We’ll be doing our best to put out periodic updates (ideally weekly) of the various statistical tables and analyses that we’ve been introducing.  Here is the first update to our game control tables.  The initial analysis covered 73 games from the first few weeks; this post includes an additional 50 games (including all 3 games on Friday March 3rd).  For a full write-up of the rationale and methodology, checkout the week 1 post.

Week 2 Update

The full table and week 2 deltas can be found at the end of this post, but I did want to highlight a few teams that have made the biggest moves up the table.  Note: Avg control includes all games in our data set (doesn’t include the 10 missing games); Change in Avg. Control reflects the difference between the current rating and what was calculated after the first 73 games of the year.

Stony Brook demolished Brown, the darling of week 1, 25-17 in a game that they led 8-0 after 1 quarter and 19-11 heading into the 4th.  With the exception of strong run by Brown bringing the game to within two for a few minutes just after half time, the Seawolves were in control of this one pretty much from the jump.  This effort gave them the largest week on week bump in game control.  Note: Stony Brook’s game against St. John’s is one of the games without published play by play, which is why SBU only shows two games played below.

Since we first published these ratings, Loyola went on to beat Lafayette 18-5 and then took care of intra-city rival Towson 11-7.  In both games, the Greyhounds were in control for the entire second half.  Against Lafayette, they got out to such a lead so early, that they scored a perfect 100 game control rating.  Their upcoming game against Holy Cross will test their game control skills.

Albany rebounded from their week 1 loss against Syracuse to dominate UMass and Drexel.  They were certainly boosted onto this list by the 0 game control rating in their first game (as will happen with most close games), but if you are a Great Danes fan, it’s good to see two such resounding victories.

Note: I didn’t summarize Holy Cross because there were no play logs available for their loss against Harvard.  So while they dominated Lehigh, their true game control rating is lower than reflected in the table.  And I will continue to plead with these teams to publish play by play logs.  St. John’s I’m looking at you.

The current top 15 looks like:

We explained in the introductory post, but the Post Q1 Avg. is the average of the team’s game control ratings for quarters 2 through 4.

The full data

Here is the full game control table through 3/3:

And here is the change for each team since the initial post: