Stat CategorySyracuseJohns HopkinsGoals1410Shots4845Shots on Goal3223Possessions4237Groundballs2224Saves1318Save%57%56%Shooting Pct29%22%Faceoffs1711Faceoff %60.7%39.3%Turnovers1411Turnover%33%30%
As with many of these recaps, the basic stats only tell a partial story. Syracuse had more possessions, got off slightly more shots, and shot a bit better than the Jays. The faceoff advantage was a key for the Cuse.Both teams got strong performances in net though, with Syracuse getting 13 saves from Drake Porter (57%) and Hopkins getting 18 saves fron Darby (56%).All in all, the counting stats tell the story of a game in which Syracuse slightly edged out Hopkins on the strength of faceoffs. But again, as we will get to later, that is only half the story.
Advanced Metrics
Stat CategorySyracuseJohns HopkinsOff. Efficiency33.3%27.0%T.O.P.56%44%Possession Length45.840.1Time to First Shot31.628.9Shots/Possession1.141.22
Splits
Syracuse SplitsPre Q3 2:31Post Q3 2:31Possessions2814Off. Efficiency28.6%42.9%Shooting Pct22%50%Faceoff %55.0%75.0%Turnover%36%29%T.O.P.51%73%Possession Length47.742.7Time to First Shot33.028.6Shots/Possession1.290.86
It starts to get interesting when you break the game into 2 pieces: before 2:31 left in Q3 and after that point.Let’s look at Syracuse first. In the last 17.5 minutes of this game, the Syracuse offense kicked it into another gear. Their turnover rate dropped 7 percentage points. Their offensive success rate jumped from 28.6% to 42.9%. They had control of the ball for 73% of the final 17 minutes.The interesting thing is that they did all this while having shorter possessions and taking a first shot 4.5 seconds faster per possession.In the first chunk of the game, they got off 1.29 shots per possession, which reflects a lot (I mean a lot) of backed up shots. In the final 17 minutes, they only took .86 shots per possession. All of this points to a more aggressive offensive mindset in which they took shots earlier in the clock and were focused on putting shots on net rather than patiently waiting for the “best” shot.
Splits
Johns Hopkins SplitsPre Q3 2:31Post Q3 2:31Possessions289Off. Efficiency32.1%11.1%Shooting Pct28%8%Faceoff %45.0%25.0%Turnover%29%33%T.O.P.49%27%Possession Length45.224.3Time to First Shot30.120.3Shots/Possession1.141.44
As for the Jays, the last 17 minutes were not pretty. The most interesting thing to me is that their average possession length shrunk from 45 seconds to 24 seconds. It’s hard to say for sure, but you can imagine a scenario where Cuse scores a few goals to take their first real lead of the game, Hopkins panics a bit and starts to get a bit jumpy on offense. If that is what happened, this is what the stats would look like.They started ripping shots all over the place, many of them not getting anywhere near the net (see the 1.44 shots per possession). As mentioned above, they weren’t getting a lot of chances because of the faceoff disparity. And the shots they were getting couldn’t have been very good given the 8% shooting rate.I’m sure there are a lot of looks that they wish they had back.
Season Comparison
Johns Hopkins SeasonSeason-To-Datevs. SyracuseOff. Efficiency26.8%27.0%Shooting Pct29%22%Faceoff %49.4%39.3%Turnover%41%30%T.O.P.49%44%Possession Length41.240.1Time to First Shot33.728.9Shots/Possession0.931.22
We can see in the table above that this game was not necessarily poor in terms of overall offensive efficiency. In fact, the offense was almost exactly in line with the rest of their season. For a given offensive possession, the offense did what they’ve been doing.The problem was everything else. They had shorter possessions, they took a lot less time to launch a first shot, and they ended up controlling the ball for about 3 minutes less than normal.I think a lot of this table can be traced back to the jumpy offense.
Let’s talk about Alex Concannon
Stats: Alex ConcannonQ1Q2Q3Q4TotalGoals20002Assists00000Shots22015Shots on Goal20013Shooting Pct100%0%N/A0%40%Groundballs01102Turnovers00000EGA2.050.600.170.042.86
SyracuseJohns HopkinsGoals1410Shots4845Shots on Goal3223Possessions4237Groundballs2224Saves1318Save%57%56%Shooting Pct29%22%Faceoffs1711Faceoff %60.7%39.3%Turnovers1411Turnover%33%30%
As with many of these recaps, the basic stats only tell a partial story. Syracuse had more possessions, got off slightly more shots, and shot a bit better than the Jays. The faceoff advantage was a key for the Cuse.Both teams got strong performances in net though, with Syracuse getting 13 saves from Drake Porter (57%) and Hopkins getting 18 saves fron Darby (56%).All in all, the counting stats tell the story of a game in which Syracuse slightly edged out Hopkins on the strength of faceoffs. But again, as we will get to later, that is only half the story.
Advanced metrics
SyracuseJohns HopkinsOff. Efficiency33.3%27.0%T.O.P.56%44%Possession Length45.840.1Time to First Shot31.628.9Shots/Possession1.141.22
Splits
Pre Q3 2:31Post Q3 2:31Possessions2814Off. Efficiency28.6%42.9%Shooting Pct22%50%Faceoff %55.0%75.0%Turnover%36%29%T.O.P.51%73%Possession Length47.742.7Time to First Shot33.028.6Shots/Possession1.290.86
It starts to get interesting when you break the game into 2 pieces: before 2:31 left in Q3 and after that point.Let’s look at Syracuse first. In the last 17.5 minutes of this game, the Syracuse offense kicked it into another gear. Their turnover rate dropped 7 percentage points. Their offensive success rate jumped from 28.6% to 42.9%. They had control of the ball for 73% of the final 17 minutes.The interesting thing is that they did all this while having shorter possessions and taking a first shot 4.5 seconds faster per possession.In the first chunk of the game, they got off 1.29 shots per possession, which reflects a lot (I mean a lot) of backed up shots. In the final 17 minutes, they only took .86 shots per possession. All of this points to a more aggressive offensive mindset in which they took shots earlier in the clock and were focused on putting shots on net rather than patiently waiting for the “best” shot.
Splits
Pre Q3 2:31Post Q3 2:31Possessions289Off. Efficiency32.1%11.1%Shooting Pct28%8%Faceoff %45.0%25.0%Turnover%29%33%T.O.P.49%27%Possession Length45.224.3Time to First Shot30.120.3Shots/Possession1.141.44
As for the Jays, the last 17 minutes were not pretty. The most interesting thing to me is that their average possession length shrunk from 45 seconds to 24 seconds. It’s hard to say for sure, but you can imagine a scenario where Cuse scores a few goals to take their first real lead of the game, Hopkins panics a bit and starts to get a bit jumpy on offense. If that is what happened, this is what the stats would look like.They started ripping shots all over the place, many of them not getting anywhere near the net (see the 1.44 shots per possession). As mentioned above, they weren’t getting a lot of chances because of the faceoff disparity. And the shots they were getting couldn’t have been very good given the 8% shooting rate.I’m sure there are a lot of looks that they wish they had back.
Season Comparison
Season-To-Datevs. SyracuseOff. Efficiency26.8%27.0%Shooting Pct29%22%Faceoff %49.4%39.3%Turnover%41%30%T.O.P.49%44%Possession Length41.240.1Time to First Shot33.728.9Shots/Possession0.931.22
We can see in the table above that this game was not necessarily poor in terms of overall offensive efficiency. In fact, the offense was almost exactly in line with the rest of their season. For a given offensive possession, the offense did what they’ve been doing.The problem was everything else. They had shorter possessions, they took a lot less time to launch a first shot, and they ended up controlling the ball for about 3 minutes less than normal.I think a lot of this table can be traced back to the jumpy offense.
Let’s talk about Alex Concannon
Q1Q2Q3Q4TotalGoals20002Assists00000Shots22015Shots on Goal20013Shooting Pct100%0%N/A0%40%Groundballs01102Turnovers00000EGA2.050.600.170.042.86
