Jacksonville vs Towson
Jacksonville vs Towson
March 08, 2019
Q1Q2Q3Q4TotalJacksonville142613Towson445215
Tale of the Tape
Stat CategoryJacksonvilleTowsonGoals1315Shots3036Shots on Goal1921Possessions4048Groundballs3022Saves66Save%29%32%Shooting Pct43%42%Faceoffs923Turnovers1819Turnover%45%40%
The counting stats in this one tell a somewhat misleading story. You might look at the table above and think: good thing Towson has Alex Woodall because that looks like the only thing that saved them.And you would be wrong. Not that Woodall didn’t have a good game (23 to 9 FO advantage will tell you that), it’s just that Jacksonville scored 6 goals in the 4th quarter when the game was already out of reach.The win probability model proves it; the Dolphins scored with 11:04 left in Q4 to cut the lead to 3. And their win probability was still only 17.7%. The stats look even only because they include, essentially, a full quarter of garbage time.
Splits
Jacksonville SplitsPre Q4 15:00Post Q4 15:00Possessions2713Off. Efficiency25.9%46.2%Shooting Pct41%46%Turnover%52%31%T.O.P.48%56%Possession Length49.137.7Time to First Shot38.425.0Shots/Possession0.631.00
So let’s split the game into the first 3 quarters and then the final stanza. Now we can see with more clarity how much Towson dominated this one.And for all the talk about Woodall, Sunday, and the new look offense, the splits show that the Towson D is still a force to be reckoned with.In the first three quarters, the Dolphins were turned over on 52% of their possessions and the Tigers’ D only allowed goals on 26% of the possessions they faced.The per-possession shot statistics tell the story in a bit more detail. When the game was still in doubt, Towson forced Jacksonville to work 38.4 seconds before they could get off their first shot. Of course, there were lots of possessions where they turned it over before they could even get to that first shot, as evidenced by the dismal .63 shots/possession mark over the first three quarters.I’m quite sure that Coach Nadelen is going to hammer his team on the 4th quarter, but considering their win probability never dropped below 80%, you wonder whether they will take him seriously.
Let’s talk about Grant Maloof
Stats: Grant MaloofQ1Q2Q3Q4TotalGoals11114Assists00000Shots11417Shots on Goal11114Shooting Pct100%100%25%100%57%Groundballs00101Turnovers00022EGA1.021.021.770.764.58
I try to spotlight at least one standout player performance in these recaps, and for this game, it’s going to be Grant Maloof.Let’s put his stat line in perspective. He finished the game with a team-high 4.58 EGA. His total, for the previous 4 games, was 4.6. You read that right. He equalled his season output in one night.And for the most part, it came down to his ability to create his own offense. Coming in to this one, he had scored one goal on the year. Tonight, he had 4 goals, all unassisted (one in each quarter for some nice symmetry).The key for Maloof was his shooting percentage. He had 4 goals on 7 shots, and that is much much more effective than he’s been in the previous Towson games.
Q1Q2Q3Q4TotalJacksonville142613Towson445215
Tale of the Tape
JacksonvilleTowsonGoals1315Shots3036Shots on Goal1921Possessions4048Groundballs3022Saves66Save%29%32%Shooting Pct43%42%Faceoffs923Turnovers1819Turnover%45%40%
The counting stats in this one tell a somewhat misleading story. You might look at the table above and think: good thing Towson has Alex Woodall because that looks like the only thing that saved them.And you would be wrong. Not that Woodall didn’t have a good game (23 to 9 FO advantage will tell you that), it’s just that Jacksonville scored 6 goals in the 4th quarter when the game was already out of reach.The win probability model proves it; the Dolphins scored with 11:04 left in Q4 to cut the lead to 3. And their win probability was still only 17.7%. The stats look even only because they include, essentially, a full quarter of garbage time.
Splits
Pre Q4 15:00Post Q4 15:00Possessions2713Off. Efficiency25.9%46.2%Shooting Pct41%46%Turnover%52%31%T.O.P.48%56%Possession Length49.137.7Time to First Shot38.425.0Shots/Possession0.631.00
So let’s split the game into the first 3 quarters and then the final stanza. Now we can see with more clarity how much Towson dominated this one.And for all the talk about Woodall, Sunday, and the new look offense, the splits show that the Towson D is still a force to be reckoned with.In the first three quarters, the Dolphins were turned over on 52% of their possessions and the Tigers’ D only allowed goals on 26% of the possessions they faced.The per-possession shot statistics tell the story in a bit more detail. When the game was still in doubt, Towson forced Jacksonville to work 38.4 seconds before they could get off their first shot. Of course, there were lots of possessions where they turned it over before they could even get to that first shot, as evidenced by the dismal .63 shots/possession mark over the first three quarters.I’m quite sure that Coach Nadelen is going to hammer his team on the 4th quarter, but considering their win probability never dropped below 80%, you wonder whether they will take him seriously.
Let’s talk about Grant Maloof
Q1Q2Q3Q4TotalGoals11114Assists00000Shots11417Shots on Goal11114Shooting Pct100%100%25%100%57%Groundballs00101Turnovers00022EGA1.021.021.770.764.58
I try to spotlight at least one standout player performance in these recaps, and for this game, it’s going to be Grant Maloof.Let’s put his stat line in perspective. He finished the game with a team-high 4.58 EGA. His total, for the previous 4 games, was 4.6. You read that right. He equalled his season output in one night.And for the most part, it came down to his ability to create his own offense. Coming in to this one, he had scored one goal on the year. Tonight, he had 4 goals, all unassisted (one in each quarter for some nice symmetry).The key for Maloof was his shooting percentage. He had 4 goals on 7 shots, and that is much much more effective than he’s been in the previous Towson games.