The Raiders and Terriers gave us the game of the day thanks to the 9% win probability that BU was carrying around before they closed the game on a 3-1 run to steal victory from the jaws of defeat.

Tension Game Score: 78

★ ★

The tension game score for this game was 78, which indicates a game that was more swing-y than tight throughout.

Boston U Min. Win Probability: 9%

★ ★ ★

The lowest win probability that Boston U had at any point during the game was 9.1%, which means that this was a “happens-a-couple-times-a-year” type comeback.

Lax-ELO Points Transfer: 16

★

The victory means a transfer of 16 Lax-ELO points from Colgate to Boston U. As a result of this transfer (and the rest of the games played), Boston U moves from 29th to 24th nationally; Colgate goes from 58th to 60th.

Games are always fun when the win probability chart oscillates around the 50% line a lot. That means that the two teams traded blows and the narrative of the game shifted a lot.

Tension Game Score: 83

★ ★

The tension game score for this game was 83, which indicates a game that was more swing-y than tight throughout.

Stony Brook Min. Win Probability: 12%

★ ★ ★

The lowest win probability that Stony Brook had at any point during the game was 12.4%, which suggests that you would not fault those that switched over to something more compelling.

Lax-ELO Points Transfer: 17

★

The victory means a transfer of 17 Lax-ELO points from Rutgers to Stony Brook. As a result of this transfer (and the rest of the games played), Stony Brook moves from 43rd to 40th nationally; Rutgers goes from 30th to 33rd.

When Marquette scored to go up 10-9 with 14:43 left in Q4, the Golden Eagles had a win probability of 69.9%. One minute later, it was up to 78%, but Drexel finished the game on a 3 goal run to pull out the win.

A 36% shooting percentage in the 4th quarter, combined with a much quicker trigger allowed Drexel to come back, but it also helped that Marquette was only to put 2 shots on net in the entire period.

Tension Game Score: 55

★ ★

The tension game score for this game was 55, which indicates an extremely close nail-biter.

Drexel Min. Win Probability: 22%

★ ★

The lowest win probability that Drexel had at any point during the game was 22.7%, which suggests that you would not fault those that switched over to something more compelling.

Lax-ELO Points Transfer: 11

★

The victory means a transfer of 11 Lax-ELO points from Marquette to Drexel. As a result of this transfer (and the rest of the games played), Marquette moves from 33rd to 34th nationally; Drexel goes from 33rd to 31st.

It looked like it might be another victory in the works for Merrimack when they scored with 5:46 left in the 4th quarter to go up 8-7. After that the Catamounts scored on 2 of their 4 possessions and Merrimack went 0-3.

It seemed like the Warriors retreated into their shell a bit on offense. Over their last three possessions, they only got one shot off and turned it over once. But credit the Catamounts for putting 2 goals into the Merrimack net when they needed it most.

Tension Game Score: 59

★ ★

The tension game score for this game was 59, which indicates an extremely close nail-biter.

Vermont Min. Win Probability: 20%

★ ★

The lowest win probability that Vermont had at any point during the game was 20.9%, which suggests that you would not fault those that switched over to something more compelling.

Lax-ELO Points Transfer: 4

★

The victory means a transfer of 4 Lax-ELO points from Merrimack to Vermont. As a result of this transfer (and the rest of the games played), Merrimack moves from 44th to 46th nationally; Vermont goes from 22nd to 22nd.

The tension game score for this game was 125, which means that it was not a very tight affair for the most part.

Fairfield Min. Win Probability: 9%

★ ★ ★

The lowest win probability that Fairfield had at any point during the game was 9.1%, which means that this was a “happens-a-couple-times-a-year” type comeback.

Lax-ELO Points Transfer: 23

★

The victory means a transfer of 23 Lax-ELO points from Quinnipiac to Fairfield. As a result of this transfer (and the rest of the games played), Quinnipiac moves from 45th to 52nd nationally; Fairfield goes from 62nd to 59th.

Game Stars

Fairfield

Dylan Beckwith

6.29 EGA6.29

Travis Ford

4.01 EGA4.01

Bryce Ford

3.88 EGA3.88

Quinnipiac

Dimitri George

9.08 EGA9.08

Jake Tomsik

4.44 EGA4.44

Will Abbott

3.84 EGA3.84

When we are blessed with a day in which the slate of games numbers in the dozens, it is all but impossible to really keep track of all the goings on in D1 lacrosse. So we decided to put out a daily digest of the day that was. The idea here is to use some metrics that we can calculate for each game as a way to highlight the most meaningful or interesting matchups.

To rank games, we will be using three values:

Tension Game Score – a measure of how tight the game was. A back-and-forth match up where neither team is able to take control is going to have a lower tension score (i.e. smaller gap between the teams).

Min. Win Probability – the lowest win probability value that our model ascribed to the eventual winner during the course of the game. A game where the winner had to make a huge comeback is probably going to have a very low win probability (think about the moment that it seemed least likely that they’d come back).

Lax-ELO Transfer – a measure of how much an intridual game did to make us re-assess how good a certain team was. In a game where a favorite beats the underdog by as much as we thought they would, you don’t really update your priors about how good each team is. Those games would also transfer a relatively small number of Lax-ELO points.

We will present the metrics for each game, along with a star-based indicator to tell you how common or uncommon that outcome is. For example, a game in which the winning team had a win probability in the single digits is a rare occurence and would get 3 stars in that category.

We welcome your feedback, and we hope that this helps you to distill down the craziness of a full lacrosse slate into a more digestible list of highlights.