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Virginia vs Duke
Virginia vs Duke
May 25, 2019
 Q1Q2Q3Q4OT2OTTotalVirginia20550113Duke14340012
In-Game WP PageVirginia Team PageDuke Team Page

Quarter Breakdown

Virginia: Quarter BreakdownQ1Q2Q3Q4OT2OTGoals205501Shots89161641Possessions99111440Offensive Efficiency22.2%0.0%45.5%35.7%0.0%0.0%Shooting %25%0%31%31%0%100%Turnover Rate66.7%55.6%9.1%14.3%50.0%0.0%Shots-on-Goal %38%11%44%75%0%100%Time-of-Possession61%43%46%43%75%0%Faceoff Win Rate50%80%33%70%100%100%Time/Possession57.4s34.3s34.7s27.1s53.8s0.0sTime to First Shot32.4s19.8s22.9s23.3s38.7s0.0sShots per Possession0.891.001.451.141.000.00Defensive Efficiency11.1%40.0%27.3%36.4%0.0%0.0%Save Pct83.3%33.3%62.5%50.0%100.0%0.0%

To put it mildly, the quarter breakdown for UVA is…instructive. The first quarter for the Cavs was more of a grind-it-out affair. Longer possessions tend to produce more TOP and also more turnovers, which is exactly what we see. In the second quarter, they sped it up (only 20 seconds to first shot on average), but the result was still choppy. The faster pace did not help, as they only were able to put one of 9 shots on goal.

Then the 2nd half UVA squad took over and wow. The pace stayed just as quick, but the shots started falling and the turnovers went away. In the 3rd quarter, they managed to get off 16 shots in 11 possessions, for an absurd 1.45 shots/possessions. I know Duke still led after 3 quarters, but to me, the story of the game is how the blue and orange wave came out of the locker room and overwhelmed the Blue Devils.

Season Comparison

Virginia SeasonSeason-To-Datevs. DukeSave%52%60%Off. Efficiency31.5%27.7%Shooting Pct32%24%Faceoff %58.4%60.0%Turnover%32%34%T.O.P.52%51%Possession Length39.538.3Time to First Shot31.225.5Shots/Possession1.011.15

Coach Tiffany certainly has a reputation for speed, but overall, even including this game, the Cavs are just the 14th fastest team in D1. Now that said, when the chips were down in the second half, UVA reverted back to an extremely fast pace. That 25.5 time-to-first-shot number is roughly in line with the fastest teams in D1.

Interestingly though, it is actually slower than their first match-up with Duke, when UVA took a shot after just 24 seconds on average. You could imagine that the coaching staff watched the video and concluded that they needed to be more deliberate in the rematch. But then that didn’t work great either, so they went back to what they knew best: speed.

Tale of the Tape

Stat CategoryVirginiaDukeGoals1312Shots5447Shots on Goal2430Possessions4744Groundballs3127Saves1811Save%60%46%Shooting Pct24%26%Faceoffs1812Faceoff %60.0%40.0%Turnovers167Turnover%34%16%

It is worth pointing out that compared to the other seminfinal, this game was a veritable goalie showcase. 60% save percentage for UVA and 46% for Duke. UVA definitely won the battle of the special units, and in a game where they needed all 60 minutes to come back, that was huge.
 Q1Q2Q3Q4OT2OTTotalVirginia20550113Duke14340012
Win Prob.VirginiaDuke

Quarter Breakdown

Virginia: Quarter BreakdownQ1Q2Q3Q4OT2OTGoals205501Shots89161641Possessions99111440Offensive Efficiency22.2%0.0%45.5%35.7%0.0%0.0%Shooting %25%0%31%31%0%100%Turnover Rate66.7%55.6%9.1%14.3%50.0%0.0%Shots-on-Goal %38%11%44%75%0%100%Time-of-Possession61%43%46%43%75%0%Faceoff Win Rate50%80%33%70%100%100%Time/Possession57.4s34.3s34.7s27.1s53.8s0.0sTime to First Shot32.4s19.8s22.9s23.3s38.7s0.0sShots per Possession0.891.001.451.141.000.00Defensive Efficiency11.1%40.0%27.3%36.4%0.0%0.0%Save Pct83.3%33.3%62.5%50.0%100.0%0.0%

To put it mildly, the quarter breakdown for UVA is…instructive. The first quarter for the Cavs was more of a grind-it-out affair. Longer possessions tend to produce more TOP and also more turnovers, which is exactly what we see. In the second quarter, they sped it up (only 20 seconds to first shot on average), but the result was still choppy. The faster pace did not help, as they only were able to put one of 9 shots on goal.

Then the 2nd half UVA squad took over and wow. The pace stayed just as quick, but the shots started falling and the turnovers went away. In the 3rd quarter, they managed to get off 16 shots in 11 possessions, for an absurd 1.45 shots/possessions. I know Duke still led after 3 quarters, but to me, the story of the game is how the blue and orange wave came out of the locker room and overwhelmed the Blue Devils.

Season Comparison

Season-To-Datevs. DukeSave%52%60%Off. Efficiency31.5%27.7%Shooting Pct32%24%Faceoff %58.4%60.0%Turnover%32%34%T.O.P.52%51%Possession Length39.538.3Time to First Shot31.225.5Shots/Possession1.011.15

Coach Tiffany certainly has a reputation for speed, but overall, even including this game, the Cavs are just the 14th fastest team in D1. Now that said, when the chips were down in the second half, UVA reverted back to an extremely fast pace. That 25.5 time-to-first-shot number is roughly in line with the fastest teams in D1.

Interestingly though, it is actually slower than their first match-up with Duke, when UVA took a shot after just 24 seconds on average. You could imagine that the coaching staff watched the video and concluded that they needed to be more deliberate in the rematch. But then that didn’t work great either, so they went back to what they knew best: speed.

Tale of the Tape

VirginiaDukeGoals1312Shots5447Shots on Goal2430Possessions4744Groundballs3127Saves1811Save%60%46%Shooting Pct24%26%Faceoffs1812Faceoff %60.0%40.0%Turnovers167Turnover%34%16%

It is worth pointing out that compared to the other seminfinal, this game was a veritable goalie showcase. 60% save percentage for UVA and 46% for Duke. UVA definitely won the battle of the special units, and in a game where they needed all 60 minutes to come back, that was huge.

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