D1 or did they put up these numbers against a quality opponent?
A quick note: whenever you see the PRO logo () a click will take you directly to the player’s PRO page. In some cases, you’ll see the “unlocked” PRO logo () which tells you that the player’s team is unlocked and you’ll be able to see all the PRO content.
Top Single Game Scores of the week
#1 – Austin Deskewicz (Stony Brook) – 7.49 goals added Apr 24 vs UMBC Opp ELO: 1585 When a FOGO starts putting up multiple points, there is a good chance that they will end up here. Deskewicz did just that in an OT loss to UMBC. In his first 2 seasons, he was much more of a true FOGO. This year, though, he’s been much more involved in what happens after the win. His weighted play share, which removes the actual faceoff win from the calculation has jumped to 10.8% in 2021 from 2.9% last year. Career Stat Percentile EGA/game 93rd Total EGA 88th Faceoff EGA 91st Excess Goals 41st Shooting Percentage 69th Faceoff Win% 88th Faceoff Elo 90th Play Shares 79th PRO Definitions Box Score Stats Goals Assists Shots (OG) 1 1 1 (1) GBs FO Won FO Pct 13 19 65% Turnovers Penalties Caused TO 0 0 1 Career Stat Percentile EGA/game 93rd Total EGA 88th Faceoff EGA 91st Excess Goals 41st Shooting Percentage 69th Faceoff Win% 88th Faceoff Elo 90th Play Shares 79th PRO Definitions
#2 – Ryan Lanchbury (Richmond) – 7.30 goals added Apr 25 vs Mercer Opp ELO: 1312 Lanchbury had a quiet few weeks since his 6.99 EGA game against Bellarmine. But Mercer let him roam free, to the tune of a season-high 5 goals. Oh, and 7 assists. For his career, has assisted on 20% of all Spiders’ assists. That puts him in the 96th percentile for that stat. It also undersells the 2021 he’s having because this year, he has a full 36% of all Richmond assists, which is, as you can probably guess, in the top percentile. Career Stat Percentile EGA/game 95th Total EGA 97th Offensive EGA 98th Excess Goals 4th eGoals/Shot 72nd Shooting Percentage 77th Shot-on-Goal Rate 70th Play Shares 96th PRO Definitions Box Score Stats Goals Assists Shots (OG) 5 7 11 (8) GBs FO Won FO Pct 0 0 N/A Turnovers Penalties Caused TO 3 0 0 Career Stat Percentile EGA/game 95th Total EGA 97th Offensive EGA 98th Excess Goals 4th eGoals/Shot 72nd Shooting Percentage 77th Shot-on-Goal Rate 70th Play Shares 96th PRO Definitions
#3 – Ashton Wood (Mercer) – 7.10 goals added Apr 24 vs VMI Opp ELO: 962 Wood is currently 16th in the . He has basically the same rating as had had at the start of the season (1641 vs 1634 at the start of the year). His win rate in 2021 is 6.6 percentage points worse than last season, but that is in part due to the fact that his faceoff opponents have been, on the whole, a better group than he faced last season. Classic case of win rate not telling the entire story. Career Stat Percentile EGA/game 99th Total EGA 96th Faceoff EGA 96th Excess Goals 18th Shooting Percentage 63rd Faceoff Win% 91st Faceoff Elo 96th Play Shares 99th PRO Definitions Box Score Stats Goals Assists Shots (OG) 1 0 2 (2) GBs FO Won FO Pct 15 21 75% Turnovers Penalties Caused TO 1 1 0 Career Stat Percentile EGA/game 99th Total EGA 96th Faceoff EGA 96th Excess Goals 18th Shooting Percentage 63rd Faceoff Win% 91st Faceoff Elo 96th Play Shares 99th PRO Definitions
#4 – Christian Mule (Lehigh) – 6.97 goals added Apr 24 vs Bucknell Opp ELO: 1506 Brother Cameron had the big goal against Notre Dame, but it was Lehigh’s Christian that snagged a spot on the top EGA list this week. In his 2nd season, Mule’s big accomplishment has been to cut an already low turnover rate (.35 in 2020 and .24 this year). Combine that with more opportunity (2 more shots per game) and his season EGA average is up from 2.65 in 2020 to 3.33 this year. Career Stat Percentile EGA/game 97th Total EGA 82nd Offensive EGA 86th Excess Goals 34th eGoals/Shot 82nd Shooting Percentage 87th Shot-on-Goal Rate 71st Play Shares 91st PRO Definitions Box Score Stats Goals Assists Shots (OG) 7 3 12 (11) GBs FO Won FO Pct 1 0 N/A Turnovers Penalties Caused TO 0 0 0 Career Stat Percentile EGA/game 97th Total EGA 82nd Offensive EGA 86th Excess Goals 34th eGoals/Shot 82nd Shooting Percentage 87th Shot-on-Goal Rate 71st Play Shares 91st PRO Definitions
#5 – Mike Sisselberger (Lehigh) – 6.70 goals added Apr 24 vs Bucknell Opp ELO: 1506 Sisselberger was at it again in this one. Not much more to say. The Mountain Hawks are the #1 rated faceoff unit this year, whether you want to use the raw or opponent-adjusted ratings. Career Stat Percentile EGA/game 99th Total EGA 59th Faceoff EGA 74th Excess Goals 53rd Shooting Percentage 60th Faceoff Win% 93rd Faceoff Elo 98th Play Shares 77th PRO Definitions Box Score Stats Goals Assists Shots (OG) 0 1 1 (0) GBs FO Won FO Pct 15 21 77% Turnovers Penalties Caused TO 1 1 0 Career Stat Percentile EGA/game 99th Total EGA 59th Faceoff EGA 74th Excess Goals 53rd Shooting Percentage 60th Faceoff Win% 93rd Faceoff Elo 98th Play Shares 77th PRO Definitions
#6 – Jacob Alexander (Bryant) – 6.56 goals added Apr 24 vs Sacred Heart Opp ELO: 1261 This was a wild game. Bryant had 69 offensive possessions; their previous high this year was 51 against Wagner. That was thanks to a really fast-paced approach for the Bulldogs, whose possessions averaged just 25 seconds. Their previous record was 34 seconds against…Wagner. The offense has struggled this year, at least compared to what was a strong season in 2020. Their efficiency in 2021 is just 27.6%, compared to 32.8% last year. Perhaps the fast pace is a way to get things going again. Career Stat Percentile EGA/game 90th Total EGA 64th Faceoff EGA 75th Excess Goals 65th Shooting Percentage 88th Faceoff Win% 84th Faceoff Elo 82nd Play Shares 60th PRO Definitions Box Score Stats Goals Assists Shots (OG) 2 0 3 (2) GBs FO Won FO Pct 8 16 66% Turnovers Penalties Caused TO 0 0 0 Career Stat Percentile EGA/game 90th Total EGA 64th Faceoff EGA 75th Excess Goals 65th Shooting Percentage 88th Faceoff Win% 84th Faceoff Elo 82nd Play Shares 60th PRO Definitions
#7 – Sean Westley (St. Bonaventure) – 6.13 goals added Apr 24 vs Siena Opp ELO: 1251 We have spoken a lot about the Bonnie’s defense this year, but for once, we are talking about the offensive end of the field. Sean Westley had himself a day against Siena. The 60% shooting mark is of a piece with his season-long improvement in that facet of the game. He shot just 14% last year, with limited chances (1.4 shots/gm). So far this year, his shooting percentage is 39.6%, and he’s doing that on 6.9 shot.gm. As a team, shooting has been a relative strength this year for STB. When it will translate into offensive efficiency is the real question. Career Stat Percentile EGA/game 86th Total EGA 80th Offensive EGA 84th Excess Goals 29th eGoals/Shot 77th Shooting Percentage 68th Shot-on-Goal Rate 56th Play Shares 91st PRO Definitions Box Score Stats Goals Assists Shots (OG) 6 0 10 (10) GBs FO Won FO Pct 2 0 N/A Turnovers Penalties Caused TO 0 0 0 Career Stat Percentile EGA/game 86th Total EGA 80th Offensive EGA 84th Excess Goals 29th eGoals/Shot 77th Shooting Percentage 68th Shot-on-Goal Rate 56th Play Shares 91st PRO Definitions
#8 – Zach Cole (Saint Joseph’s) – 6.11 goals added Apr 24 vs LIU Opp ELO: 1469 Cole is on a roll. 20+ faceoff wins in 3 of the last 4 games. This is a guy that didn’t look like the FOGO we saw last year early on in 2021, but I think he’s found his stride at this point. And for whatever issues they had early on, the Hawks have managed their best possession margin on record. They are averaging +6.7 more possessions than their opponents this year. That is a big big part of the 7 game win streak they’ve been on since conference play started. Career Stat Percentile EGA/game 99th Total EGA 96th Faceoff EGA 97th Excess Goals 6th Shooting Percentage 43rd Faceoff Win% 93rd Faceoff Elo 98th Play Shares 99th PRO Definitions Box Score Stats Goals Assists Shots (OG) 0 1 3 (1) GBs FO Won FO Pct 8 21 72% Turnovers Penalties Caused TO 0 0 0 Career Stat Percentile EGA/game 99th Total EGA 96th Faceoff EGA 97th Excess Goals 6th Shooting Percentage 43rd Faceoff Win% 93rd Faceoff Elo 98th Play Shares 99th PRO Definitions
#9 – Nick Rowlett (Michigan) – 6.00 goals added Apr 25 vs Rutgers Opp ELO: 1736 I was really expecting Rutgers to be the surprise FO power this year in the B1G, but it’s been Michigan, hands-down. Rowlett had another strong outing, winning 18 of 29 face-offs, and keeping Michigan in it with a +6 possession margin. The issue with Michigan’s possession game is clearing. Last year, they managed a +1.4 possession/gm advantage, despite winning just 50.7% of their faceoffs. In 2021, they are negative on possession margin (-0.2/gm) despite winning 55.2% of their draws. Faceoffs are the most visible way to gain a possession-edge, but clears are crucial too. If they could have cleared like they did in 2020, perhaps one of these one-goal losses could have been one-goal wins. Career Stat Percentile EGA/game 98th Total EGA 90th Faceoff EGA 92nd Excess Goals 87th Shooting Percentage 86th Faceoff Win% 83rd Faceoff Elo 94th Play Shares 98th PRO Definitions Box Score Stats Goals Assists Shots (OG) 0 0 2 (0) GBs FO Won FO Pct 13 18 62% Turnovers Penalties Caused TO 0 0 0 Career Stat Percentile EGA/game 98th Total EGA 90th Faceoff EGA 92nd Excess Goals 87th Shooting Percentage 86th Faceoff Win% 83rd Faceoff Elo 94th Play Shares 98th PRO Definitions
#10 – Jakob Phaup (Syracuse) – 5.94 goals added Apr 24 vs Virginia Opp ELO: 1763 Well, that was unexpected. Sort of. Cuse has now won the faceoff battle in 2 of their ACC games. And both of those games were against Virginia. Here is a bizarre stat: against all non-UVA teams this year, Syracuse has won 44.4% of the faceoffs. Against UVA, 76.7%. The danger for the Cavs is that everyone else figures out what Syracuse is doing against Petey LaSalla. The danger for Cuse is that they will have to play someone not named Virginia. Career Stat Percentile EGA/game 91st Total EGA 92nd Faceoff EGA 94th Excess Goals 30th Shooting Percentage 31st Faceoff Win% 89th Faceoff Elo 99th Play Shares 83rd PRO Definitions Box Score Stats Goals Assists Shots (OG) 0 0 1 (1) GBs FO Won FO Pct 9 24 88% Turnovers Penalties Caused TO 0 0 0 Career Stat Percentile EGA/game 91st Total EGA 92nd Faceoff EGA 94th Excess Goals 30th Shooting Percentage 31st Faceoff Win% 89th Faceoff Elo 99th Play Shares 83rd PRO Definitions

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